IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oyo-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28861:1" rel="noopener">Oyo (1698548D IN)</a> is a leading hospitality technology platform. Its DRHP aimed for a $1.2 billion raise although <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/startups/oyo-may-reduce-ipo-size-valuation-may-be-readjusted-too/articleshow/89463277.cms" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recent reports</a> point to a less than $1 billion raise.</li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed as it remains uncertain if it can deliver profits or cash generation with a return to growth (due to gradual lifting of travel restrictions).</li>
<li>Based on the information in the DRHP, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Oyo (1698548D IN) is a leading hospitality technology platform. Its DRHP aimed for a $1.2 billion raise although recent reports point to a less than $1 billion raise.
The fundamentals are mixed as it remains uncertain if it can deliver profits or cash generation with a return to growth (due to gradual lifting of travel restrictions).
Based on the information in the DRHP, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.


OYO (Oravel Stays) IPO Initiation: Tripped Up

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

RateGain Travel Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rategain-travel-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35265:1" rel="noopener">RateGain Travel Technologies (1920810D IN)</a> raised around US$177m in its India IPO. The deal comprised a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>In our view, this listing being the first SaaS firm out of India, could garner investor interest which would aid listing sentiment as well.</li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



RateGain Travel Technologies (1920810D IN) raised around US$177m in its India IPO. The deal comprised a mix of primary and secondary shares.
In our view, this listing being the first SaaS firm out of India, could garner investor interest which would aid listing sentiment as well.
In this note we will talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.


RateGain Travel Technologies IPO Trading - Deals with Similar Sub-Rates Have Generally Traded Higher

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a> at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.</li>
<li>Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.</li>
<li>There will be large inflows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (FB US)</a> and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.
Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.
There will be large inflows on Meta Platforms (FB US) and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.


NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes, see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-needs-to-come-at-a-discount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-going-down-the-autohome-route" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the allocation results and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes, see here and here.
In this note, we'll talk about the allocation results and the trading dynamics.


Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3826:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (WB US)</a> is offering 11 million shares to raise $471 million through an HKEx secondary listing. The primary/secondary spilt is 50:50 (Sina is the secondary seller).  </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-braving-uncertainty" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61784" rel="noopener">Weibo Secondary Listing: Braving Uncertainty</a>, we noted that while the near-term visibility remains limited, the valuation at last close is undemanding in comparison to historical P/E and PEG ratios. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at Weibo’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Weibo pricing its H-shares at a discount of 4-5% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.</li>
</ul>



Weibo Corp (WB US) is offering 11 million shares to raise $471 million through an HKEx secondary listing. The primary/secondary spilt is 50:50 (Sina is the secondary seller).  
In Weibo Secondary Listing: Braving Uncertainty, we noted that while the near-term visibility remains limited, the valuation at last close is undemanding in comparison to historical P/E and PEG ratios. 
In this note, we will look at Weibo’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Weibo pricing its H-shares at a discount of 4-5% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.


Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

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Trip.com (TCOM US)

OYO (Oravel Stays) IPO Initiation: Tripped Up

OYO is rumoured to be seeking a lower raise (<$1 bn vs $1.2 bn) at a lower valuation ($7 bn vs $9-12 bn) due to market conditions. The fundamentals...

Arun George

RateGain Travel Technologies IPO Trading - Deals with Similar Sub-Rates Have Generally Traded Higher

RateGain Travel Technologies (1920810D IN) raised around US$177m in its India IPO. The deal comprised a mix of primary and secondary shares.

Clarence Chu

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

There are 6 changes for the NASDAQ-100 index at the annual December reconstitution. Apart from the flows on the adds and deletes, there will be...

Brian Freitas

Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we look at the allocation results and talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

Considering the weak sentiment on Chinese tech names, we think that Weibo pricing its H-shares at a wider discount of around 4-5% to its ADSs will...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

OYO (Oravel Stays) IPO Initiation: Tripped Up

OYO is rumoured to be seeking a lower raise (<$1 bn vs $1.2 bn) at a lower valuation ($7 bn vs $9-12 bn) due to market conditions. The fundamentals...

Arun George

RateGain Travel Technologies IPO Trading - Deals with Similar Sub-Rates Have Generally Traded Higher

RateGain Travel Technologies (1920810D IN) raised around US$177m in its India IPO. The deal comprised a mix of primary and secondary shares.

Clarence Chu

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

There are 6 changes for the NASDAQ-100 index at the annual December reconstitution. Apart from the flows on the adds and deletes, there will be...

Brian Freitas

Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we look at the allocation results and talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Considering the weak sentiment on Chinese tech names, we think that Weibo pricing its H-shares at a wider discount of around 4-5% to its ADSs will...

Arun George

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views