Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In May, the recovery in outbound travel remained strong, but not surprisingly so</li>
<li>Meanwhile, improvement in domestic travel activity appears to have lost steam</li>
<li>Six months in, we simply do not see any positive surprises in the travel boom</li>
</ul>


In May, the recovery in outbound travel remained strong, but not surprisingly so
Meanwhile, improvement in domestic travel activity appears to have lost steam
Six months in, we simply do not see any positive surprises in the travel boom


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Firmer | Domestic Losing Steam | No Surprises (June 2023)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q123 Net Revenue was strong, exceeding Q119 (pre-Covid) levels by over 12%</li>
<li>Almost six months into recovery, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:180:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (TCOM US)</a> has also managed SG&amp;A expenses well</li>
<li>A good result for the company, but we see no reason to alter our long-term view</li>
</ul>


Q123 Net Revenue was strong, exceeding Q119 (pre-Covid) levels by over 12%
Almost six months into recovery, Trip.com (TCOM US) has also managed SG&amp;A expenses well
A good result for the company, but we see no reason to alter our long-term view


Trip.com Q123 | Revenue Surges Past Q119 Level | Decade-High Margin | But Our Thesis Is Unchanged

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>700.HK:  Supercell’s new game Floodrush receives unenthusiastic reception ( - )</li>
<li>3690.HK / TCOM: Douyin launches new hotel booking feature (-/-)</li>
<li>LI: Li Auto's daily order volume exceeds 1k for three consecutive weeks (+)</li>
</ul>


700.HK:  Supercell’s new game Floodrush receives unenthusiastic reception ( - )
3690.HK / TCOM: Douyin launches new hotel booking feature (-/-)
LI: Li Auto's daily order volume exceeds 1k for three consecutive weeks (+)


China TMT Update Jun 1 - 700.HK/Douyin/3690.HK/TCOM/Li- Supercell’s New Game Receives Unenthusiastic

<ul>
<li>Q1 Revenue growth and gains in profitability both strong, but Q2 guidance unexciting</li>
<li>FTA is making good progress on promoting its automated freight matching service</li>
<li>But other changes will require more time, and investors are impatient</li>
</ul>


Q1 Revenue growth and gains in profitability both strong, but Q2 guidance unexciting
FTA is making good progress on promoting its automated freight matching service
But other changes will require more time, and investors are impatient


Full Truck Alliance Q123 Earnings | Progress on Improving Mix | Other Changes Need More Time

<ul>
<li>Domestic and outbound Chinese air traffic continued to recover in April, but aircraft deployed on international routes continued to operate far below capacity</li>
<li>Headline numbers from the recent Labor Day holiday period show an increase in domestic travel activity to above 2019 levels, but spending per trip remains depressed</li>
<li>Tourism activity has increased dramatically compared to 2022, but five months after most Covid-19 restrictions were lifted there are few signs of stong demand for leisure travel</li>
</ul>


Domestic and outbound Chinese air traffic continued to recover in April, but aircraft deployed on international routes continued to operate far below capacity
Headline numbers from the recent Labor Day holiday period show an increase in domestic travel activity to above 2019 levels, but spending per trip remains depressed
Tourism activity has increased dramatically compared to 2022, but five months after most Covid-19 restrictions were lifted there are few signs of stong demand for leisure travel


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Recovery Continues | But Seats Stay Empty | (May 2023)

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

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Trip.com (TCOM US)

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Firmer | Domestic Losing Steam | No Surprises (June 2023)

The recovery in outbound travel remained strong in May, and domestic activity also continued to improve, though it appears to be losing some...

Tracking Traffic

Trip.com Q123 | Revenue Surges Past Q119 Level | Decade-High Margin | But Our Thesis Is Unchanged

Trip.com posted a strong result in Q123, with Revenue finally above pre-Covid levels and core margins at a decade-high. But management seemed to...

Tracking Traffic

China TMT Update Jun 1 - 700.HK/Douyin/3690.HK/TCOM/Li- Supercell’s New Game Receives Unenthusiastic

700.HK: Supercell’s new game receives unenthusiastic reception (-) 3690.HK/TCOM: Douyin launches new hotel booking feature; LI: Li Auto's daily...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Full Truck Alliance Q123 Earnings | Progress on Improving Mix | Other Changes Need More Time

Despite solid revenue growth and rising profitability in Q1, investors focused on unexciting Q2 guidance. In this note we highlight some...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Recovery Continues | But Seats Stay Empty | (May 2023)

In April domestic and international air traffic continued to improve from depressed pandemic levels, but there are growing signs that Chinese...

Tracking Traffic

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