Event-Driven Investment Opportunities, Special Situation Investments

Dalius Tauraitis

Event-Driven Investment Opportunities

Special Situation Investments

Focus on event-driven trades and low risk arbitrage opportunities with short term catalysts

Event-Driven

<ul><li>Galaxy Gaming is being acquired by Evolution AB for $3.20/share, with a 17% spread and minimal regulatory hurdles.</li><li>OCI N.V. plans a $1bn capital return in H1 2025, equating to 40% of its market cap.</li><li>Benson Hill's buyout spread widened to 60% due to liquidity issues and ongoing buyout negotiations nearing completion.</li></ul>

Galaxy Gaming is being acquired by Evolution AB for $3.20/share, with a 17% spread and minimal regulatory hurdles.OCI N.V. plans a $1bn capital return in H1 2025, equating to 40% of its market cap.Benson Hill's buyout spread widened to 60% due to liquidity issues and ongoing buyout negotiations nearing completion.

SSI Weekly: Galaxy Gaming Acquisition and Other Portfolio Updates

<ul><li>Learning Technologies Group and TI Fluid Systems are engaged in merger arbitrage, with due diligence and PUSU deadlines approaching.</li><li>Embracer Group and Grifols are addressing discounts through spin-offs and potential privatizations, aiming to eliminate share class disparities.</li><li>Litigation cases for Gold Reserve and Finch Therapeutics could result in substantial financial awards, impacting share valuations significantly.</li></ul>

Learning Technologies Group and TI Fluid Systems are engaged in merger arbitrage, with due diligence and PUSU deadlines approaching.Embracer Group and Grifols are addressing discounts through spin-offs and potential privatizations, aiming to eliminate share class disparities.Litigation cases for Gold Reserve and Finch Therapeutics could result in substantial financial awards, impacting share valuations significantly.

Active Merger Arbitrage and Litigation Opportunities: Key Insights on Current Financial Market

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/platinum-asset-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:914:1" rel="noopener">Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU)</a> confirmed it received a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regal-partners-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29119:1" rel="noopener">Regal Partners (RPL AU)</a> at 0.274 RPL shares per PTM share + special dividend of A$0.24.</li>
<li>The implied offer price of A$1.14 per share based on Regal’s undisturbed price of A$3.30 per share is a 15.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.99 (16 September).</li>
<li>Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an improved binding proposal.</li>
</ul>



Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU) confirmed it received a non-binding indicative proposal from Regal Partners (RPL AU) at 0.274 RPL shares per PTM share + special dividend of A$0.24.
The implied offer price of A$1.14 per share based on Regal’s undisturbed price of A$3.30 per share is a 15.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.99 (16 September).
Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an improved binding proposal.


Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>There is nearly A$1bn to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40416:1" rel="noopener">Newmont (NEM AU)</a> due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.</li>
<li>There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
There is nearly A$1bn to sell in Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

Australia

Pacific Current Group Limited operates as an asset management firm. The Company offers investment management, strategic planning, compensation structuring, and trading services. Pacific Current Group serves institutional and individual clients worldwide.

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Pacific Current (PAC AU)

SSI Weekly: Galaxy Gaming Acquisition and Other Portfolio Updates

Galaxy Gaming is being acquired by Evolution AB for $3.20/share, with a 17% spread and minimal regulatory hurdles. Other updates follow.

Special Situation Investments

Active Merger Arbitrage and Litigation Opportunities: Key Insights on Current Financial Market

Learning Technologies Group and TI Fluid Systems are engaged in merger arbitrage, with due diligence and PUSU deadlines approaching.

Special Situation Investments

Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer

Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an...

Arun George

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

There could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March. Newmont will have around A$1bn to sell. Shorts have been soaring on...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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SSI Weekly: Galaxy Gaming Acquisition and Other Portfolio Updates

Galaxy Gaming is being acquired by Evolution AB for $3.20/share, with a 17% spread and minimal regulatory hurdles. Other updates follow.

Special Situation Investments

Active Merger Arbitrage and Litigation Opportunities: Key Insights on Current Financial Market

Learning Technologies Group and TI Fluid Systems are engaged in merger arbitrage, with due diligence and PUSU deadlines approaching.

Special Situation Investments

Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer

Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an...

Arun George

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

There could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March. Newmont will have around A$1bn to sell. Shorts have been soaring on...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell