Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CTBC's (likely) goal is to boost <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong (2888 TT)</a>'s shares, so as to make the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> merger unpalatable for Shin Kong shareholders. That smells of opportunity.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> is trading cheap to NAV and its implied stub. It may well get cheaper.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>'s resulting supply/demand profile is mixed, but on balance, expect to see positive demand into the H1 earnings announcement. Watch for another buyback possibly announced then.</li>
</ul>


CTBC's (likely) goal is to boost Shin Kong (2888 TT)'s shares, so as to make the Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) merger unpalatable for Shin Kong shareholders. That smells of opportunity.

Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) is trading cheap to NAV and its implied stub. It may well get cheaper.

Toyota Motor (7203 JP)'s resulting supply/demand profile is mixed, but on balance, expect to see positive demand into the H1 earnings announcement. Watch for another buyback possibly announced then.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin Financial, Jardine Matheson, Toyota Motors, Huafa Props

Travis Lundy

Equity Capital Markets

Hamamatsu Photonics Kk / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Today after the close we got news that after a year-plus of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hamamatsu-photonics-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14074:1" rel="noopener">Hamamatsu Photonics Kk (6965 JP)</a>'s sliding stock price, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> is selling their 5+% stake.</li>
<li>The offering is standard. Probably prices 9 Sep 2024. HP's amended buyback program and probable index upweights offset most of the offering size over the next several months.</li>
<li>So investors have to decide whether they want to catch the falling knife.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close we got news that after a year-plus of Hamamatsu Photonics Kk (6965 JP)'s sliding stock price, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) is selling their 5+% stake.
The offering is standard. Probably prices 9 Sep 2024. HP's amended buyback program and probable index upweights offset most of the offering size over the next several months.
So investors have to decide whether they want to catch the falling knife.


Hamamatsu Photonics (6965) - Toyota Selling Yet Another Cross-Holding

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Taiwan's defense sector is seen as undervalued, representing a missed opportunity in the global arms race.</li><li>Malaysian officials hold a meeting with Tesla, but plans for a factory in the country are considered unlikely.</li><li>Retailers are using ICT and personnel to drive growth in green energy trading, while Samsung leads the gaming monitor market.</li></ul>

Taiwan's defense sector is seen as undervalued, representing a missed opportunity in the global arms race.Malaysian officials hold a meeting with Tesla, but plans for a factory in the country are considered unlikely.Retailers are using ICT and personnel to drive growth in green energy trading, while Samsung leads the gaming monitor market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Aug-2024): Taiwan's defense sector missed opportunity in arms race.

<ul>
<li>On Firday 23 August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)</a> announced that three cross-holders would sell about 4.6% of the shares out in a secondary sale. </li>
<li>MS&amp;AD was expected. Toyota was probably expected. Yamaha Corp is a bit of a surprise. But it also frees up Yamaha Motor to sell down cross-holdings (top 2 are Toyota/Yamaha).</li>
<li>Given the price/guidance/dividend yield and limited size, this should be quite easy to place.</li>
</ul>


On Firday 23 August, Yamaha Motor (7272 JP) announced that three cross-holders would sell about 4.6% of the shares out in a secondary sale. 
MS&amp;AD was expected. Toyota was probably expected. Yamaha Corp is a bit of a surprise. But it also frees up Yamaha Motor to sell down cross-holdings (top 2 are Toyota/Yamaha).
Given the price/guidance/dividend yield and limited size, this should be quite easy to place.


Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) - Secondary Offering as Toyota Sells Down - Easy To Digest

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

JD.com Inc (ADR) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.</li>
<li>There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.
There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.


ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

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Toyota Motor Corp Spon Adr (TM US)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin Financial, Jardine Matheson, Toyota Motors, Huafa Props

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hamamatsu Photonics (6965) - Toyota Selling Yet Another Cross-Holding

Hamamatsu Photonics today announced that in response to Toyota's desire to sell its entire stake, there would be a secondary offering. They...

Travis Lundy

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Aug-2024): Taiwan's defense sector missed opportunity in arms race.

Taiwan's defense sector is overlooked, Malaysia meets Tesla but factory plans may not happen, July 2024 notebook shipment update, retail green...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) - Secondary Offering as Toyota Sells Down - Easy To Digest

Toyota and Yamaha Corp and MS&AD will sell down 4.6% of Yamaha Motors, which has not bounced as much as peers from the USDJPY and equity selldown....

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

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