Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Last week in my notes I pointed to the investment world being upside down and there being too much risk to be fully invested.Let’s set aside whether Banks, UK Banks or even UBS have gotten oversold and are trading buys post Brexit Vote. For my end, I am not going to trade more than 1-2% of holdings in banks. Just enough to get a feel. Not enough to do any damage. There may be some opportunities. There may be opportunities as well in names competing with WMT and in Telecoms…UK tracking device:…

Last week in my notes I pointed to the investment world being upside down and there being too much risk to be fully invested.Let’s set aside whether Banks, UK Banks or even UBS have gotten oversold and are trading buys post Brexit Vote. For my end, I am not going to trade more than 1-2% of holdings in banks. Just enough to get a feel. Not enough to do any damage. There may be some opportunities. There may be opportunities as well in names competing with WMT and in Telecoms…UK tracking device:…

The Dark Side of Glocalization (Even if Investment Opportunities)

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is being felt in the Eurozone, but the shockwaves could lead to one more leg down in Emerging Markets and potentially the US this year.

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is being felt in the Eurozone, but the shockwaves could lead to one more leg down in Emerging Markets and potentially the US this year.

Asymmetric Payoffs, Thracian Capital Management

Asymmetric Payoffs

Thracian Capital Management

Macroeconomics

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility, equities, foreign exchange, commodities and credit / interest rates.

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility, equities, foreign exchange, commodities and credit / interest rates. 

In this part: Continued discussions with Strategists, Investors. ...Noble Scuttlebutt. Pacific Basin disaster. Oil Rebound Picks from last year. Continued  hucksterism at the Fed. .. and a quick update on the future of report presentations.  Are we about to get some revolutionary upgrades for off the rack software? (...and should not the Smartkarma community be ready for upgraded presentation standards?)Noble Scuttlebutt: The first item of note is the great summary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/378" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:378">Noble Group Ltd</a> and its…

In this part: Continued discussions with Strategists, Investors. ...Noble Scuttlebutt. Pacific Basin disaster. Oil Rebound Picks from last year. Continued  hucksterism at the Fed. .. and a quick update on the future of report presentations.  Are we about to get some revolutionary upgrades for off the rack software? (...and should not the Smartkarma community be ready for upgraded presentation standards?)Noble Scuttlebutt: The first item of note is the great summary of Noble Group Ltd and its…

Too Much Going On To Be Bullish (Cont.) Noble, Stock Updates

I've been doing my mid-year round up with strategists, investors and ship-owners, and while i have remained generally positive on the commodities and gold etc rebounds from whence  they came 6 months ago, I cut my equities and trade exposures by about half in the last few weeks. I moved before any blame could link to a Brexit or a terror attack because ultimately the money made trading from the lows of 1Q16 could find zero support in [real] data or logic. Below i also review HK strategy, Noble…

I've been doing my mid-year round up with strategists, investors and ship-owners, and while i have remained generally positive on the commodities and gold etc rebounds from whence  they came 6 months ago, I cut my equities and trade exposures by about half in the last few weeks. I moved before any blame could link to a Brexit or a terror attack because ultimately the money made trading from the lows of 1Q16 could find zero support in [real] data or logic. Below i also review HK strategy, Noble…

France

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

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TotalEnergies (TTE FP)

The Dark Side of Glocalization (Even if Investment Opportunities)

Last week in my notes I pointed to the investment world being upside down and there being too much risk to be fully invested.Let’s set aside...

Charles De Trenck

Will Brexit Break EM's Back?

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is...

Emad Mostaque

Market Commentary (June 2016)

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility,...

Asymmetric Payoffs

Too Much Going On To Be Bullish (Cont.) Noble, Stock Updates

In this part: Continued discussions with Strategists, Investors. ...Noble Scuttlebutt. Pacific Basin disaster. Oil Rebound Picks from last year....

Charles De Trenck

Too Much Going On To Be Bullish

I've been doing my mid-year round up with strategists, investors and ship-owners, and while i have remained generally positive on the commodities...

Charles De Trenck

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