Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This paper contrasts performance of integrated oil exploration and refining firms ("Explorers") with oil refineries ("Refiners").</li>
<li>Hypothesis is that Refiners outperform Explorers when the crack spread widens. Back testing based on select firms proves the hypothesis.</li>
<li>This paper posits that Refiners will outdo Explorers when crack spreads tear based on historical performance.</li>
</ul>


This paper contrasts performance of integrated oil exploration and refining firms ("Explorers") with oil refineries ("Refiners").
Hypothesis is that Refiners outperform Explorers when the crack spread widens. Back testing based on select firms proves the hypothesis.
This paper posits that Refiners will outdo Explorers when crack spreads tear based on historical performance.


Widening Crack Spreads Enable Oil Refiners to Outdo Oil Explorers

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel.</li><li>In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence.</li><li>The annulment, if not contested, will result in reversion to the 2018 legislation enabling oil as well as gas within the d 363C.R .AX permit to be exploited.</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel.In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence.The annulment, if not contested, will result in reversion to the 2018 legislation enabling oil as well as gas within the d 363C.R .AX permit to be exploited.

<ul>
<li>Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK47 per share: Hibiscus South on stream at 5-6 mbbl/d – The Hibiscus South well has been put in production at a rate of 5-6 mbbl/d.</li>
<li>Once stabilized this should take production at Dussafu to ~30 mbbl/d.</li>
<li>Pulsar Helium (PLSR CN)C; target price of C$0.80 per share: High Helium concentration at high impact appraisal well – The Jetstream #1 appraisal well at the Topaz helium project in Minnesota encountered helium shows while drilling, with helium concentration of up to 12.4% according to the on-site spectrometer.</li>
</ul>


Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK47 per share: Hibiscus South on stream at 5-6 mbbl/d – The Hibiscus South well has been put in production at a rate of 5-6 mbbl/d.
Once stabilized this should take production at Dussafu to ~30 mbbl/d.
Pulsar Helium (PLSR CN)C; target price of C$0.80 per share: High Helium concentration at high impact appraisal well – The Jetstream #1 appraisal well at the Topaz helium project in Minnesota encountered helium shows while drilling, with helium concentration of up to 12.4% according to the on-site spectrometer.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orica-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:895:1" rel="noopener">Orica Ltd (ORI AU)</a> is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to partially fund the acquisition of Cyanco. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest, representing 21.3 days of three month ADV and 5.2% dilution. </li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Orica Ltd (ORI AU) is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to partially fund the acquisition of Cyanco. 
The deal is a large one to digest, representing 21.3 days of three month ADV and 5.2% dilution. 
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Orica Placement - Keeping the Acquisition Momentum Going

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is complete.</li>
<li>The drilling rig is expected to become available to ADX on 14 February. The rig move and rig assembly will take ~6 days after rig release.</li>
<li>Drilling operations are expected to commence on 20 February with a duration of ~39 days.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is complete.
The drilling rig is expected to become available to ADX on 14 February. The rig move and rig assembly will take ~6 days after rig release.
Drilling operations are expected to commence on 20 February with a duration of ~39 days.


France

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

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TotalEnergies (TTE FP)

Widening Crack Spreads Enable Oil Refiners to Outdo Oil Explorers

Pure play crude oil refining and marketing firms outperformed integrated oil E&P companies during times of widening crack oil spreads.

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/04/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 08/03/2024

Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK47 per share: Hibiscus South on stream at 5-6 mbbl/d – The Hibiscus South well has been put in...

Auctus Advisors

Orica Placement - Keeping the Acquisition Momentum Going

Orica Ltd (ORI AU) is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to to partially fund the...

Ethan Aw

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/02/2024

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is...

Auctus Advisors

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