External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Topsports International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We believe Topsorts is undergoing a turnaround despite the macro uncertainty.</li><li>Sales growth may still be bumpy but boosted by increased efforts from the principal brands (on new products and marketing) and Topsports (self-initiated efficiency gains), we do foresee faster sales growth and margin improvements onwards.</li><li>The Company is only trading at 12x FY2/25E P/E, still attractive vs 4- year avg. of 13x and a 21% 3-year NP CAGR.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We believe Topsorts is undergoing a turnaround despite the macro uncertainty.Sales growth may still be bumpy but boosted by increased efforts from the principal brands (on new products and marketing) and Topsports (self-initiated efficiency gains), we do foresee faster sales growth and margin improvements onwards.The Company is only trading at 12x FY2/25E P/E, still attractive vs 4- year avg. of 13x and a 21% 3-year NP CAGR.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Topsports (6110 HK) – Turnaround Is on Track Despite Bumpy Sales

<ul><li>We initiate BUY on Topsports with TP based on 18x FY2/25E P/E and put it as our sector top pick.</li><li>We forecast 12%/ 20% of sales/ NP CAGR in FY2/23-26E vs -5%/ -4% during FY2/19-23, driven by major improvements in: 1) international brand sales (Nike to maintain its leadership and Adidas to see turnaround with effective strategy in China),</li><li>2) sales per store (driven by higher sales per sq. and increase in store size) and 3) the associated operating leverage.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We initiate BUY on Topsports with TP based on 18x FY2/25E P/E and put it as our sector top pick.We forecast 12%/ 20% of sales/ NP CAGR in FY2/23-26E vs -5%/ -4% during FY2/19-23, driven by major improvements in: 1) international brand sales (Nike to maintain its leadership and Adidas to see turnaround with effective strategy in China),2) sales per store (driven by higher sales per sq. and increase in store size) and 3) the associated operating leverage.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Topsports (6110 HK) – Localization and Efficiency-Led Turnaround

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>On one hand, retail sales growth in 5-1 Golden Week was a beat (after a soft Feb-Mar and an inline Apr).</li><li>On the other hand, retail discounts surprisingly widened due to increased competition from the de-stocking by brands like Adidas and Li Ning.</li><li>While fundamentals (sales, discounts and inventory) are trending good into 2H23E and setting up for a decent FY24E, we should still keep our eyes on the end demand and intensity of competition. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

On one hand, retail sales growth in 5-1 Golden Week was a beat (after a soft Feb-Mar and an inline Apr).On the other hand, retail discounts surprisingly widened due to increased competition from the de-stocking by brands like Adidas and Li Ning.While fundamentals (sales, discounts and inventory) are trending good into 2H23E and setting up for a decent FY24E, we should still keep our eyes on the end demand and intensity of competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Sportswear Sector – 5-1 sales beat but competition intensified

<ul><li>Even though we are trimming our FY22E net profit forecasts, we believe the sector has already bottomed out in 1Q23E, supported by: 1) decent YTD retail sales growth, 2) turn around in inventory level and retail discounts.</li><li>While we expect a more conservative FY23E guidance by the brands, we do see decent upside surprises from GP margin improvements, helped by better retail discounts and cheaper input costs, etc.</li><li>Therefore, for brands with a higher DTC mix, we believe brands like Anta (2020 HK) and Topsports (6110 HK) are going to outperform.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Even though we are trimming our FY22E net profit forecasts, we believe the sector has already bottomed out in 1Q23E, supported by: 1) decent YTD retail sales growth, 2) turn around in inventory level and retail discounts.While we expect a more conservative FY23E guidance by the brands, we do see decent upside surprises from GP margin improvements, helped by better retail discounts and cheaper input costs, etc.Therefore, for brands with a higher DTC mix, we believe brands like Anta (2020 HK) and Topsports (6110 HK) are going to outperform.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Sportswear Sector – We expect prudent guidance but decent margins

<ul><li>Resilient online sales growth during double 11, where Tik Tok, PDD and JD platforms continued to outperform.</li><li>Based on our channel check and CMBI est., the online GMV growth during 2022’s double 11 was at ~14% YoY, inline with CMBI est. and beat market expectation, similar to online sales growth in Sep 2022 and had picked up vs Oct 2022.</li><li>In terms of platforms, YoY growth for Alibaba (Tmall + Tao Bao)/ JD/ PDD/ TikTok increased by ~flattish/ ~teens/ 27%/ 38%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Resilient online sales growth during double 11, where Tik Tok, PDD and JD platforms continued to outperform.Based on our channel check and CMBI est., the online GMV growth during 2022’s double 11 was at ~14% YoY, inline with CMBI est. and beat market expectation, similar to online sales growth in Sep 2022 and had picked up vs Oct 2022.In terms of platforms, YoY growth for Alibaba (Tmall + Tao Bao)/ JD/ PDD/ TikTok increased by ~flattish/ ~teens/ 27%/ 38%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Sportswear Sector – Sequential improvements during double 11

China

Topsports International Holdings Limited operates as a sports shoes and apparel retailer. The Company sells sports shoes, sports shirts, and other products. Topsports International Holdings markets its products throughout China.

Topsports International Holdings (6110 HK)

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Topsports International Holdings (6110 HK)

Topsports (6110 HK) – Turnaround Is on Track Despite Bumpy Sales

Sales growth may still be bumpy but boosted by increased efforts from the principal brands (on new products and marketing) and Topsports (self...

CMB International

Topsports (6110 HK) – Localization and Efficiency-Led Turnaround

We forecast 12%/ 20% of sales/ NP CAGR in FY2/23-26E vs -5%/ -4% during FY2/19-23, driven by major improvements in: 1) international brand sales

CMB International

China Sportswear Sector – 5-1 sales beat but competition intensified

While fundamentals (sales, discounts and inventory) are trending good into 2H23E and setting up for a decent FY24E, we should still keep our eyes...

CMB International

China Sportswear Sector – We expect prudent guidance but decent margins

While we expect a more conservative FY23E guidance by the brands, we do see decent upside surprises from GP margin improvements, helped by better...

CMB International

China Sportswear Sector – Sequential improvements during double 11

Based on our channel check and CMBI est., the online GMV growth during 2022’s double 11 was at ~14% YoY, inline with CMBI est. and beat market...

CMB International

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