Economist

Richard Iley

Macroeconomics

<div class="content-highlight">The BIS's estimates of real effective exchange rates (REERs) have long been the gold standard for longer-run FX valuation. Our analysis of the REERs for 12 major emerging markets throws up some key findings for Asian investors. After Mexico, India's REER has seen the strongest appreciation momentum over the last 6 months. These gains leave India's REER looking easily the most expensive among our universe. At the other end of the spectrum, Turkey and Malaysia stand out as having the cheapest…</div>

The BIS's estimates of real effective exchange rates (REERs) have long been the gold standard for longer-run FX valuation. Our analysis of the REERs for 12 major emerging markets throws up some key findings for Asian investors. After Mexico, India's REER has seen the strongest appreciation momentum over the last 6 months. These gains leave India's REER looking easily the most expensive among our universe. At the other end of the spectrum, Turkey and Malaysia stand out as having the cheapest…

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

USA politics appears to be descending steadily into a quagmire of dysfunction, contributing to a weaker and more uncertain US economic outlook.  The USD has clearly broken its base since 2015, leaving investors wondering where the bottom is. The sliding USD has developed a life of its own that may be hard to stop.  The ECB tried to talk down the EUR today and failed.  While the market appears to be grabbing for safe havens (gold, Treasuries, JPY), the market is not necessarily feeling bad about the global economy.  In fact, it is feeling pretty good about emerging markets.  Global economic indicators are robust, and commodity prices are rising.  A number of Asian currencies have broken steady ranges to make new highs.  The MYR and THB are both stronger along with their equity markets.

USA politics appears to be descending steadily into a quagmire of dysfunction, contributing to a weaker and more uncertain US economic outlook.  The USD has clearly broken its base since 2015, leaving investors wondering where the bottom is. The sliding USD has developed a life of its own that may be hard to stop.  The ECB tried to talk down the EUR today and failed.  While the market appears to be grabbing for safe havens (gold, Treasuries, JPY), the market is not necessarily feeling bad about the global economy.  In fact, it is feeling pretty good about emerging markets.  Global economic indicators are robust, and commodity prices are rising.  A number of Asian currencies have broken steady ranges to make new highs.  The MYR and THB are both stronger along with their equity markets.

Populist Pandering Hurts the Dollar; Emerging Markets Powering On

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics FX webcast Friday 13 January 2017USD bottoming sequence To view click on this link: <a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/VAywMb28U5" target="_blank">https://www.screencast.com/t/VAywMb28U5</a> 15:13 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/019/076/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1484280189" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="19076"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – DXY uptick and secondary pullback sequence unfolded. As long as we hold the 100 macro pivot the dollar remains in a bullish posture. DXY 101.50 was touted support with risk to the 100 mark. Even if we saw some noise to 99 we would not be alarmed. Targets remain at 104.15, 107, 111 and 117. A third dip to sub 101 is viewed as buying…

Chartonics FX webcast Friday 13 January 2017USD bottoming sequence To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/VAywMb28U5 15:13 min.FX webcastDXY – DXY uptick and secondary pullback sequence unfolded. As long as we hold the 100 macro pivot the dollar remains in a bullish posture. DXY 101.50 was touted support with risk to the 100 mark. Even if we saw some noise to 99 we would not be alarmed. Targets remain at 104.15, 107, 111 and 117. A third dip to sub 101 is viewed as buying…

Chartonics FX webcast Tuesday 3 January 2017The year of the dollarTo view click on this link: <a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/gBSBPnEOg" target="_blank">https://www.screencast.com/t/gBSBPnEOg</a> 13:30 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/018/431/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1483411154" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="18431"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – Clearing 102.10 opened the way for a push toward 104.15. Immediate projection at 103.53 was met and we are now seeing some sideway corrective action before the next drive toward 107. The next new chart high between 104 and 107 will hit a stall cycle in February. Macro support remains firm at the 100 level, in fact we will most likely hold…

Chartonics FX webcast Tuesday 3 January 2017The year of the dollarTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/gBSBPnEOg 13:30 min.FX webcastDXY – Clearing 102.10 opened the way for a push toward 104.15. Immediate projection at 103.53 was met and we are now seeing some sideway corrective action before the next drive toward 107. The next new chart high between 104 and 107 will hit a stall cycle in February. Macro support remains firm at the 100 level, in fact we will most likely hold…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 11 December 2016Ahead of the FedTo view click on this link: <a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/NlFPnSZ3T" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/NlFPnSZ3T&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1481500595281000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEXshbPS6uOYoyoF8s4GJsmTQ2GzA">https://www.screencast.com/t/NlFPnSZ3T</a> 10:23 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/596/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1481414924" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17596"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – Key reversal low registered at 99.43 with a bias to clear 102.10 and push toward 104.15. Immediate projection lies at 103.53. Fed rate hike expected to see the USD carry higher with risk of a sell the fact dollar pullback from higher levels. To date, the pattern bull breakout remains valid. 107 is the next major target for early 2017.GBP –…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 11 December 2016Ahead of the FedTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/NlFPnSZ3T 10:23 min.FX webcastDXY – Key reversal low registered at 99.43 with a bias to clear 102.10 and push toward 104.15. Immediate projection lies at 103.53. Fed rate hike expected to see the USD carry higher with risk of a sell the fact dollar pullback from higher levels. To date, the pattern bull breakout remains valid. 107 is the next major target for early 2017.GBP –…

Thailand

The Thai baht is the official currency of Thailand. 

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Emerging Markets: REER View Mirror

The BIS's estimates of real effective exchange rates (REERs) have long been the gold standard for longer-run FX valuation. Our analysis of the...

Richard Iley

Populist Pandering Hurts the Dollar; Emerging Markets Powering On

USA politics appears to be descending steadily into a quagmire of dysfunction, contributing to a weaker and more uncertain US economic outlook. ...

Greg Gibbs

USD Bottoming Sequence

Chartonics FX webcast Friday 13 January 2017USD bottoming sequence To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/VAywMb28U5 15:13...

Thomas Schroeder

The Year of the Dollar

Chartonics FX webcast Tuesday 3 January 2017The year of the dollarTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/gBSBPnEOg 13:30 min.DXY...

Thomas Schroeder

USD Strength in Asia

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 11 December 2016Ahead of the FedTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/NlFPnSZ3T 10:23 min.DXY – Key...

Thomas Schroeder

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