IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Thai Life Insurance  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71653" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid total premium performance, a checkered record in sales channel diversification, stagnating agent growth and inconsistent agent productivity.</li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.
In Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid total premium performance, a checkered record in sales channel diversification, stagnating agent growth and inconsistent agent productivity.


Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that would benefit (or be adversely affected) by them, namely: 1) an ageing society; 2) higher concentration of wealth; 3) driverless cars for ride hailing; 4) increasing fintech adoption by incumbents; and 5) a decline in both labor cost and commodity prices.We may have discussed most of these themes before, though we've never put them in one place. As they say in investing, gotta watch where the puck is going, not where it is.

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that would benefit (or be adversely affected) by them, namely: 1) an ageing society; 2) higher concentration of wealth; 3) driverless cars for ride hailing; 4) increasing fintech adoption by incumbents; and 5) a decline in both labor cost and commodity prices.We may have discussed most of these themes before, though we've never put them in one place. As they say in investing, gotta watch where the puck is going, not where it is.

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy &amp; Business Development of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/214" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:214:1">Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB)</a>, and we found it pretty interesting. Basically, his view is that fintech has been around since the 50s, and in his view, we are on the third wave...There's something with the number three. I recall someone else (maybe Microsoft CEO Nadella) saying we are on the third Industrial or Digital Revolution. Well, let's just indulge the…

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy &amp; Business Development of Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB), and we found it pretty interesting. Basically, his view is that fintech has been around since the 50s, and in his view, we are on the third wave...There's something with the number three. I recall someone else (maybe Microsoft CEO Nadella) saying we are on the third Industrial or Digital Revolution. Well, let's just indulge the…

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul><li>There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.</li><li>This tends to be positive for banks.</li><li>It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.</li><li>A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.</li><li>But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. </li><li>It pays to differentiate, even in a boom</li></ul>

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.This tends to be positive for banks.It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. It pays to differentiate, even in a boom

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

Thailand

Thaivivat Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance including fire, marine, automobile, and miscellaneous insurance to its customers in Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Thaivivat Insurance (TVI TB)

Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid premium performance, a checkered record in channel diversification,...

Arun George

Five Big Ideas for the Next Five Years

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Silicon Sequel: SCB on Fintech

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy & Business Development of Siam...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again. This tends to be positive for banks. It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)