Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the <a href="https://weblink.set.or.th/dat/news/202303/23031517.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">10th March</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a> proposed taking 79.66%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a> private, at an Offer price of THB 59/share, a 26.9% premium to last close. </li>
<li>This Delisting Offer requires a shareholder vote which will take place on the 3&lt;May. Payment may occur mid-to-late August. </li>
<li>In its report yesterday, the IFA reckons "that the shareholders should approve of the voluntary delisting".</li>
</ul>


On the 10th March, Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) proposed taking 79.66%-held Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB) private, at an Offer price of THB 59/share, a 26.9% premium to last close. 
This Delisting Offer requires a shareholder vote which will take place on the 3&lt;May. Payment may occur mid-to-late August. 
In its report yesterday, the IFA reckons "that the shareholders should approve of the voluntary delisting".


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a> IFA opines that shareholders approve <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a>’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share at the EGM on 3 May.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on Oishi shareholder approval which requires 75% approval by total outstanding shares and &lt;10% rejection by total outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive to the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. At last close and the end-July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 8.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB) IFA opines that shareholders approve Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share at the EGM on 3 May.
The offer is conditional on Oishi shareholder approval which requires 75% approval by total outstanding shares and &lt;10% rejection by total outstanding shares.
The offer is attractive to the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. At last close and the end-July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 8.1%, respectively.


Oishi Group (OISHI TB): IFA Recommends the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> has launched its HKEx listing at HK$10.78-12.98 per share to raise up to US$811 million. Books are open from 17 to 20 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-valuation-first-look" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99966" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) has launched its HKEx listing at HK$10.78-12.98 per share to raise up to US$811 million. Books are open from 17 to 20 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case, ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case and ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, a baijiu company in China, is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's potential valuation range. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), a baijiu company in China, is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case and ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's potential valuation range. 


<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/norwest-energy-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1433:1" rel="noopener">Norwest Energy NL (NWE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>, GK Goh.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), Estia Health (EHE AU), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Origin Energy (ORG AU). 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Norwest Energy NL (NWE AU), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU), GK Goh.


Merger Arb Mondays (10 Apr) - Genesis, Estia, Newcrest, Pushpay, Mincor, Golden Energy, Toyo

Singapore

Fraser and Neave Limited is principally engaged in the food and beverage, and printing and publishing business. The Company's principal activities include the production and sale of beverages, which includes soft drinks, beer, stout, and dairy products; and printing and publishing.

Wilmar International Ltd. is an agribusiness company. The Company is involved in oil palm cultivation, edible oils refining, oilseeds crushing, consumer pack edible oils processing and merchandising, specialty fats, oleochemicals and biodiesel manufacturing, and grains processing and merchandising. Wilmar also manufactures and distributes fertilizers and owns a fleet of vessels.

Golden Agri-Resources Limited cultivates, harvests, processes, distributes, and sells crude palm oil and palm kernel.  The Company also refines crude palm oil into cooking oil, margarine, and shortening for sale and distribution.

Established in 1992 and listed on the Singapore Exchange since 2007, First Resources is one of the leading palm oil producers in the region, managing over 200,000 hectares of oil palm plantations across the Riau, East Kalimantan and West Kalimantan provinces of Indonesia.

Our core business activities include cultivating oil palms, harvesting the fresh fruit bunches (FFB) and milling them into crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel (PK). In addition to plantations and palm oil mills, the Group through its refinery, fractionation, biodiesel and kernel crushing plants, processes its CPO and PK production into higher value palm-based products such as biodiesel, refined, bleached and deodorised (RBD) olein and RBD stearin, palm kernel oil and palm kernel expeller. This enables the Group to extract maximum value out of our upstream plantation assets. Our products are sold to both local and international markets.

First Resources is committed to the production of sustainable palm oil. Our sustainability strategy is centred upon maximising output while minimising the adverse environmental and social impact from our operations. We will constantly strengthen our sustainability framework through regular benchmarking against industry standards and best practices.

Del Monte Pacific Limited produces and markets packaged vegetable and fruit, beverage and culinary products. The Group has the exclusive right to use the Del Monte brand for packaged products in the USA, South America, Philippines, the Indian subcontinent and Myanmar, and the S&W brand for both packaged and fresh products globally except Australia and New Zealand.

Bumitama Agri is a leading producer of crude palm oil and palm kernel in Indonesia. The Group is principally engaged in the cultivation of oil palm trees, as well as the harvesting and processing of fresh palm fruit bunches into CPO and PK. It was founded in 1996 and listed on the Singapore Exchange in 2012. 

Past extensification efforts, combined with continuous improvement in production processes, have bolstered Bumitama’s FFB (internally sourced) and CPO production volumes to climb significantly over the last ten years, with a CAGR of 11.8%. The Group has consistently stayed on the path towards achieving higher yields and extraction rates by investing in research and development, technology, and best practices in cultivation of oil palm. These efforts have made the Group one of the most efficient producers in the industry today, boasting a CPO yield of 4.2 tonnes per ha in 2021.

In recognition of its operations’ superiority, the Group has received numerous accolades which include having listed as Forbes Asia’s 200 Best Under a Billion 2013, earned Frost & Sullivan Indonesia’s Excellence Award in 2014, and obtained the Best Managed Small Cap Company in 2016 and the Most Outstanding Company in Singapore for the Decade (2010-2019) in 2019 from Asiamoney.

Japfa Ltd. operates in the agricultural industry. The Company breeds and processes chicken, pork and beef. Japfa also operates dairy farms.

Food Empire Holdings Limited manufactures and markets instant beverage products, frozen convenience food, confectionery and snack food. The Company exports its products to markets such as Russia, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, the Middle East and Indochina.

Petra Foods Limited manufactures and distributes branded consumer products, primarily chocolate confectionery, across Southeast Asia.

Indofood Agri Resources Limited is an integrated agribusiness company. The Company and its subsidiaries are involved in research and development, oil palm seed breeding, oil palm cultivation and milling. Indofood Agri Resources also refines, brands and markets cooking oil, margarine, shortening and other palm oil products.

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is an alcoholic beverage retailer.

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Southbank, Victoria, Australia. The Company's line of business includes vineyard operations and international marketing and distribution of wine.

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited produces and distributes beer products.  The Company markets its products throughout China and around the world under the Tsingtao Beer brand name.

United Spirits Ltd. manufactures and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Company provides a variety of alcohols and spirits, including whiskey, brandy, and rum. United Spirits also manufactures indian-made foreign liquor brands. United Spirits serves customers worldwide.

Molson Coors Brewing Company operates as a brewing company. The Company brews and produces beer. Molson Coors Brewing serves customers worldwide.

Suntory Beverage & Food Ltd manufacture and sells beverages and food products worldwide. The company is a part of Suntory Holdings ltd.

Coca-Cola Bottling Company Consolidated operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages such as energy drinks, bottled water, tea, ready-to-drink coffee, enhanced water, juices, and sports drinks.

Coca Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated (COKE US)

Kirin Holdings Company, Limited produces beer, soft drinks, food products, whisky, and pharmaceuticals.  The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

Coca-Cola Icecek AS bottles and distributes carbonated soft drinks and noncarbonated beverages.

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells liquor products. The Company operates in China.

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited produces a wide range of branded beer and spirits in Thailand.

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Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)

Oishi Group: IFA Backs ThaiBev's Offer

Assuming completion on the 23 August, this is trading tight at 2.3%/6.9% gross annualised. If already in, stay in for completion. Otherwise, get...

David Blennerhassett

Oishi Group (OISHI TB): IFA Recommends the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

The THB59.00 offer is attractive. The IFA’s fair value is THB53.48-56.42 per share. At the last close and the end-July completion, the annualised...

Arun George

ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range of HK$10.78-12.98 per share is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.

Arun George

ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look

ZJLD is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (10 Apr) - Genesis, Estia, Newcrest, Pushpay, Mincor, Golden Energy, Toyo

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (41.3%), Alliance Aviation (32.7%), Genesis (19.3%), Estia (13.2%), AAG (10.8%), Origin (7.3%),...

Arun George

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