IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$48.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6,057.4 million (US$772 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Shares of peers posted no first-day gains and are currently below the listing prices. Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus.</li>
<li>Leapmotor, at best, should trade in line with median peer multiples. Leapmotor is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue to remain on the sidelines.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) priced its H Share at HK$48.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6,057.4 million (US$772 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
The H Shares of peers posted no first-day gains and are currently below the listing prices. Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus.
Leapmotor, at best, should trade in line with median peer multiples. Leapmotor is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue to remain on the sidelines.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


Leapmotor IPO - Weak Demand but Concentrated Allocation

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

Credit

<ul>
<li>Market consensus on Q3 deliveries has been dropping toward my ~330,000 estimate on weaker China sales, as we saw in Q2. </li>
<li>This time they can't blame Covid-shutdowns—Tesla's production is wide open.</li>
<li>Instead it looks like softer demand despite lower prices—signalling potentially more pressure ahead.</li>
</ul>


Market consensus on Q3 deliveries has been dropping toward my ~330,000 estimate on weaker China sales, as we saw in Q2. 
This time they can't blame Covid-shutdowns—Tesla's production is wide open.
Instead it looks like softer demand despite lower prices—signalling potentially more pressure ahead.


Tesla's Q3 Ests Are Fading On Weaker China Sales—Again

<ul>
<li>CALB aims to raise up to US$1.7bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>


CALB aims to raise up to US$1.7bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about IPO pricing.


CALB IPO - Low-End Appears Reasonable but Will Still Need Some Charging Support

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Dr Ing hc F Porsche  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Porsche is EV of 83.6 billion EUR, implied market cap of 88.9 billion EUR, and target base case price target of 98 EUR per share. </li>
<li>This represents 23% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range. Given the relative solid upside, we have a Positive View of the Porsche IPO. </li>
<li>The market related risk is clearly the biggest risk for the Porsche IPO right now in our view. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Porsche is EV of 83.6 billion EUR, implied market cap of 88.9 billion EUR, and target base case price target of 98 EUR per share. 
This represents 23% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range. Given the relative solid upside, we have a Positive View of the Porsche IPO. 
The market related risk is clearly the biggest risk for the Porsche IPO right now in our view. 


United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

Leapmotor IPO: Trading Debut

Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus. Leapmotor, at best, is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue...

Arun George

Leapmotor IPO - Weak Demand but Concentrated Allocation

Leapmotor (9863 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.

Sumeet Singh

Tesla's Q3 Ests Are Fading On Weaker China Sales—Again

Market consensus on Q3 deliveries has been dropping toward my 330,000 estimate on weaker China sales, as in Q2. This time they can't blame Covid...

Vicki Bryan

CALB IPO - Low-End Appears Reasonable but Will Still Need Some Charging Support

CALB aims to raise up to US$1.7bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the deal valuations and run it through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

Porsche IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Porsche is EV of 83.6 billion EUR, implied market cap of 88.9 billion EUR, and target base case price target of 98 EUR...

Douglas Kim

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