China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>2460 CH/2466 CH/0792 CH/300750 CH/1211 HK/3931 HK/300274 CH: Lithium carbonate future set new low, Lithium carbonate spot renewed weakness</li>
<li>BABA: Alimama unveils new advertising platforms and discusses AI features (+)</li>
<li>TSLA: Revamped Tesla Model 3 China preorder data update (-)</li>
</ul>


2460 CH/2466 CH/0792 CH/300750 CH/1211 HK/3931 HK/300274 CH: Lithium carbonate future set new low, Lithium carbonate spot renewed weakness
BABA: Alimama unveils new advertising platforms and discusses AI features (+)
TSLA: Revamped Tesla Model 3 China preorder data update (-)


China TMT Update-2460CH/2466CH/0792 CH/300750 CH/1211 HK/3931 HK/300274 CH/BABA/TSLA:Model 3/Alimama

<ul>
<li>1810.HK/AAPL: Huawei Mate 60 supply chain order volume may have reached 15-17mn units (-/-)</li>
<li>BILI（-）： Shining! Umamusume: Pretty Derby"  is experiencing a sharp decline in popularity.</li>
<li>LI/XPEV/NIO/BYD/ TSLA/ Leap: MIIT Aims for 9mn NEV Sales in 2023 (+/+/+/+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


1810.HK/AAPL: Huawei Mate 60 supply chain order volume may have reached 15-17mn units (-/-)
BILI（-）： Shining! Umamusume: Pretty Derby"  is experiencing a sharp decline in popularity.
LI/XPEV/NIO/BYD/ TSLA/ Leap: MIIT Aims for 9mn NEV Sales in 2023 (+/+/+/+/+/+)


China TMT Update- 1810.HK/AAPL/BILI/LI/XPEV/NIO/BYD/TSLA/Leap-Huawei Mate 60/Pretty Derby/9mn NEV

<ul>
<li>TSLA/XPEV/1211: Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China at higher starting price (/-/-)</li>
<li>IQ：iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion inspection (-)</li>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update/Beke: Beijing and Shanghai followed on implementing the housing loan loosening policy, transaction willingness improved immediately</li>
</ul>


TSLA/XPEV/1211: Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China at higher starting price (/-/-)
IQ：iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion inspection (-)
Real Estate Industry Update/Beke: Beijing and Shanghai followed on implementing the housing loan loosening policy, transaction willingness improved immediately


China TMT Update-TSLA/XPEV/1211/IQ/Beke:Beijing and Shanghai Housing Loan Loosening;revamped Model 3

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Vietnamese automaker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast (VFS US)</a> made its public debut on 15th August via a SPAC deal which valued the company approx. US$23bn.</li>
<li>Shares opened US$22 per share and went up to $37.06 at the end of first-day. Share price hit a peak of $82.35, however, shares closed last at $34.71 per share.</li>
<li>Our forecasts and valuation for Vinfast suggest that the company’s shares are still overvalued even after falling more than 50% from its peak over the last few days.</li>
</ul>


Vietnamese automaker Vinfast (VFS US) made its public debut on 15th August via a SPAC deal which valued the company approx. US$23bn.
Shares opened US$22 per share and went up to $37.06 at the end of first-day. Share price hit a peak of $82.35, however, shares closed last at $34.71 per share.
Our forecasts and valuation for Vinfast suggest that the company’s shares are still overvalued even after falling more than 50% from its peak over the last few days.


Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a>, the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, commenced trading on the 14 August. And promptly took off. </li>
<li>VinFast's current market cap is ~4x <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/general-motors-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18811:1" rel="noopener">General Motors (GM US)</a>'s, twice that of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercedes-benz-group-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21602:1" rel="noopener">Mercedes-Benz (MBG GR)</a>'s, and the second-largest pure-play EV-maker after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla  (TSLA US)</a>.</li>
<li>Vingroup's holding in VinFast is worth 13x its market cap. This is not sustainable. </li>
</ul>



VinFast (VFS US), the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), commenced trading on the 14 August. And promptly took off. 
VinFast's current market cap is ~4x General Motors (GM US)'s, twice that of Mercedes-Benz (MBG GR)'s, and the second-largest pure-play EV-maker after Tesla  (TSLA US).
Vingroup's holding in VinFast is worth 13x its market cap. This is not sustainable. 


Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Tesla (TSLA US)

China TMT Update-2460CH/2466CH/0792 CH/300750 CH/1211 HK/3931 HK/300274 CH/BABA/TSLA:Model 3/Alimama

Lithium carbonate future set new low, Lithium carbonate spot renewed weakness; Alimama unveils new advertising platforms/TSLA: Revamped Tesla Model...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update- 1810.HK/AAPL/BILI/LI/XPEV/NIO/BYD/TSLA/Leap-Huawei Mate 60/Pretty Derby/9mn NEV

Huawei Mate 60 supply chain order volume may have reached 15-17mn units; Shining! Umamusume: Pretty Derby" is experiencing a sharp decline; MIIT...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-TSLA/XPEV/1211/IQ/Beke:Beijing and Shanghai Housing Loan Loosening;revamped Model 3

Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China ;iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

Vingroup has undeniable scale advantages to maintain its property sector leadership. Yet a property recovery in what has been a largely unregulated...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China TMT Update-2460CH/2466CH/0792 CH/300750 CH/1211 HK/3931 HK/300274 CH/BABA/TSLA:Model 3/Alimama

Lithium carbonate future set new low, Lithium carbonate spot renewed weakness; Alimama unveils new advertising platforms/TSLA: Revamped Tesla Model...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update- 1810.HK/AAPL/BILI/LI/XPEV/NIO/BYD/TSLA/Leap-Huawei Mate 60/Pretty Derby/9mn NEV

Huawei Mate 60 supply chain order volume may have reached 15-17mn units; Shining! Umamusume: Pretty Derby" is experiencing a sharp decline; MIIT...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-TSLA/XPEV/1211/IQ/Beke:Beijing and Shanghai Housing Loan Loosening;revamped Model 3

Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China ;iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

​After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

Vingroup has undeniable scale advantages to maintain its property sector leadership. Yet a property recovery in what has been a largely unregulated...

David Blennerhassett

After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...