Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Much of the unwarranted hype surrounding Tesla involves its supposed lead in autonomous driving technology. While various independent studies have debunked this idea and some show the company actually trailing most peers, some of this may be attributed to Tesla’s insistence on avoiding the use of lidar. Nevertheless, even when it comes to pure camera and radar-based systems, the reality of Tesla’s competitive advantage is decidedly underwhelming, as OpenPilot demonstrates.</p>

Much of the unwarranted hype surrounding Tesla involves its supposed lead in autonomous driving technology. While various independent studies have debunked this idea and some show the company actually trailing most peers, some of this may be attributed to Tesla’s insistence on avoiding the use of lidar. Nevertheless, even when it comes to pure camera and radar-based systems, the reality of Tesla’s competitive advantage is decidedly underwhelming, as OpenPilot demonstrates.

Tesla – Autonomous Driving or Advantage Delusion?

Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>With only 40+ days left before the Presidential Election in the U.S, China is wisely taking a laissez faire approach to the bilateral issues and conflicts, waiting Trump out until after November. However, Beijing understands the White House’s targeting at China enjoys bipartisan support at this moment, one of the few exceptions of today’s politics in the U.S.</div>

With only 40+ days left before the Presidential Election in the U.S, China is wisely taking a laissez faire approach to the bilateral issues and conflicts, waiting Trump out until after November. However, Beijing understands the White House’s targeting at China enjoys bipartisan support at this moment, one of the few exceptions of today’s politics in the U.S.

Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<h2>China News That Matters</h2>
<ul>
<li>Evergrande, the world’s most indebted property firm </li>
<li>Stay home, stay safe, spend more</li>
<li>Sell those exports like imports </li>
<li>Chinese firms choose own capital markets</li>
<li>Roaring (quietly) once more, electric vehicles excite China </li>
</ul>
<div class="content-remarks">
<p>In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.</p>
</div>

China News That Matters

Evergrande, the world’s most indebted property firm 
Stay home, stay safe, spend more
Sell those exports like imports 
Chinese firms choose own capital markets
Roaring (quietly) once more, electric vehicles excite China 


In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.


Evergrande/ Golden Week/ Economy/ US-China/ Autos

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

Credit

<p><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> may buy as much as 10% in LG Energy Solution, the battery business about to be spun off by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a></strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener"></a><strong>,</strong> according to unnamed sources talking to <a href="https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/tech/2020/09/419_296818.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Korean Times</a>.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><em>Read on for <strong>Bond Angle</strong> take: What this may signal for Tesla, LG Energy, and LG Chem.</em></p></div>

Tesla Motors (TSLA US) may buy as much as 10% in LG Energy Solution, the battery business about to be spun off by LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS), according to unnamed sources talking to Korean Times.Read on for Bond Angle take: What this may signal for Tesla, LG Energy, and LG Chem.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<div>
<p>In <em><a href="https://skr.ma/Bx5Bh" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: Evergrande Auto (708 HK) Tapping All &amp; Sundry; ASM Pacific Going Private?</a></em>, I discussed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-health-industry-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:713:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Auto (708 HK)</a>'s (also officially known as China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group) <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/0918/2020091800129.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a> of an intention to list on Shanghai's Sci-Tech Board (also known as the "Star Market").</p>
<p>A notice for the EGM has now been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/0925/2020092501950.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">despatched</a>. The EGM will be held on the 20 October. Pricing has yet to be determined for the listing, but the announcement states:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The offer price shall not be lower than the closing price of the Hong Kong Shares immediately prior to the date of the Board meeting approving the Proposed Issue of RMB Shares, i.e. HK$25.00 per Share.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Shares are down ~20% since that Board meeting - after taking into account today's 20% gain.  </p>
<p>Applying the timeline for a handful of precedent RMB issuances,  Evergrande Auto's listing on the STAR board could potentially take place in late Jan/early Feb 2021. </p>
<p>As usual, more below the fold.</p>
</div>


In StubWorld: Evergrande Auto (708 HK) Tapping All &amp; Sundry; ASM Pacific Going Private?, I discussed Evergrande Auto (708 HK)'s (also officially known as China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group) announcement of an intention to list on Shanghai's Sci-Tech Board (also known as the "Star Market").
A notice for the EGM has now been despatched. The EGM will be held on the 20 October. Pricing has yet to be determined for the listing, but the announcement states:

The offer price shall not be lower than the closing price of the Hong Kong Shares immediately prior to the date of the Board meeting approving the Proposed Issue of RMB Shares, i.e. HK$25.00 per Share.

Shares are down ~20% since that Board meeting - after taking into account today's 20% gain.  
Applying the timeline for a handful of precedent RMB issuances,  Evergrande Auto's listing on the STAR board could potentially take place in late Jan/early Feb 2021. 
As usual, more below the fold.


Evergrande Auto (708 HK): EGM Ahead Of Star Market Listing

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

Tesla – Autonomous Driving or Advantage Delusion?

Much of the unwarranted hype surrounding Tesla involves its supposed lead in autonomous driving technology. While various independent studies have...

Mio Kato

China Macro and Geopolitical Briefing

With only 40+ days left before the Presidential Election in the U.S, China is wisely taking a laissez faire approach to the bilateral issues and...

JL Warren Capital

Evergrande/ Golden Week/ Economy/ US-China/ Autos

China News That Matters

Diana Choyleva

Rumor: Tesla Might Buy 10% of LG Energy

Tesla Motors (TSLA US) may buy as much as 10% in LG Energy Solution, the battery business about to be spun off as an eagerly awaited IPO in...

Vicki Bryan

Evergrande Auto (708 HK): EGM Ahead Of Star Market Listing

This week in StubWorld ... Three days after raising HK$4bn via a top-up placement, Evergrande Auto (708 HK) ("EA") also officially known...

David Blennerhassett

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