Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> March rebalance ends next week. We highlight the 3 potential inclusions and exclusions for the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126:1" rel="noopener">Lasertec Corp (6920)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723)</a> remain our top inclusions, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyobo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6187:1" rel="noopener">Toyobo Co Ltd (3101)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-light-metal-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1485:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Light Metal (5703)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2796:1" rel="noopener">Toho Zinc (5707)</a> could be deleted.</li>
<li>Due to the large size difference between the potential adds/deletes, there will be a large funding trade with passive trackers needing to sell over 1x ADV on many index constituents.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) March rebalance ends next week. We highlight the 3 potential inclusions and exclusions for the index.

Lasertec Corp (6920), Oriental Land (4661) and Renesas Electronics (6723) remain our top inclusions, while Toyobo Co Ltd (3101), Nippon Light Metal (5703) and Toho Zinc (5707) could be deleted.
Due to the large size difference between the potential adds/deletes, there will be a large funding trade with passive trackers needing to sell over 1x ADV on many index constituents.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (March): Potential Changes as Review Period Nears End

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Established as a domestic photographic film manufacturing company, Fujifilm has successfully evolved into a healthcare company with majority revenue earned from medical and life science related businesses.</li>
<li>Fujifilm is now a leading player in Bio CDMO market through a combination of acquisitions and in-house developed capabilities. The company has gained recognition among leading pharmaceutical companies.</li>
<li>We think there is further upside to Fujifilm’s valuation multiples as the market still values the stock as an image/photography company and not in line with healthcare peers.</li>
</ul>


Established as a domestic photographic film manufacturing company, Fujifilm has successfully evolved into a healthcare company with majority revenue earned from medical and life science related businesses.
Fujifilm is now a leading player in Bio CDMO market through a combination of acquisitions and in-house developed capabilities. The company has gained recognition among leading pharmaceutical companies.
We think there is further upside to Fujifilm’s valuation multiples as the market still values the stock as an image/photography company and not in line with healthcare peers.


Fujifilm: An Inspiring Transformation Story

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terumo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6708:1" rel="noopener">Terumo Corp (4543 JP)</a> recorded double-digit revenue growth in H1FY23, with record-high Q2 revenue exceeding ¥200 billion. All three businesses of Terumo reported growth during H1FY23.</li>
<li>Cardiac and vascular segment remained the key growth driver and grew 21%, driven by a 24% y/y growth in overseas revenue amid the recovery and growth of medical demand.</li>
<li>Inflation and normalization of sales and marketing activities impacted the profitability of the company. To improve profitability Terumo has taken further price increase in second half.</li>
</ul>



Terumo Corp (4543 JP) recorded double-digit revenue growth in H1FY23, with record-high Q2 revenue exceeding ¥200 billion. All three businesses of Terumo reported growth during H1FY23.
Cardiac and vascular segment remained the key growth driver and grew 21%, driven by a 24% y/y growth in overseas revenue amid the recovery and growth of medical demand.
Inflation and normalization of sales and marketing activities impacted the profitability of the company. To improve profitability Terumo has taken further price increase in second half.


Terumo Corp (4543 JP): H1FY23 Results Reflect Continued Recovery from the Pandemic

Acotec Scientific Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acotec-scientific-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32176:1" rel="noopener">Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK)</a> is an early-mover in peripheral drug coated balloon market in China and holds a dominant 85%+ market share.  </li>
<li>On November 7, Acotec received its first FDA approval for Vericor, a peripheral support catheter designed to enhance access to peripheral vessels.</li>
<li>Acotec started 2022 on a strong note, with revenue increasing 25% y/y in H1 2022 due to increasing adoption of the company’s product in Chinese hospitals.</li>
</ul>



Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK) is an early-mover in peripheral drug coated balloon market in China and holds a dominant 85%+ market share.  
On November 7, Acotec received its first FDA approval for Vericor, a peripheral support catheter designed to enhance access to peripheral vessels.
Acotec started 2022 on a strong note, with revenue increasing 25% y/y in H1 2022 due to increasing adoption of the company’s product in Chinese hospitals.


Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK): Base Business, Geography Expansion, New Launch to Drive Growth

Equity Capital Markets

OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orbusneich-medical-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34918:1" rel="noopener">OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK)</a> is among the top six players in PCI balloon markets in terms of sales volume in multiple countries including China, Japan, the U.S., and Europe.</li>
<li>OrbusNeich earns ~60% of revenue from Europe, Japan, and the U.S. The company’s high exposure to international markets safeguards it from the low prices commanded by China’s centralized procurement system.</li>
<li>With diversified product portfolio, robust inhouse production facilities, established global sales network, rich pipeline enabling continuous launching of new products, and growing market demand, OrbusNeich is well-positioned for strong growth.</li>
</ul>



OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK) is among the top six players in PCI balloon markets in terms of sales volume in multiple countries including China, Japan, the U.S., and Europe.
OrbusNeich earns ~60% of revenue from Europe, Japan, and the U.S. The company’s high exposure to international markets safeguards it from the low prices commanded by China’s centralized procurement system.
With diversified product portfolio, robust inhouse production facilities, established global sales network, rich pipeline enabling continuous launching of new products, and growing market demand, OrbusNeich is well-positioned for strong growth.


Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group: Large Global Exposure Protects from Negative Price Effect in China

Japan

TERUMO CORPORATION is a manufacturer and supplier of pharmaceuticals and medical tools and equipment.  The Company's products include health foods, transfusion and infusion equipment, disposable medical supply, clinical testing systems, artificial organs, and electronic thermometers.  Terumo markets the products through its subsidiaries and sales offices in the US, Europe, and Asia.

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Terumo Corp (4543 JP)

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (March): Potential Changes as Review Period Nears End

With a week left in the review period, we revisit the potential NKY changes in March & highlight top add/delete candidates. There will be a large...

Brian Freitas

Fujifilm: An Inspiring Transformation Story

Fujifilm has successfully transformed from an imaging solutions provider to a global healthcare company. Market still values the company as a...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA