Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance for the HSIII Index only involves capping to limit stocks to 12% of the index weight. There will not be any constituent changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.9bn (US$378m).</li>
<li>The largest outflows are expected to be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> with inflows spread across the other index constituents.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance for the HSIII Index only involves capping to limit stocks to 12% of the index weight. There will not be any constituent changes.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.9bn (US$378m).
The largest outflows are expected to be from Meituan (3690 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) with inflows spread across the other index constituents.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Smic, Anta Sports, Cspc Pharma, Nci, Meituan, Tencent, Baba.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Smic, Anta Sports, Cspc Pharma, Nci, Meituan, Tencent, Baba.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Smic, Anta Sports, Cspc Pharma, Nci, Meituan, Tencent, Baba

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 18th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 18th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 18th): AIA, Swire Pacific, Kuaishou Technology

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JD US/BABA US/1810 HK: Jiangsu Province adds seven new products to the list of appliances eligible for subsidies(+/+/+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's MOBA Game &lt;Pokémon Unite&gt; Mobile Version Set for Release on November 7(+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent-owned Riot Games Announces Layoffs, Offering Severance of at Least Six Months' Salary, Aiming to Keep &lt;League of Legends&gt; Thriving for 15 More Years(/)</li>
</ul>


JD US/BABA US/1810 HK: Jiangsu Province adds seven new products to the list of appliances eligible for subsidies(+/+/+)
700 HK: Tencent's MOBA Game &lt;Pokémon Unite&gt; Mobile Version Set for Release on November 7(+)
700 HK: Tencent-owned Riot Games Announces Layoffs, Offering Severance of at Least Six Months' Salary, Aiming to Keep &lt;League of Legends&gt; Thriving for 15 More Years(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

<ul>
<li>Tencent’s &lt;Peacekeeper&gt; saw a strong player return and robust revenue performance due to introducing new gameplay modes, with projected gross billings for 2024 expected to exceed RMB 20 billion.</li>
<li>&lt;DnF Mobile&gt; continues to perform well, maintaining high popularity, leading to an upward revision of its annual revenue forecast.</li>
<li>New games &lt;Civilization Mobile&gt; and &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; experienced a sharp decline in popularity, and with a late release, their contribution to 2024 revenue is expected to be limited.</li>
</ul>


Tencent’s &lt;Peacekeeper&gt; saw a strong player return and robust revenue performance due to introducing new gameplay modes, with projected gross billings for 2024 expected to exceed RMB 20 billion.
&lt;DnF Mobile&gt; continues to perform well, maintaining high popularity, leading to an upward revision of its annual revenue forecast.
New games &lt;Civilization Mobile&gt; and &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; experienced a sharp decline in popularity, and with a late release, their contribution to 2024 revenue is expected to be limited.


China Online Game Grossing Monitor: September 23 - October 10, 2024

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December

No constituent changes but there will be capping flows. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Smic, Anta Sports, Cspc Pharma, Nci, Meituan, Tencent, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 10th and highlight short interest changes in Smic, Anta Sports, Cspc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 18th): AIA, Swire Pacific, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK

Jiangsu Province adds new products to subsidy list; Tencent to release Pokémon Unite mobile game; Riot Games announces layoffs to support League...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Online Game Grossing Monitor: September 23 - October 10, 2024

Tencent's flagship titles thrive with new gameplay modes, while NetEase's new game struggles with declining popularity and late releases impacting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December

No constituent changes but there will be capping flows. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Smic, Anta Sports, Cspc Pharma, Nci, Meituan, Tencent, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 10th and highlight short interest changes in Smic, Anta Sports, Cspc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 18th): AIA, Swire Pacific, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK

​Jiangsu Province adds new products to subsidy list; Tencent to release Pokémon Unite mobile game; Riot Games announces layoffs to support League...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Online Game Grossing Monitor: September 23 - October 10, 2024

​Tencent's flagship titles thrive with new gameplay modes, while NetEase's new game struggles with declining popularity and late releases impacting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Jiangsu Province adds new products to subsidy list; Tencent to release Pokémon Unite mobile game; Riot Games announces layoffs to support League...

Tencent's flagship titles thrive with new gameplay modes, while NetEase's new game struggles with declining popularity and late releases impacting...