Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue grew 0.1% YoY to RMB135.5bn (vs consensus RMB140.7bn) while reported OP decreased 34% YoY to RMB37.2bn (vs consensus RMB37.3bn).</li>
<li>Adjusted OP was down 36% YoY to RMB22.3bn while adjusted OPM declined to 39.2% from 56.1% in the same period a year ago.</li>
<li>Tencent’s 1Q2022 revenues were below our estimates of RMB144.3bn which was mainly due to significant drop in Fintech and business services revenues.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue grew 0.1% YoY to RMB135.5bn (vs consensus RMB140.7bn) while reported OP decreased 34% YoY to RMB37.2bn (vs consensus RMB37.3bn).
Adjusted OP was down 36% YoY to RMB22.3bn while adjusted OPM declined to 39.2% from 56.1% in the same period a year ago.
Tencent’s 1Q2022 revenues were below our estimates of RMB144.3bn which was mainly due to significant drop in Fintech and business services revenues.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Authorities encourage platform economy and restarted approving the licenses for new games.</li>
<li>Fintech just met a high comparison base in 1Q21 and we believe the growth rate will rise.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 39% for the year end 2022.</li>
</ul>


Authorities encourage platform economy and restarted approving the licenses for new games.
Fintech just met a high comparison base in 1Q21 and we believe the growth rate will rise.
We believe the stock has an upside of 39% for the year end 2022.


Tencent (700 HK): 1Q22, Zero Growth, But Will Recover for New Policies, Upgrade to Buy

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> released a solid set of 1Q2022 results, with very strong YoY growth in e-commerce GAAP revenues, and a predictable softening of gaming revenues given greater mobility in 1Q2022. </li>
<li>A key highlight was improving profitability with the adjusted EBITDA loss per order falling 70% in South-East Asia and Taiwan. Management also signalled that gaming revenues started stabilising end 1Q2022.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> saw a strong rally post these results given guidance was maintained albeit with a wider range. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> is now trading at a discount to peers.</li>
</ul>



Sea Ltd released a solid set of 1Q2022 results, with very strong YoY growth in e-commerce GAAP revenues, and a predictable softening of gaming revenues given greater mobility in 1Q2022. 
A key highlight was improving profitability with the adjusted EBITDA loss per order falling 70% in South-East Asia and Taiwan. Management also signalled that gaming revenues started stabilising end 1Q2022.

Sea Ltd (SE US) saw a strong rally post these results given guidance was maintained albeit with a wider range. Sea Ltd is now trading at a discount to peers.


Sea Ltd (SE US) - Reading the Positive Signals

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: PBOC isn’t done with fintech as ethics governance regulations loom</li><li>China detects new omicron subvariant considered more infectious</li><li>China’s developers slash investment for first time since 2020</li></ul>

In Depth: PBOC isn’t done with fintech as ethics governance regulations loomChina detects new omicron subvariant considered more infectiousChina’s developers slash investment for first time since 2020

CX Daily: PBOC Isn’t Done With Fintech As Ethics Governance Regulations Loom

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 6th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight week on week short spike in Bilibili, and Sany Heavy. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 6th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight week on week short spike in Bilibili, and Sany Heavy. 


HK Short Interest: Short Spikes for Bilibili, Sany Heavy

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent 1Q2022– Weaker than Expected

Revenue and OP missed consensus, revenue was flat YoY. Internet VAS and Online advertising expected to be weak but fintech revenues were impacted...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q22, Zero Growth, But Will Recover for New Policies, Upgrade to Buy

Authorities encourage platform economy and restarted approve new games. Fintech just met a high comparison base in 1Q21 and we believe the growth...

Ming Lu

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Reading the Positive Signals

Sea Ltd saw a strong rally post results given guidance was maintained albeit with a wider range, and it is trading at a discount to peers, despite...

Angus Mackintosh

CX Daily: PBOC Isn’t Done With Fintech As Ethics Governance Regulations Loom

In Depth: PBOC isn’t done with fintech as ethics governance regulations loom. China detects new omicron subvariant considered more infectious

Caixin Global

HK Short Interest: Short Spikes for Bilibili, Sany Heavy

We highlight week on week short spike in Bilibili (9626 HK), and Sany Heavy (631 HK) based on the latest HK SFC Short Aggregate report..

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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