Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As <a href="https://www.reuters.com/technology/china-grants-licences-60-online-games-june-2022-06-07/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported by Reuters</a>, yesterday China’s gaming regulator granted licences for 60 new games, none of which were published by Tencent or NetEase. </li>
<li>The two dominant companies in the industry did not feature in the list of 45 approvals in April either and this pattern should not be ignored by investors. </li>
<li>The lack of approval of foreign titles in the two batches is also striking and a further negative in our view.</li>
</ul>


As reported by Reuters, yesterday China’s gaming regulator granted licences for 60 new games, none of which were published by Tencent or NetEase. 
The two dominant companies in the industry did not feature in the list of 45 approvals in April either and this pattern should not be ignored by investors. 
The lack of approval of foreign titles in the two batches is also striking and a further negative in our view.


Tencent – Cold Shoulder On New Game Approvals Is A Concern

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval last night for June batch, after a break in May.</li>
<li>We discussed in our previous note that China had resume game approval but at a slower pace.</li>
<li>Tencent and Netease continue to score zero in June domestic game approval.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval last night for June batch, after a break in May.
We discussed in our previous note that China had resume game approval but at a slower pace.
Tencent and Netease continue to score zero in June domestic game approval.


Tencent/Netease: Smell of Common Prosperity in June Game Approval

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas (316 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA (1299 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (939 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), SMIC (981 HK), Orient Overseas (316 HK), Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), Lenovo (992 HK).
The largest outflows will be on Meituan (3690 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), ASM Pacific (522 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Construction Bank (939 HK), HKEX (388 HK).


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.</li>
<li>Placements stole the limelight this week with Tsingtao, Woodside and Digital Tel Infra all managing to do well.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.
Placements stole the limelight this week with Tsingtao, Woodside and Digital Tel Infra all managing to do well.


ECM Weekly (5th June 2022) - Tsingtao, Woodside, Digital Tel, CALB, Scivita

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.8bn, split (roughly) US$0.2bn for Shanghai and US$0.6bn Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (1398 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.8bn, split (roughly) US$0.2bn for Shanghai and US$0.6bn Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into  CNOOC Ltd (883 HK), China Mobile (941 HK), and Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK). The largest outflows were in Tencent (700 HK) and ICBC (1398 HK).


Shanghai/​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 June 2022)

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent – Cold Shoulder On New Game Approvals Is A Concern

Regulators leaving Tencent and NetEase titles off of new approvals should concern investors as it could be a sign that any easing of regulatory...

Mio Kato

Tencent/Netease: Smell of Common Prosperity in June Game Approval

We analyzed the latest mobile game approval in China released last night. Though it is encouraging that China gives game approval after a break in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use todays close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the three...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (5th June 2022) - Tsingtao, Woodside, Digital Tel, CALB, Scivita

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.8bn, split (roughly) US$0.2bn for Shanghai Southbound and US$0.6bn for Shenzhen Southbound.

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent – Cold Shoulder On New Game Approvals Is A Concern

Regulators leaving Tencent and NetEase titles off of new approvals should concern investors as it could be a sign that any easing of regulatory...

Mio Kato

Tencent/Netease: Smell of Common Prosperity in June Game Approval

We analyzed the latest mobile game approval in China released last night. Though it is encouraging that China gives game approval after a break in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use todays close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the three...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (5th June 2022) - Tsingtao, Woodside, Digital Tel, CALB, Scivita

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Shanghai/​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.8bn, split (roughly) US$0.2bn for Shanghai Southbound and US$0.6bn for Shenzhen Southbound.

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 June 2022)