Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares.</li>
<li>We have spoken about the background of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the overnight updates.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares.
We have spoken about the background of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the overnight updates.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - All Shares in CCASS - More Pressure Now but Will Have a Shorter Overhang

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Following the settlement of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>'s in-specie dividend, nearly all the shares are now in CCASS. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> has underperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> by nearly 50% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> by 27% since the announcement of the in-specie dividend.</li>
<li>Short interest is higher over the last couple of months but is far lower than the selling that could come through, especially on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> holding.</li>
</ul>


Following the settlement of Meituan (3690 HK) shares from Tencent (700 HK)'s in-specie dividend, nearly all the shares are now in CCASS. 

Meituan (3690 HK) has underperformed Tencent (700 HK) by nearly 50% and Alibaba Group (9988 HK) by 27% since the announcement of the in-specie dividend.
Short interest is higher over the last couple of months but is far lower than the selling that could come through, especially on the Prosus (PRX NA) holding.


Meituan (3690 HK): All Stock in CCASS Now; Tracking the Selling

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dpc-dash-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36556:1" rel="noopener">DPC Dash (1405 HK)</a> raised around US$75m, after pricing its IPO at the bottom-end. </li>
<li>The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 604 stores across 17 cities, as of Feb 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



DPC Dash (1405 HK) raised around US$75m, after pricing its IPO at the bottom-end. 
The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 604 stores across 17 cities, as of Feb 2023.
In this note, we talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.


DPC Dash IPO Trading - Tepid Demand Even as Capital Group Tops Up

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese Apps’ time on site decreased to 26.7 hours in 2022 from 28.5 hours in 2021.</li>
<li>The Press and Publication Administration approved 27 imported games in March.</li>
<li>Douyin launched a medium-duration video app, which can be Bilibili's competitor.</li>
</ul>


Chinese Apps’ time on site decreased to 26.7 hours in 2022 from 28.5 hours in 2021.
The Press and Publication Administration approved 27 imported games in March.
Douyin launched a medium-duration video app, which can be Bilibili's competitor.


China Internet Weekly (27Mar2023): Douyin, Bilibili, Tencent, NetEase, JD Health, Zhihu

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/ JD/ PDD/ VIPS: Tmall outlines upcoming changes to its platform (-/-/-/-)</li>
<li>LI: Li Auto CEO reveals six pure EVs in pipeline(+)</li>
<li>700HK/NTES/BILI/: Game industry in general:  Domestic game codes published by NPPA（+）</li>
</ul>


BABA/ JD/ PDD/ VIPS: Tmall outlines upcoming changes to its platform (-/-/-/-)
LI: Li Auto CEO reveals six pure EVs in pipeline(+)
700HK/NTES/BILI/: Game industry in general:  Domestic game codes published by NPPA（+）


China TMT Update (Mar.27) - BABA/JD/ PDD/VIPS/LI/700HK/NTES/BILI/ - Tmall Outlines Upcoming Changes

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent Meituan Dividend - All Shares in CCASS - More Pressure Now but Will Have a Shorter Overhang

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Meituan (3690 HK): All Stock in CCASS Now; Tracking the Selling

All Meituan stock from Tencent's distribution is in CCASS. Prosus has likely started to sell stock; shorts are small compared to the Prosus...

Brian Freitas

DPC Dash IPO Trading - Tepid Demand Even as Capital Group Tops Up

DPC Dash (1405 HK) raised around US$75m, after pricing its IPO at the bottom-end. In this note, we will talk about the subscription levels and...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (27Mar2023): Douyin, Bilibili, Tencent, NetEase, JD Health, Zhihu

Apps’ time on site decreased in 2022 in China. The authorities approved 27 imported games in March. Douyin launched a Bilibili-like app, Green Peach.

Ming Lu

China TMT Update (Mar.27) - BABA/JD/ PDD/VIPS/LI/700HK/NTES/BILI/ - Tmall Outlines Upcoming Changes

BABA/JD/PDD/VIPS: Tmall outlines upcoming changes(-/-/-/-); LI: Li Auto CEO reveals six pure EVs in pipeline(+); 700HK/NTES/BILI/game industry in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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