Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows showing reversion tendencies still. Hs up vs As only slightly. Liquid Hs were down vs As. </li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND saw HK$144bn of net INflows on the week to 22 Dec, which was HK$4bn of Tencent net sales and net buying of a bunch of ETFs.</li>
<li>Some banks and energy names were top net inflows as a percentage of ADV. This week was heavy for SOUTHBOUND, quiet for foreigners, next week may be quiet for both.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND flows showing reversion tendencies still. Hs up vs As only slightly. Liquid Hs were down vs As. 
SOUTHBOUND saw HK$144bn of net INflows on the week to 22 Dec, which was HK$4bn of Tencent net sales and net buying of a bunch of ETFs.
Some banks and energy names were top net inflows as a percentage of ADV. This week was heavy for SOUTHBOUND, quiet for foreigners, next week may be quiet for both.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22Dec23); CNOOC/Energy To The Buy Side; Tencent Heavily Sold, Again.

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China has tightened restrictions on online games again driving significant falls in names such as Tencent and NetEase. </li>
<li>While the move may surprise some given prior moves to restart approvals in our view the overall trend of regulation is not especially surprising. </li>
<li>In particular, the tightened regulations appear to target the most important drivers of mobile gaming profitability and today’s large drops may actually be underreactions.</li>
</ul>


China has tightened restrictions on online games again driving significant falls in names such as Tencent and NetEase. 
While the move may surprise some given prior moves to restart approvals in our view the overall trend of regulation is not especially surprising. 
In particular, the tightened regulations appear to target the most important drivers of mobile gaming profitability and today’s large drops may actually be underreactions.


Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) </li>
<li>However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;</li>
<li>We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.</li>
</ul>


We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) 
However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;
We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for November batch. The number of games approved is in-line with the pace of approval in recent months.</li>
<li>The Pace of China game approval stays flattish, at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Netease scored one approval while Tencent has been zeroed for five rounds.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for November batch. The number of games approved is in-line with the pace of approval in recent months.
The Pace of China game approval stays flattish, at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.
Netease scored one approval while Tencent has been zeroed for five rounds.


Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Skewed Towards Netease in '23

<ul>
<li>We prepared high beta and low risk recommendations for 2024:</li>
<li>With 2024 YE as horizon, we recommend JD.com, JD Logistics, JDHealth, Tencent and Luckin.</li>
<li>With 1H24 as horizon, we recommend KE Holdings, NetEase and Kuaishou.</li>
</ul>


We prepared high beta and low risk recommendations for 2024:
With 2024 YE as horizon, we recommend JD.com, JD Logistics, JDHealth, Tencent and Luckin.
With 1H24 as horizon, we recommend KE Holdings, NetEase and Kuaishou.


2024 High Conviction Idea - High Beta and Low Risk Recommendations

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22Dec23); CNOOC/Energy To The Buy Side; Tencent Heavily Sold, Again.

In HK Connect, SOUTHBOUND flows this week were slightly positive but the big story was a big sell of Tencent and buying of ETFs. On average, liquid...

Travis Lundy

China Gaming Restrictions 2.0

China has tightened restrictions on online games and the tightened regulations appear to target the most important drivers of mobile gaming...

Mio Kato

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Skewed Towards Netease in '23

China's game approval process remains slow, with Netease receiving one approval and Tencent facing five rounds of zero approvals.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2024 High Conviction Idea - High Beta and Low Risk Recommendations

"2024 high-beta and low-risk recommendations: JD.com, JD Logistics, JDHealth, Tencent, Luckin for 2024 YE horizon. KE Holdings, NetEase, Kuaishou...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22Dec23); CNOOC/Energy To The Buy Side; Tencent Heavily Sold, Again.

In HK Connect, SOUTHBOUND flows this week were slightly positive but the big story was a big sell of Tencent and buying of ETFs. On average, liquid...

Travis Lundy

China Gaming Restrictions 2.0

China has tightened restrictions on online games and the tightened regulations appear to target the most important drivers of mobile gaming...

Mio Kato

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

​The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Skewed Towards Netease in '23

​China's game approval process remains slow, with Netease receiving one approval and Tencent facing five rounds of zero approvals.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2024 High Conviction Idea - High Beta and Low Risk Recommendations

​"2024 high-beta and low-risk recommendations: JD.com, JD Logistics, JDHealth, Tencent, Luckin for 2024 YE horizon. KE Holdings, NetEase, Kuaishou...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

China's game approval process remains slow, with Netease receiving one approval and Tencent facing five rounds of zero approvals.

"2024 high-beta and low-risk recommendations: JD.com, JD Logistics, JDHealth, Tencent, Luckin for 2024 YE horizon. KE Holdings, NetEase, Kuaishou...