Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In my previous insight in Mid-March 2023, we had a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the HSCEI Index in June 2023.</li>
<li>Since then, our flow expectations have changed with changes in prices and/or float and total share counts.</li>
<li>Here are our latest flow expectations based on the current prices.</li>
</ul>


In my previous insight in Mid-March 2023, we had a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the HSCEI Index in June 2023.
Since then, our flow expectations have changed with changes in prices and/or float and total share counts.
Here are our latest flow expectations based on the current prices.


Quiddity HSCEI Jun 23 Flow Expectations Update: Two Expected Changes, US$608mn One-Way Flow

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Galaxy Ent, Baba, East Buy, Anta Sports, Zijin Mining, Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Galaxy Ent, Baba, East Buy, Anta Sports, Zijin Mining, Li Auto.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Galaxy Ent, Baba, East Buy, Anta Sports, Zijin Mining, Li Auto

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> delivered another tepid debut in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>There were no major placements this week, probably due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>'s less than ideal performance. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) delivered another tepid debut in Hong Kong.
There were no major placements this week, probably due to Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)'s less than ideal performance. 


ECM Weekly (1st May 2023) - ZJLD, Mankind, JD Industrial, JD Property, CPF Global Food, Horizon

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tencent will report 1Q2023E earnings on 17th May. Online gaming revenues have declined YoY for 4-consecutive quarters while social networks revenue has been down for the last two quarters.</li>
<li>Our app data analysis suggests that grossing ranks of some of Tencent’s key domestic titles have dropped during 1Q2023 while international titles show an improvement during the quarter.</li>
<li>Our regression model suggests that Tencent’s internet value-added services biz’s revenues would grow at lower single digits in 1Q2023E and is still playing catch up with its own self.</li>
</ul>


Tencent will report 1Q2023E earnings on 17th May. Online gaming revenues have declined YoY for 4-consecutive quarters while social networks revenue has been down for the last two quarters.
Our app data analysis suggests that grossing ranks of some of Tencent’s key domestic titles have dropped during 1Q2023 while international titles show an improvement during the quarter.
Our regression model suggests that Tencent’s internet value-added services biz’s revenues would grow at lower single digits in 1Q2023E and is still playing catch up with its own self.


Tencent: Internet VAS Business Still Playing Catch Up

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 28th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 28th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 28th): Aia, Swire Pacific, Ck Asset

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Quiddity HSCEI Jun 23 Flow Expectations Update: Two Expected Changes, US$608mn One-Way Flow

There seem to be 5 inflow names (including the two expected ADDs) and 47 outflow names (including the two expected DELs). My latest estimate for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Galaxy Ent, Baba, East Buy, Anta Sports, Zijin Mining, Li Auto

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 21st and highlight short interest changes in Galaxy Ent, Baba, East...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (1st May 2023) - ZJLD, Mankind, JD Industrial, JD Property, CPF Global Food, Horizon

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Tencent: Internet VAS Business Still Playing Catch Up

Our app data analysis and regression model suggest that Tencent's internet VAS business s still playing catchup with its own self. Grossing ranks...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 28th): Aia, Swire Pacific, Ck Asset

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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