Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> is in deletion zone and could be deleted. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> could be added to the index as the highest ranked non-index constituent.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.14% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.38bn. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> will be capped higher.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> is supported on its 50/100 day moving averages and could move higher. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> has been trading below its moving averages.</li>
</ul>



Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) is in deletion zone and could be deleted. China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) could be added to the index as the highest ranked non-index constituent.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.14% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.38bn. Meituan (3690 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) will be capped higher.

China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) is supported on its 50/100 day moving averages and could move higher. Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) has been trading below its moving averages.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Change; Capping Impact Increases

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Tianju Dihe Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Tianju Dihe Technology, more commonly known as Juhe Data, filed to go public in Hong Kong. The company provides standard API services through its APIHub marketplace in China. </li>
<li>Tianju Dihe Technology plans to trade on the HKSE, and CITIC Securities is leading the IPO. The company was backed by JD Technology, a fintech unit of JD.com. </li>
<li>With a market leadership position and a mission to empower the digital economy with data technologies, I have no doubt that Tianju Dihe Technology will have a successful IPO.</li>
</ul>


Tianju Dihe Technology, more commonly known as Juhe Data, filed to go public in Hong Kong. The company provides standard API services through its APIHub marketplace in China. 
Tianju Dihe Technology plans to trade on the HKSE, and CITIC Securities is leading the IPO. The company was backed by JD Technology, a fintech unit of JD.com. 
With a market leadership position and a mission to empower the digital economy with data technologies, I have no doubt that Tianju Dihe Technology will have a successful IPO.


Tianju Dihe Technology IPO Preview: Data Drives The Future

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a> lived up to its hype, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-infrastructure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35408:1" rel="noopener">JSW Infrastructure</a> continued India's strong run.</li>
<li>In the placement space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idfc-first-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26934:1" rel="noopener">IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN)</a> launched its well flagged QIP, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB Group (3931 HK)</a>'s shareholders were released from their IPO lockup.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) lived up to its hype, while JSW Infrastructure continued India's strong run.
In the placement space, IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN) launched its well flagged QIP, while CALB Group (3931 HK)'s shareholders were released from their IPO lockup.


ECM Weekly (8th Oct 2023) - Kokusai, J&T Global, Doosan, Cainiao, Ecopro, UBox, JSW Infra, Seibu

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 6th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 6th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 6th): Tencent, Aia, Xiaomi

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

<ul>
<li>During the last two weeks both discounts have widened by more than 1 percentage point, likely driven by risk-off sentiment as opposed to idiosyncratic factors. </li>
<li>Management have released the NAV update for Q2 of FY24. Naspers' NAV can be found <a href="https://www.naspers.com/investors/investing-in-naspers/net-asset-value" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and Prosus' NAV <a href="https://www.prosus.com/investors/investing-in-prosus/net-asset-value" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>During the quarter, Prosus' discount widened by 4.2 percentage points to 39.8% and Naspers' discount widened by 3.6 percentage points to 46.6%, erasing cross-holding unwind gains.</li>
</ul>


During the last two weeks both discounts have widened by more than 1 percentage point, likely driven by risk-off sentiment as opposed to idiosyncratic factors. 
Management have released the NAV update for Q2 of FY24. Naspers' NAV can be found here and Prosus' NAV here.
During the quarter, Prosus' discount widened by 4.2 percentage points to 39.8% and Naspers' discount widened by 3.6 percentage points to 46.6%, erasing cross-holding unwind gains.


Naspers & Prosus: Risk off Trade Puts Pressure on Discounts, NAV Update for Q2 FY24 Released

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Change; Capping Impact Increases

China Unicom IN, Zhongsheng Group OUT likely. Passive trackers will need to trade over 2x ADV on both stocks. Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent capped...

Brian Freitas

Tianju Dihe Technology IPO Preview: Data Drives The Future

Tianju Dihe Technology, a leading provider of API services in China, filed to go public. With healthy fundamentals, a large and growing TAM, I have...

Andrei Zakharov

ECM Weekly (8th Oct 2023) - Kokusai, J&T Global, Doosan, Cainiao, Ecopro, UBox, JSW Infra, Seibu

Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 6th): Tencent, Aia, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Naspers & Prosus: Risk off Trade Puts Pressure on Discounts, NAV Update for Q2 FY24 Released

Naspers & Prosus: discounts widen during last two weeks driven by risk-off sentiment plus Q2 FY24 NAV update released. Fresh opportunity for those...

DMA

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