External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tencent will report 3Q23 financial results on 15 Nov.</li><li>We expect 3Q23 total revenue/adjusted net income to grow by 10/26% YoY to RMB153.5/40.6bn (consensus estimates: RMB155.5/39.8bn). For 3Q23E, we forecast games/ads/fintech &amp; business services (FBS) revenue to grow by 7/23/12% YoY.</li><li>Supported by operating leverage improvement from its consumer internet business segments, Tencent is able to deliver solid earnings growth amid macro headwinds. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent will report 3Q23 financial results on 15 Nov.We expect 3Q23 total revenue/adjusted net income to grow by 10/26% YoY to RMB153.5/40.6bn (consensus estimates: RMB155.5/39.8bn). For 3Q23E, we forecast games/ads/fintech &amp; business services (FBS) revenue to grow by 7/23/12% YoY.Supported by operating leverage improvement from its consumer internet business segments, Tencent is able to deliver solid earnings growth amid macro headwinds. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent (700 HK) – Expect Steady 3Q23 Despite Macro Uncertainty

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reddit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40917:1" rel="noopener">Reddit (RDDT US)</a> is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming August review because of fcap failing the fcap threshold if it qualifies for the standard segment. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reddit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40917:1" rel="noopener">Reddit (RDDT US)</a> is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming September review because of failing the minimum public voting rights threshold.</li>
<li>The IPO lock-up expiry increases the probability for inclusion in November and December review for US and Global indices. Forecasted demand in December is ~$360m and 2.1 ADV. </li>
</ul>



Reddit (RDDT US) is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming August review because of fcap failing the fcap threshold if it qualifies for the standard segment. 

Reddit (RDDT US) is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming September review because of failing the minimum public voting rights threshold.
The IPO lock-up expiry increases the probability for inclusion in November and December review for US and Global indices. Forecasted demand in December is ~$360m and 2.1 ADV. 


Reddit (RDDT): Post-IPO Inclusion in US & Global Indices

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>China just announced game approval for September batch. The number of games approved is in-line with the pace of approval in recent month.</li>
<li>Pace of China game approval stays flattish, at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Neither Tencent or Netease received approval for any game. Same thing happened for July batch.</li>
</ul>


China just announced game approval for September batch. The number of games approved is in-line with the pace of approval in recent month.
Pace of China game approval stays flattish, at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.
Neither Tencent or Netease received approval for any game. Same thing happened for July batch.


Tencent/Netease: Zeroed for Two Rounds of Game Approval

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 19th July, online Q&amp;A play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36660:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu (2390 HK/</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">ZH US)</a> announced the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0719/2024071901181.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">buyback</a> of 46.92mn ordinary A shares (15.9% of shares out) at HK$9.11/share (US$3.50/ADS). </li>
<li>Assuming the buyback is fully taken up, chairman Yuan Zhou's stake will increase to 44.4% from 42.9% currently (held via A shares and the weighted-voting B shares). </li>
<li>The key condition is a simple majority vote from independent shareholders. Zhihu is sitting on  net cash of US$764mn. A significantly larger buyback, or higher price, could have been initiated. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 19th July, online Q&amp;A play Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US) announced the buyback of 46.92mn ordinary A shares (15.9% of shares out) at HK$9.11/share (US$3.50/ADS). 
Assuming the buyback is fully taken up, chairman Yuan Zhou's stake will increase to 44.4% from 42.9% currently (held via A shares and the weighted-voting B shares). 
The key condition is a simple majority vote from independent shareholders. Zhihu is sitting on  net cash of US$764mn. A significantly larger buyback, or higher price, could have been initiated. 


Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>The removal of their cross-holding structure has had a negligible effect on the respective discounts to NAV for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>.</li>
<li>We have seen a remarkable turnaround in Prosus’s operating performance during FY2024 and the market will focus on whether the new CEO can achieve his ambitions for “profitable growth”.</li>
<li>The open-ended share repurchase program will continue as long as the discount remains “elevated”.</li>
</ul>


The removal of their cross-holding structure has had a negligible effect on the respective discounts to NAV for Prosus NV (PRX NA) and Naspers (NPN SJ).
We have seen a remarkable turnaround in Prosus’s operating performance during FY2024 and the market will focus on whether the new CEO can achieve his ambitions for “profitable growth”.
The open-ended share repurchase program will continue as long as the discount remains “elevated”.


Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent (700 HK) – Expect Steady 3Q23 Despite Macro Uncertainty

Supported by operating leverage improvement from its consumer internet business segments, Tencent is able to deliver solid earnings growth amid...

CMB International

Reddit (RDDT): Post-IPO Inclusion in US & Global Indices

Reddit faces potential exclusion in August and September due to failing fcap threshold and public voting rights. The IPO lock-up expiry makes its...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Tencent/Netease: Zeroed for Two Rounds of Game Approval

We analyzed the latest game approval issued by NPPA. We note that both Tencent and Netease have not received approval in both September and July...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US)'s Cheeky Buyback

This is an interesting, albeit illiquid, Partial Offer. The final pro-ration was ~45% in the partial for Hengdeli, in which the Offer price was...

David Blennerhassett

Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

In this insight, we analyse Prosus’s discount to NAV, the performance of its underlying consolidated operations, cash flow generation, capital...

Wium Malan, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent (700 HK) – Expect Steady 3Q23 Despite Macro Uncertainty

Supported by operating leverage improvement from its consumer internet business segments, Tencent is able to deliver solid earnings growth amid...

CMB International

Reddit (RDDT): Post-IPO Inclusion in US & Global Indices

​Reddit faces potential exclusion in August and September due to failing fcap threshold and public voting rights. The IPO lock-up expiry makes its...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Tencent/Netease: Zeroed for Two Rounds of Game Approval

We analyzed the latest game approval issued by NPPA. We note that both Tencent and Netease have not received approval in both September and July...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US)'s Cheeky Buyback

This is an interesting, albeit illiquid, Partial Offer. The final pro-ration was ~45% in the partial for Hengdeli, in which the Offer price was...

David Blennerhassett

Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

In this insight, we analyse Prosus’s discount to NAV, the performance of its underlying consolidated operations, cash flow generation, capital...

Wium Malan, CFA

Reddit faces potential exclusion in August and September due to failing fcap threshold and public voting rights. The IPO lock-up expiry makes its...