IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case and TRYT IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. 
In TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   </li>
<li>In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   
In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.
The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.


Research from Tech in Asia, Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia

Research from Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia (YC W15) is the largest English-language technology media company that focuses on Asia. From the latest news to the hottest trends and the boldest startups to the strongest titans, we cover everything tech in the region. Our goal is to build and serve Asia’s tech and startup community.

News from Tech in Asia

Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Singapore-based Workmate, an on-demand frontline staffing platform, has been acquired by Japanese-based HR conglomerate Persol Asia Pacific for an eight-figure US dollar sum.</li><li>Workmate founder and CEO Matthew Ward told Tech in Asia that his startup chose to combine with Persol due to its reach, infrastructure, and knowledge spanning Asia.</li><li>These resources fit into Ward’s plans for accelerated growth in new markets across the continent.</li></ul>

Singapore-based Workmate, an on-demand frontline staffing platform, has been acquired by Japanese-based HR conglomerate Persol Asia Pacific for an eight-figure US dollar sum.Workmate founder and CEO Matthew Ward told Tech in Asia that his startup chose to combine with Persol due to its reach, infrastructure, and knowledge spanning Asia.These resources fit into Ward’s plans for accelerated growth in new markets across the continent.

Japanese HR Firm Persol Buys Singapore Staffing Platform Workmate

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/recruit-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15070:1" rel="noopener">Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)</a>  reported 1QFY03/2023 results on Friday. Revenue grew 26.8% YoY to JPY843.2bn (vs consensus JPY784bn) while OP increased 14.0% YoY to JPY119.3bn (vs consensus JPY106.1bn).</li>
<li>HR Tech segment’s earnings growth has started decelerating with recruitment markets normalising while matching &amp; solutions’ earnings have not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels.</li>
<li>We think there is further downside as global recruitment markets face more challenges with slowdown in economic growth and uncertain outlook.</li>
</ul>



Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)  reported 1QFY03/2023 results on Friday. Revenue grew 26.8% YoY to JPY843.2bn (vs consensus JPY784bn) while OP increased 14.0% YoY to JPY119.3bn (vs consensus JPY106.1bn).
HR Tech segment’s earnings growth has started decelerating with recruitment markets normalising while matching &amp; solutions’ earnings have not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
We think there is further downside as global recruitment markets face more challenges with slowdown in economic growth and uncertain outlook.


Conviction Call Recruit: More Downside Ahead

Japan

Persol Holdings Co., Ltd. provides human resource solutions to a wide variety of customers worldwide. The Company's main operations include temporary staffing services, contract services, and employment services. Temp Holdings also provides outsourcing services and employment support services for job seekers.

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Persol Holdings (2181 JP)

TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

TRYT IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and...

Arun George

TRYT IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA...

Arun George

Japanese HR Firm Persol Buys Singapore Staffing Platform Workmate

Singapore-based Workmate, an on-demand frontline staffing platform, has been acquired by Japanese-based HR conglomerate Persol Asia Pacific.

Tech in Asia

Conviction Call Recruit: More Downside Ahead

Our 2022 high conviction Recruit has dropped 26.8% YTD. Job openings in the US and job posting on Indeed declining as global recruitment markets...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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