External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We project a softer FY24 EPS growth outlook of +3% yoy (vs. +5% prev.) amid slowing growth in 2Q24, but see limited further downside risk.</li><li>JCI’s current 1.8x PBV (22% disc. to 10-year mean) seems unwarranted as we forecast FY24 ROE to fall only slightly to 9.5% (vs. 10y avg of 10%).</li><li>We lower our FY24-end JCI target slightly to 7,670 (vs. 7,830 prev.); our stock picks favor defensive and quality names.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project a softer FY24 EPS growth outlook of +3% yoy (vs. +5% prev.) amid slowing growth in 2Q24, but see limited further downside risk.JCI’s current 1.8x PBV (22% disc. to 10-year mean) seems unwarranted as we forecast FY24 ROE to fall only slightly to 9.5% (vs. 10y avg of 10%).We lower our FY24-end JCI target slightly to 7,670 (vs. 7,830 prev.); our stock picks favor defensive and quality names.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth Headwinds Priced In, but We Prefer Defensive and ‘quality’ Amid Lingering Uncertainties

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank Negara Indonesia Persero / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ)</a> booked a solid set of 1Q2024 results driven by +9.6% YoY growth in loans, despite being hampered by higher cost of funds amid tighter liquidity.</li>
<li>Loan growth was driven by corporate lending, with corporate SOE lending showing the strongest growth and consumer loans. Funding was driven by CASA growth which limited the squeeze on NIMs. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia</a> booked strong growth in fee income and a reduction in provisions which helped to offset the margin squeeze. Valuations remain attractive on 1.2x FY2024E PBV.</li>
</ul>



Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) booked a solid set of 1Q2024 results driven by +9.6% YoY growth in loans, despite being hampered by higher cost of funds amid tighter liquidity.
Loan growth was driven by corporate lending, with corporate SOE lending showing the strongest growth and consumer loans. Funding was driven by CASA growth which limited the squeeze on NIMs. 

Bank Negara Indonesia booked strong growth in fee income and a reduction in provisions which helped to offset the margin squeeze. Valuations remain attractive on 1.2x FY2024E PBV.


Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - The Bank Has Levers to Pull On

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Amman Mineral Internasional / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and 6 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-copper-gold-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28447:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT (MDKA IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and 6 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 30 April.
The largest passive inflows are expected in Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ), Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ) and Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT (MDKA IJ). 
With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

<ul><li>We noted Telkom’s resilient 1Q24 topline as per expectations amid seasonality which implies IOH and EXCL may also deliver inline revenue.</li><li>Expect IOH and EXCL to deliver sturdy EBITDA margins as telcos refrain from taking commercial initiativesin 1Q24, hence limited NP downside.</li><li>Maintain sector OW rating as TLKM results imply the sector remains constructive, hence recent sharp de-rating is unwarranted.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We noted Telkom’s resilient 1Q24 topline as per expectations amid seasonality which implies IOH and EXCL may also deliver inline revenue.Expect IOH and EXCL to deliver sturdy EBITDA margins as telcos refrain from taking commercial initiativesin 1Q24, hence limited NP downside.Maintain sector OW rating as TLKM results imply the sector remains constructive, hence recent sharp de-rating is unwarranted.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: 1Q24 Preview: TLKM’s Inline 1Q24 Earnings Implies Possible Limited Downside for ISAT and EXCL

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.</li>
<li>We look at Indonesian Hospitals, as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saratoga-investama-sedaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13714:1" rel="noopener">Saratoga</a> buys into Brawijaya Hospital focusing attention on the space. We also look at leading mass-market bread maker ROTI as KKR seeks an exit.</li>
<li>We also look at the telecom tower space as transactions on the Philippines heat up and examine the current state of play in Indonesian towers. </li>
</ul>


CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.
We look at Indonesian Hospitals, as Saratoga buys into Brawijaya Hospital focusing attention on the space. We also look at leading mass-market bread maker ROTI as KKR seeks an exit.
We also look at the telecom tower space as transactions on the Philippines heat up and examine the current state of play in Indonesian towers. 


CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Hospitals in Play, ROTI in Play, and Philippine Towers

Indonesia

PT Inti Bangun Sejahtera Tbk is is an independent tower company.  The Company engages in leasing space and other broadcast equipment for wireless signal transmission at tower sites under long-term lease agreement with mobile operators and wireless cable television providers.

PT Link Net Tbk provides internet services. The Company offers high-speed internet connection through fiber optic lines. Link Net caters to retail and corporate customers throughout Indonesia.

PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk operates in the tower leasing industry. The Company leases  antenna space on self-owned multi-tenant Base Transceiver Station towers primarily to mobile cellular operators.

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk provides telecommunication infrastructure services to Indonesian wireless carriers. The Company develops and operates telecommunication supporting infrastructure including tower and in-building systems across Indonesia.

PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk, through a subsidiary, builds telecommunications towers. The Company constructs, operates, and rents the towers to mobile telecommunications services providers.

PT XL Axiata Tbk provides a wide range of mobile telecommunications services in Indonesia.

PT Smartfren Telecom Tbk provides telecommunication services and general trading.

PT Bakrie Telecom Tbk offers wireless telephone services in Indonesia.

PT MNC Vision Networks Tbk. provides broadcasting services. The Company offers distribution of subscription television shows. MNC Vision Networks serves customers in Indonesia.

SBA Communications Corporation owns and operates wireless communications infrastructure in the United States. The Company offers site leasing and development, construction, and consulting services. SBA Communications leases antenna space on its multi-tenant towers to a variety of wireless service providers under long-term lease contracts.

Koninklijke KPN NV provides telecommunications services throughout the Netherlands.  The Company provides local, long distance, international, and mobile telecommunications services, voice-mail, call forwarding, ISDN Internet lines, faxing, and communications services for businesses and individuals.  KPN offers mobile telecommunications through E-Plus in Germany and BASE in Belgium.

BT Group plc provides telecommunications services. The Company provides local and long-distance telephone call products and services in the UK, international telephone calls to and from the UK, broadband network solutions and web hosting to corporate customers, network ADSL, ISDN, and IP services to communication companies and narrowband and broadband internet access and related services.

Telenor ASA is an international provider of tele, data and media communication services, and has mobile operations in 13 markets across the Nordic region, Central and Eastern Europe and Asia. The Group also offers fixed telephony, broadband and TV services in the Nordic region.

China Tower Corporation Limited operates as a telecommunication company. The Company provides telecommunication towers construction, towers maintenance, ancillary facilities management, and other services. China Tower provides its services throughout China.

Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. operates in the sector of infrastructure for electronic communications. The Company focuses on the constructions of radio transmission infrastructure (towers, trellises and poles), telecommunications and distribution of television and radio signals.

Cellnex Telecom S.A.U. is an independent operator of wireless telecommunications infrastructure and broadcast infrastructure. The Company's sites are located in Spain and Italy.

Telefonica S.A. provides telecommunications services mainly to countries in Europe and Latin America.  The Company offers fixed-line and mobile telephone, Internet, and data transmission services to residential and corporate customers.

Telia Company AB offers telecommunication services. The Company offers mobile communications services as well as operates fixed networks throughout Eurasia.

TELUS Corporation is a telecommunications company providing a variety of communications products and services. The Company provides voice, data, Internet, and wireless services to businesses and consumers in Canada.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Persero Tbk is a telecommunication company that provides a variety of domestic telecommunications services such as telephone, telex, telegram, satellite, and leased lines services.  The Company also offers electronic mail, mobile communication, and cellular phone services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM IJ)

Growth Headwinds Priced In, but We Prefer Defensive and ‘quality’ Amid Lingering Uncertainties

We project a softer FY24 EPS growth outlook of +3% yoy (vs. +5% prev.) amid slowing growth in 2Q24, but see limited further downside risk

BRI Danareksa Research

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - The Bank Has Levers to Pull On

Bank Negara Indonesia booked strong growth in fee income and a reduction in provisions which helped to offset the margin squeeze. Valuations remain...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

The Indonesian indices rebalance at the close today and there will be multiple days of volume going through on some stocks.

Brian Freitas

Telco: 1Q24 Preview: TLKM’s Inline 1Q24 Earnings Implies Possible Limited Downside for ISAT and EXCL

We noted Telkom’s resilient 1Q24 topline as per expectations amid seasonality which implies IOH and EXCL may also deliver inline revenue.

BRI Danareksa Research

CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Hospitals in Play, ROTI in Play, and Philippine Towers

This week we look at Indonesian Hospitals, as Saratoga buys into Brawijaya Hospital focusing attention on the space. We also look at leading mass...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Growth Headwinds Priced In, but We Prefer Defensive and ‘quality’ Amid Lingering Uncertainties

We project a softer FY24 EPS growth outlook of +3% yoy (vs. +5% prev.) amid slowing growth in 2Q24, but see limited further downside risk

BRI Danareksa Research

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - The Bank Has Levers to Pull On

Bank Negara Indonesia booked strong growth in fee income and a reduction in provisions which helped to offset the margin squeeze. Valuations remain...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

The Indonesian indices rebalance at the close today and there will be multiple days of volume going through on some stocks.

Brian Freitas

Telco: 1Q24 Preview: TLKM’s Inline 1Q24 Earnings Implies Possible Limited Downside for ISAT and EXCL

We noted Telkom’s resilient 1Q24 topline as per expectations amid seasonality which implies IOH and EXCL may also deliver inline revenue.

BRI Danareksa Research

CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Hospitals in Play, ROTI in Play, and Philippine Towers

This week we look at Indonesian Hospitals, as Saratoga buys into Brawijaya Hospital focusing attention on the space. We also look at leading mass...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks