HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>2023 is the worst year for our "Buy the Worst" strategy as it returned -34.5% YTD, underperforming the HSI by 20.7pp. The two property names are the key drags.</li>
<li>Despite a poor 2023, the strategy has still outperformed the HSI by 17.9pp for 2018-2023. It remains significantly better than buying the winners in the current year.</li>
<li>For 2024, our strategy is to switch to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services (6098 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


2023 is the worst year for our "Buy the Worst" strategy as it returned -34.5% YTD, underperforming the HSI by 20.7pp. The two property names are the key drags.
Despite a poor 2023, the strategy has still outperformed the HSI by 17.9pp for 2018-2023. It remains significantly better than buying the winners in the current year.
For 2024, our strategy is to switch to Li Ning (2331 HK), Country Garden Services (6098 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), and Zhongsheng Group (881 HK). 


"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Tragic 2023 and What About 2024?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB has decided to switch its benchmark for the International Stock Index Investment Fund from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index.</li>
<li>With around US$68bn invested in the I Fund, this will set off churn among the constituent stocks in 2024. One-way trade is around US$28bn with DM outflows and EM inflows.</li>
<li>The benchmark shift could be done over a 4 month period with higher trading during periods where liquidity opportunities arise.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB has decided to switch its benchmark for the International Stock Index Investment Fund from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index.
With around US$68bn invested in the I Fund, this will set off churn among the constituent stocks in 2024. One-way trade is around US$28bn with DM outflows and EM inflows.
The benchmark shift could be done over a 4 month period with higher trading during periods where liquidity opportunities arise.


FRTIB Switches Benchmarks: +EM/-DM; US$56bn Trade as Asia EM Benefits & HK Loses Out

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in HSBC, Haidilao and China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in HSBC, Haidilao and China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile

Hong Kong

Techtronic Industries Company Limited designs, manufactures, and markets power tools, outdoor power equipment, accessories, hand tools, layout and measuring tools, and floorcare and appliances. The Company's products are used by consumers, professional, and industrial users in the home improvement, repair, and construction industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Techtronic Industries (669 HK)

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Tragic 2023 and What About 2024?

2023 was bad for the "Buy the Worst" strategy, but it still outperformed the HSI for 2018-2023. In 2024, we will switch to Li Ning, Country Garden...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 15th and highlight short interest changes in Techtronic Ind, Link Reit,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FRTIB Switches Benchmarks: +EM/-DM; US$56bn Trade as Asia EM Benefits & HK Loses Out

The FRTIB has decided to switch investment benchmarks leading to inflows for Emerging Markets and Small Caps at the expense of Developed Markets...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd and highlight short interest changes in HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Tragic 2023 and What About 2024?

​2023 was bad for the "Buy the Worst" strategy, but it still outperformed the HSI for 2018-2023. In 2024, we will switch to Li Ning, Country Garden...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 15th and highlight short interest changes in Techtronic Ind, Link Reit,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FRTIB Switches Benchmarks: +EM/-DM; US$56bn Trade as Asia EM Benefits & HK Loses Out

The FRTIB has decided to switch investment benchmarks leading to inflows for Emerging Markets and Small Caps at the expense of Developed Markets...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd and highlight short interest changes in HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2023 was bad for the "Buy the Worst" strategy, but it still outperformed the HSI for 2018-2023. In 2024, we will switch to Li Ning, Country Garden...