Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.</li>
<li>A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.
A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.
Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.


Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia.</li>
<li>Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia.
Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Competition Is About to Pick-Up Again

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN)</a> is a leading FMCG food company in India. It is set to launch an IPO to raise Rs36,000 million ($483 million) at a price of Rs218-230.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/adani-wilmar-ipo-initiation-cooking-up-a-business" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:64105" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar IPO Initiation: Cooking up a Business</a>, we noted that the business is navigating the high commodity prices by delivering high growth and creditable margin performance.  </li>
<li>In this note, we present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. The offer period is from 27 to 31 January.</li>
</ul>



Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN) is a leading FMCG food company in India. It is set to launch an IPO to raise Rs36,000 million ($483 million) at a price of Rs218-230.
In Adani Wilmar IPO Initiation: Cooking up a Business, we noted that the business is navigating the high commodity prices by delivering high growth and creditable margin performance.  
In this note, we present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. The offer period is from 27 to 31 January.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN)</a> is a leading FMCG food company in India. It is set to launch an IPO to raise Rs36,000 million ($483 million) at a price of Rs218-230.</li>
<li>The business is navigating the high commodity prices by delivering high growth (price increases) and creditable margin performance in face of higher raw material costs. </li>
<li>Overall, this IPO is worth a closer look. The offer period is from 27 to 31 January. The shares will be listed on 8 February.   </li>
</ul>



Adani Wilmar (6596700Z IN) is a leading FMCG food company in India. It is set to launch an IPO to raise Rs36,000 million ($483 million) at a price of Rs218-230.
The business is navigating the high commodity prices by delivering high growth (price increases) and creditable margin performance in face of higher raw material costs. 
Overall, this IPO is worth a closer look. The offer period is from 27 to 31 January. The shares will be listed on 8 February.   


Adani Wilmar IPO Initiation: Cooking up a Business

<ul>
<li>Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>As of Sep 21, it operated 598 stores across 136 cities spread across 30 states and union territories in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO. 
As of Sep 21, it operated 598 stores across 136 cities spread across 30 states and union territories in India.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations.


Metro Brands IPO - Don't See Any Reason to Pay a Premium

India

Tata Consumer Products Limited produces food and beverage products. The Company manufactures, sells, and exports tea, coffee, salt, oil, pulses, spices, and food products. Tata Consumer Products serves customers worldwide.

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Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)

Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

Stick with Japan & India. $ACWI bounce at $86 would be ideal for the bullish case (i.e., establishing a higher low), but we could easily see a test...

Vermilion Research

Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Competition Is About to Pick-Up Again

GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Adani Wilmar IPO: Valuation Insights

Adani Wilmar is set to launch an IPO to raise $483m at a price of Rs218-230. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.

Arun George

Adani Wilmar IPO Initiation: Cooking up a Business

Adani Wilmar is set to launch an IPO to raise $483m. The business has broadly attractive fundamentals and is worth a closer look.

Arun George

Metro Brands IPO - Don't See Any Reason to Pay a Premium

Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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