Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Solar power will be cheaper than fossil fuels and EVs will be cheaper than ICE vehicles, but you can't make either without the parts that Rohme excels in. </li>
<li>Tesla is up 201% on speculation about its FSD, but Taiyo Yuden, which makes critical parts in FSD systems is down systems, is down 43%.</li>
<li>Kose is down 49%, largely on China woes, but China is no longer big enough to be a problem, and Japan and other regions growth should start to take over. </li>
</ul>


Solar power will be cheaper than fossil fuels and EVs will be cheaper than ICE vehicles, but you can't make either without the parts that Rohme excels in. 
Tesla is up 201% on speculation about its FSD, but Taiyo Yuden, which makes critical parts in FSD systems is down systems, is down 43%.
Kose is down 49%, largely on China woes, but China is no longer big enough to be a problem, and Japan and other regions growth should start to take over. 


Unloved Japan Roundup-Rohm, Taiyo Yuden, Kose

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US semi-capex rebound setting a better tone for peers in Japan.</li>
<li>Poor numbers for Rohm and Wolfspeed casting a pall over SiC related.</li>
<li>Taiyo Yuden setting a bad tone for MLCC related, while Shiseido may hit new lows.</li>
</ul>


US semi-capex rebound setting a better tone for peers in Japan.
Poor numbers for Rohm and Wolfspeed casting a pall over SiC related.
Taiyo Yuden setting a bad tone for MLCC related, while Shiseido may hit new lows.


Japan Morning Connection: Will Shiseido Hit New Multi-Year Lows?

<ul>
<li>Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily</li>
<li>Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today</li>
<li>Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries</li>
</ul>


Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily
Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today
Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

<ul>
<li>US semis and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE with NVDA closing at record highs.</li>
<li>Steep drop for oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners while US P&amp;C strength should also be reflected in JP peers.</li>
<li>Possible downside for Fujitsu with NTT Docomo announcing a pivot away from their base station equipment.</li>
</ul>


US semis and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE with NVDA closing at record highs.
Steep drop for oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners while US P&amp;C strength should also be reflected in JP peers.
Possible downside for Fujitsu with NTT Docomo announcing a pivot away from their base station equipment.


Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan's SPE Majors

<ul>
<li>Plenty of Ishiba trades to pickup this morning after yesterday's panic.</li>
<li>Defence related saw some initial profit taking after pricing in some gains, but KHI and NEC remain attractive on the long side.</li>
<li>Selective Inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays should snap back fairly quickly with Ishiba unlikely to upset voters ahead of elections.</li>
</ul>


Plenty of Ishiba trades to pickup this morning after yesterday's panic.
Defence related saw some initial profit taking after pricing in some gains, but KHI and NEC remain attractive on the long side.
Selective Inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays should snap back fairly quickly with Ishiba unlikely to upset voters ahead of elections.


Japan Morning Connection: Selective Rebound Expected After Yesterday's Panic

Japan

Taiyo Yuden Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electronic components such as, ceramic capacitors, inductors, hybrid integrated circuits (IC), and ferrite. The Company's products include power supplies, inverters, optical disks, filters, coils, and thermistors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP)

Unloved Japan Roundup-Rohm, Taiyo Yuden, Kose

The top 5 performing large-cap stocks in Japan returned 241% on average so far in 2024, but these stocks were all on their knees a short while ago....

Michael Allen

Japan Morning Connection: Will Shiseido Hit New Multi-Year Lows?

US semi-capex rebound positive for peers in Japan, but bad tone is set for SiC and MLCC related sectors. Shiseido may see new multi-year lows.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan's SPE Majors

US semiconductors and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE. Steep drop in oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners. Fujitsu may face downside...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Selective Rebound Expected After Yesterday's Panic

Opportunities in Ishiba trades this morning, particularly in defence-related stocks, inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Unloved Japan Roundup-Rohm, Taiyo Yuden, Kose

The top 5 performing large-cap stocks in Japan returned 241% on average so far in 2024, but these stocks were all on their knees a short while ago....

Michael Allen

Japan Morning Connection: Will Shiseido Hit New Multi-Year Lows?

​US semi-capex rebound positive for peers in Japan, but bad tone is set for SiC and MLCC related sectors. Shiseido may see new multi-year lows.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan's SPE Majors

US semiconductors and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE. Steep drop in oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners. Fujitsu may face downside...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Selective Rebound Expected After Yesterday's Panic

Opportunities in Ishiba trades this morning, particularly in defence-related stocks, inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays.

Andrew Jackson

US semi-capex rebound positive for peers in Japan, but bad tone is set for SiC and MLCC related sectors. Shiseido may see new multi-year lows.