Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +15.4% Premium; Wait for Closer to 20% Before Opening Fresh Short</li>
<li>UMC: +1.2% Premium; Can Consider Shorting at 1.5% or Higher; Headroom Continues to Decrease</li>
<li>ASE: +5.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Levels Before New Trade</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +15.4% Premium; Wait for Closer to 20% Before Opening Fresh Short
UMC: +1.2% Premium; Can Consider Shorting at 1.5% or Higher; Headroom Continues to Decrease
ASE: +5.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Levels Before New Trade


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Maintaining Strong Premium; UMC Headroom Continues to Decrease

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Silicon Shield 2.0 involves managing risks and building partnerships to secure supply chains in today's economic landscape.</li><li>AMD collaborates with ZT System engineers to simplify rising AI system complexity, enhancing efficiency and productivity.</li><li>Foxconn leverages AI server trading models to increase profits, while Taiwan's president calls for regional de-risking and trade partnerships to adapt to supply chain shifts. #Taiwan #trade #partnerships #supplychain. Innodisk's AI revenue surpasses 20%, foreseeing growth in revenue and profit in the second half of 2024. SK Hynix's revenue doubles in the US and China, attributed to increased AI demand in the first half of 2024. TSMC's new fab in Germany is expected to generate jobs and enhance wafer ecosystems in Europe.</li></ul>

Silicon Shield 2.0 involves managing risks and building partnerships to secure supply chains in today's economic landscape.AMD collaborates with ZT System engineers to simplify rising AI system complexity, enhancing efficiency and productivity.Foxconn leverages AI server trading models to increase profits, while Taiwan's president calls for regional de-risking and trade partnerships to adapt to supply chain shifts. #Taiwan #trade #partnerships #supplychain. Innodisk's AI revenue surpasses 20%, foreseeing growth in revenue and profit in the second half of 2024. SK Hynix's revenue doubles in the US and China, attributed to increased AI demand in the first half of 2024. TSMC's new fab in Germany is expected to generate jobs and enhance wafer ecosystems in Europe.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Aug-2024): Silicon Shield 2.0: supply chain security & diplomacy.

<ul><li>SE Asia &amp; India deploying semi supply chains for efficiency &amp; cost reduction, with focus shifting to automotive &amp; mobile ventures.</li><li>Taiwan leveraging strong semiconductor industry to attract foreign students &amp; enhance industry leadership. </li><li>Wiwynn suing Musk's X over unpaid server bills, UK reassessing semiconductor strategy amid US &amp; China influence. Apple's Foxconn to manufacture iPhone Pro in India, AMD entering AI market with $4.9 billion investment. TSMC building EUR10B fab in Dresden to boost semiconductor industry.</li></ul>

SE Asia &amp; India deploying semi supply chains for efficiency &amp; cost reduction, with focus shifting to automotive &amp; mobile ventures.Taiwan leveraging strong semiconductor industry to attract foreign students &amp; enhance industry leadership. Wiwynn suing Musk's X over unpaid server bills, UK reassessing semiconductor strategy amid US &amp; China influence. Apple's Foxconn to manufacture iPhone Pro in India, AMD entering AI market with $4.9 billion investment. TSMC building EUR10B fab in Dresden to boost semiconductor industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Aug-2024): SE Asia & India semi supply chains deployment

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Emerging Market allocations are stabilizing among active Global equity funds.</li>
<li>Country-Level shifts show China &amp; HK allocations more than halving since 2022, while Taiwan has seen strong gains. India becomes the top country underweight.</li>
<li>Alibaba has declined to record lows, Tencent ownership is stabilizing, and TSMC has reached new highs.</li>
</ul>


Emerging Market allocations are stabilizing among active Global equity funds.
Country-Level shifts show China &amp; HK allocations more than halving since 2022, while Taiwan has seen strong gains. India becomes the top country underweight.
Alibaba has declined to record lows, Tencent ownership is stabilizing, and TSMC has reached new highs.


Emerging Markets:  Structural Shifts as Allocations Stabilise Among Global Funds.

<ul><li>Foxconn benefits from regionalized production with improved efficiency, reduced shipping costs, and better supply chain integration.</li><li>AMEC is confident in their lawsuit against the US Department of Defense, showing strong belief in the merit of their legal case.</li><li>Japan's economy faces uncertainty with financial resources at risk after Kishida's resignation, raising concerns amidst the country's economic landscape and supply chain players cautiously optimistic about AI server boom.</li></ul>

Foxconn benefits from regionalized production with improved efficiency, reduced shipping costs, and better supply chain integration.AMEC is confident in their lawsuit against the US Department of Defense, showing strong belief in the merit of their legal case.Japan's economy faces uncertainty with financial resources at risk after Kishida's resignation, raising concerns amidst the country's economic landscape and supply chain players cautiously optimistic about AI server boom.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Aug-2024): Regional production helps Foxconn.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Maintaining Strong Premium; UMC Headroom Continues to Decrease

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Aug-2024): Silicon Shield 2.0: supply chain security & diplomacy.

Silicon Shield 2.0: AMD, Foxconn, Innodisk, SK Hynix, and TSMC leveraged AI and regional partnerships to secure and grow supply chains amidst...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Aug-2024): SE Asia & India semi supply chains deployment

SE Asia, India, Taiwan, UK, and US focus on semiconductor industry growth and competition, with companies like Xiaomi, Foxconn, AMD, TSMC, and...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Emerging Markets: Structural Shifts as Allocations Stabilise Among Global Funds.

Average EM weights of 7.05% sit near the lower end of the decade-long range. While active managers remain structurally underweight EM, this has...

Steven Holden

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Aug-2024): Regional production helps Foxconn.

Regionalized production boosts efficiency for Foxconn, AMEC confident in lawsuit, Japan's financial resources in jeopardy, supply chain players...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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