Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q323 revenues of $1.85 billion, flat sequentially but down 11% YoY. Net income was $249 million, up 5% sequentially but down 26% YoY.</li>
<li>At a midpoint of $1.85 billion, forward guidance is once again flat sequentially. Overall it was a solid report with guidance slightly better than UMC delivered last week.</li>
<li>Despite the solid quarter, the company's outlook for 2024 was bleak with a 50% CapEx cut, LTAs under mounting pressure &amp; ominous-sounding LTA "True Up" on the horizon. </li>
</ul>


Q323 revenues of $1.85 billion, flat sequentially but down 11% YoY. Net income was $249 million, up 5% sequentially but down 26% YoY.
At a midpoint of $1.85 billion, forward guidance is once again flat sequentially. Overall it was a solid report with guidance slightly better than UMC delivered last week.
Despite the solid quarter, the company's outlook for 2024 was bleak with a 50% CapEx cut, LTAs under mounting pressure &amp; ominous-sounding LTA "True Up" on the horizon. 


GlobalFoundries Pops On Q323 Earnings. But Why?

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q323 revenues of NT$57 billion, up 1.4% QoQ but down 24.3% YoY. For 2023 YTD, revenues have amounted to NT$167,575 billion, down 20.5% YoY.</li>
<li>Net income was NT$15.97, essentially flat QoQ. Gross margin came in at 35.9%, also flat QoQ. Utilisation for the quarter was 67%, down from 71% in the prior quarter.</li>
<li>Utilization set to further decline to low 60% levels in Q423, the lowest since the downturn began.</li>
</ul>


Q323 revenues of NT$57 billion, up 1.4% QoQ but down 24.3% YoY. For 2023 YTD, revenues have amounted to NT$167,575 billion, down 20.5% YoY.
Net income was NT$15.97, essentially flat QoQ. Gross margin came in at 35.9%, also flat QoQ. Utilisation for the quarter was 67%, down from 71% in the prior quarter.
Utilization set to further decline to low 60% levels in Q423, the lowest since the downturn began.


UMC. Automotive Weakness Prolongs Downturn

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD625.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD137mln and highlight foreign changes in Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD625.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD137mln and highlight foreign changes in Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 3rd): Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Revenue was up 14.5% QoQ and down 31% YoY in 3Q23, but it could see an increase of about 17% QoQ and 3% YoY in 4Q23F. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silergy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13998:1" rel="noopener">Silergy Corp (6415 TT)</a> needs to increase another place to its Foundry source out of China and Taiwan.</li>
<li>The Automotive segment is expected to show significant growth and is likely to reach double digits by the end of 2024F.</li>
</ul>


Revenue was up 14.5% QoQ and down 31% YoY in 3Q23, but it could see an increase of about 17% QoQ and 3% YoY in 4Q23F. 

Silergy Corp (6415 TT) needs to increase another place to its Foundry source out of China and Taiwan.
The Automotive segment is expected to show significant growth and is likely to reach double digits by the end of 2024F.


Silergy (6415.TT): The Revenue Could Be Upside Around 17% in 4Q23F.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.</li><li>3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.</li><li>Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

GlobalFoundries Pops On Q323 Earnings. But Why?

Despite the solid quarter, the company's outlook for 2024 was bleak with a 50% CapEx cut, LTAs under mounting pressure & an ominous-sounding LTA...

William Keating

UMC. Automotive Weakness Prolongs Downturn

Q323 revenues of NT$57 billion, up 1.4% QoQ but down 24.3% YoY. Net income was NT$15.97, essentially flat QoQ. Utilization to decline to low 60%...

William Keating

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 3rd): Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlight foreign holding changes in Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Silergy (6415.TT): The Revenue Could Be Upside Around 17% in 4Q23F.

Silergy could see an increase of about 17% QoQ and 3% YoY in 4Q23F. It needs to transfer its Foundry base from China to Taiwan and Singapore. The...

Patrick Liao

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC...

CMB International

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