Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +23% Premium; Potential to Establish New Higher Trading Range?</li>
<li>UMC: -0.2% Discount; But ADR Headroom Continues to Aggressively Decrease</li>
<li>ASE: +2.2% Premium; Taiwan Shares' Short Interest Remains Near Highs</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +23% Premium; Potential to Establish New Higher Trading Range?
UMC: -0.2% Discount; But ADR Headroom Continues to Aggressively Decrease
ASE: +2.2% Premium; Taiwan Shares' Short Interest Remains Near Highs


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Establishing New Higher Range?; UMC's Aggressive Headroom Decline

<ul>
<li>TSMC Plans 2025E Price Hike of Up to 10% for Advanced Nodes—Exceeding Expectations</li>
<li>MediaTek Poised to Benefit from the ARM and Qualcomm Dispute</li>
<li>Is Splitting Intel Key for Its Survival? Intel Ex-Directors Pen Op-Ed Piece</li>
</ul>


TSMC Plans 2025E Price Hike of Up to 10% for Advanced Nodes—Exceeding Expectations
MediaTek Poised to Benefit from the ARM and Qualcomm Dispute
Is Splitting Intel Key for Its Survival? Intel Ex-Directors Pen Op-Ed Piece


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Earnings Imminent; New TSMC Price Hike; Mediatek Winner of QCOM/ARM Spat

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>iPhone 16 sales are booming in China and Taiwan, despite facing numerous challenges in the smartphone market.</li><li>Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite is giving a boost to Samsung, but the future of their Exynos processor is now in question.</li><li>The electric vehicle showdown between Musk and Trump is sparking industry discussions, while e-paper apps and large displays are projected to surge in popularity by 2025. Luxshare is halting production of Vision Pro due to excess component inventory, prompting questions about the future of the global wafer foundry industry.</li></ul>

iPhone 16 sales are booming in China and Taiwan, despite facing numerous challenges in the smartphone market.Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite is giving a boost to Samsung, but the future of their Exynos processor is now in question.The electric vehicle showdown between Musk and Trump is sparking industry discussions, while e-paper apps and large displays are projected to surge in popularity by 2025. Luxshare is halting production of Vision Pro due to excess component inventory, prompting questions about the future of the global wafer foundry industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Oct-2024): iPhone 16 sales rise in China, Taiwan; challenges ahead.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.</li>
<li>The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.
The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases


Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia is not upset with TSMC after all. Samsung is losing another customer to TSMC at 3nm</li>
<li>Legacy Foundry Overcapacity as Chinese firms are over-extending, expect Pricing Pressure (GlobalFoundries, Hua Hong, SMIC, UMC)</li>
<li>Progress in China: new Loongson CPU and GPU. Lithography Photoresist</li>
</ul>


Nvidia is not upset with TSMC after all. Samsung is losing another customer to TSMC at 3nm
Legacy Foundry Overcapacity as Chinese firms are over-extending, expect Pricing Pressure (GlobalFoundries, Hua Hong, SMIC, UMC)
Progress in China: new Loongson CPU and GPU. Lithography Photoresist


Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Establishing New Higher Range?; UMC's Aggressive Headroom Decline

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Earnings Imminent; New TSMC Price Hike; Mediatek Winner of QCOM/ARM Spat

TSMC to raise prices even higher, MediaTek to benefit from ARM and Qualcomm dispute, former Intel directors suggest splitting Intel for survival.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Oct-2024): iPhone 16 sales rise in China, Taiwan; challenges ahead.

iPhone 16 sales spike in China and Taiwan, Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite boosts Samsung, Musk vs. Trump EV battle heats up, E-paper apps on the...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...

Nicolas Baratte

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Establishing New Higher Range?; UMC's Aggressive Headroom Decline

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Earnings Imminent; New TSMC Price Hike; Mediatek Winner of QCOM/ARM Spat

​TSMC to raise prices even higher, MediaTek to benefit from ARM and Qualcomm dispute, former Intel directors suggest splitting Intel for survival.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Oct-2024): iPhone 16 sales rise in China, Taiwan; challenges ahead.

iPhone 16 sales spike in China and Taiwan, Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite boosts Samsung, Musk vs. Trump EV battle heats up, E-paper apps on the...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

​Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...

Nicolas Baratte

TSMC to raise prices even higher, MediaTek to benefit from ARM and Qualcomm dispute, former Intel directors suggest splitting Intel for survival.

Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...