Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for determining constituent weights/capping for the TDIV index September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one deletion in September 2024 and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be around US$253mn.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
Today is the base date for determining constituent weights/capping for the TDIV index September 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one deletion in September 2024 and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be around US$253mn.


Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.</li>
<li>The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).</li>
<li>The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uni-president-enterprises-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7973:1" rel="noopener">Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT)</a> was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.
The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).
The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT) was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and STAR100 Index were announced post market close on Friday.</li>
<li>The coming week is a full one with capping cutoffs, review cutoffs, announcements and implementations apart from futures expiries.</li>
<li>With China open after Lunar New Year, the National Team is back pouring money into ETFs with the largest inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a> indices.</li>
</ul>


The changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and STAR100 Index were announced post market close on Friday.
The coming week is a full one with capping cutoffs, review cutoffs, announcements and implementations apart from futures expiries.
With China open after Lunar New Year, the National Team is back pouring money into ETFs with the largest inflows to the CSI 300, CSI 500, ChiNext and STAR50 indices.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, HSTECH, HSIII, STTF, Top50, Div+, FXI, FnGuide

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bizlink-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6779:1" rel="noopener">Bizlink Holding (3665 TT)</a> should be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in March and that will trigger selling of over 8 days of ADV.</li>
<li>There will be capping and funding flows due to the higher AUM and passive trackers will need to trade over 0.4x ADV in 5 stocks.</li>
<li>Shorts have covered positions in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bizlink-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6779:1" rel="noopener">Bizlink Holding (3665 TT)</a> but there has been a recent uptick that could be linked to positioning for the rebalance.</li>
</ul>



Bizlink Holding (3665 TT) should be deleted from the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in March and that will trigger selling of over 8 days of ADV.
There will be capping and funding flows due to the higher AUM and passive trackers will need to trade over 0.4x ADV in 5 stocks.
Shorts have covered positions in Bizlink Holding (3665 TT) but there has been a recent uptick that could be linked to positioning for the rebalance.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: One Deletion & Capping Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 22nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Inventec, Walsin Lihwa, Getac Holdings, Hon Hai, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Wiwynn, Acer, TSMC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 22nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Inventec, Walsin Lihwa, Getac Holdings, Hon Hai, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Wiwynn, Acer, TSMC.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 22nd): Inventec, Walsin Lihwa, Getac Holdings, Hon Hai, Wistron

Taiwan

Taiwan Secom Co Ltd provides diversified technology-based integrated security solutions for commercial enterprises and residences.  The Company monitors and maintains security systems devices, such as burglar and fire alarms for offices, shops, parking lots, and residences.  Taiwan Secom also provides security system consulting, designing, engineering, and integration services.

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Taiwan Secom (9917 TT)

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

There are 30 expected inflow names and 20 expected outflow names. The top inflow names could outperform the top outflow names over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

The ETF starts rebalancing at the close today and that will continue over the next 4 trading days. Excluding BizLink, the adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, HSTECH, HSIII, STTF, Top50, Div+, FXI, FnGuide

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: One Deletion & Capping Changes

We expect Bizlink will be deleted from the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 ETF and the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in March. That...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 22nd): Inventec, Walsin Lihwa, Getac Holdings, Hon Hai, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Inventec, Walsin Lihwa, Getac Holdings, Hon Hai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

There are 30 expected inflow names and 20 expected outflow names. The top inflow names could outperform the top outflow names over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

The ETF starts rebalancing at the close today and that will continue over the next 4 trading days. Excluding BizLink, the adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, HSTECH, HSIII, STTF, Top50, Div+, FXI, FnGuide

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: One Deletion & Capping Changes

We expect Bizlink will be deleted from the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 ETF and the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in March. That...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 22nd): Inventec, Walsin Lihwa, Getac Holdings, Hon Hai, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Inventec, Walsin Lihwa, Getac Holdings, Hon Hai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: One Deletion & Capping Changes

We expect Bizlink will be deleted from the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 ETF and the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in March. That...