Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 1st December 2023.</li>
<li>The index changes were mostly in line with our final expectations.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a close look at the breakdown of our final flow expectations for the upcoming Inclusion/Exclusion and Capping events.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 1st December 2023.
The index changes were mostly in line with our final expectations.
In this insight, we take a close look at the breakdown of our final flow expectations for the upcoming Inclusion/Exclusion and Capping events.


Quiddity TDIV/​50/​100 Dec 23 Rebal: Inflow Names Could Outperform Outflow Names

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 15 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a one-way trade of TWD 57.5bn (US$1.77bn).</li>
<li>Short interest is at the highs in most forecast deletes, while the trend is mixed among the potential inclusions.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 15 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a one-way trade of TWD 57.5bn (US$1.77bn).
Short interest is at the highs in most forecast deletes, while the trend is mixed among the potential inclusions.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 indices for the September 2024 index rebal event was confirmed after market close on Friday 6th September 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one change for the T50 index and four separate changes for the T100 index. One of the T100 changes will also trigger a TDIV index deletion.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our final estimates for the index flows for ADDs/DELs and capping flows for the TDIV index.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 indices for the September 2024 index rebal event was confirmed after market close on Friday 6th September 2024.
There will be one change for the T50 index and four separate changes for the T100 index. One of the T100 changes will also trigger a TDIV index deletion.
In this insight, we have presented our final estimates for the index flows for ADDs/DELs and capping flows for the TDIV index.


Quiddity TDIV/50/​​​100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 20th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Century Iron And Steel Industrial, Jentech Precision Industrial, Eva Airways, Shin Kong Financial, King Slide Works.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 20th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Century Iron And Steel Industrial, Jentech Precision Industrial, Eva Airways, Shin Kong Financial, King Slide Works.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 20th): Ase Industrial, Century Iron And Steel Industrial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding Technology Holding, Shin Kong Financial, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding Technology Holding, Shin Kong Financial, Mediatek.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial

Taiwan

Taiwan Secom Co Ltd provides diversified technology-based integrated security solutions for commercial enterprises and residences.  The Company monitors and maintains security systems devices, such as burglar and fire alarms for offices, shops, parking lots, and residences.  Taiwan Secom also provides security system consulting, designing, engineering, and integration services.

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Taiwan Secom (9917 TT)

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 23 Rebal: Inflow Names Could Outperform Outflow Names

I estimate one-way flow to be US$1.2bn which is around 18.5% turnover. There are 29 expected inflow names and 25 expected outflow names.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a round-trip trade of US$3.55bn. There...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade

The TDIV index change flows and capping flows will be equally distributed over five trading days (close of trading on 20th, 23rd, 24th, 25th, and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 20th): Ase Industrial, Century Iron And Steel Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Century Iron And Steel...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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Quiddity TDIV/​50/​100 Dec 23 Rebal: Inflow Names Could Outperform Outflow Names

I estimate one-way flow to be US$1.2bn which is around 18.5% turnover. There are 29 expected inflow names and 25 expected outflow names.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a round-trip trade of US$3.55bn. There...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/​​​100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade

The TDIV index change flows and capping flows will be equally distributed over five trading days (close of trading on 20th, 23rd, 24th, 25th, and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 20th): Ase Industrial, Century Iron And Steel Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ase Industrial, Century Iron And Steel...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 23 Rebal: Inflow Names Could Outperform Outflow Names

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Sep 24 Rebal: 100% Hit Rate; Perfectly Positioned for Our Trade