Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 19th. The aggregated holding was USD1,328.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,695mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Winbond Electronics, Asustek Computer, Delta Electronics, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Winbond Electronics, Asustek Computer, Delta Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 19th. The aggregated holding was USD1,328.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,695mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Winbond Electronics, Asustek Computer, Delta Electronics, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Winbond Electronics, Asustek Computer, Delta Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 19th): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Winbond Electronics, Asustek Computer

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Yang Ming Marine Transport / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 5 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation starting on 20 June and ending on 26 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 17.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 158bn (US$5.3bn). There are 10 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that have same-way or opposing flows from other index trackers over the next couple of weeks and those stocks could outperform/underperform their peers.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation starting on 20 June and ending on 26 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 17.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 158bn (US$5.3bn). There are 10 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.
There are a few stocks that have same-way or opposing flows from other index trackers over the next couple of weeks and those stocks could outperform/underperform their peers.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).</li>
<li>Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.</li>
<li>We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).
Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.
We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There are 10 changes for the TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index in May. The Yuanta Taiwan Value High Dividend ETF (00940 TT) has an AUM of US$4.4bn.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and there are 12 stocks with over 4 days of ADV to trade. The rebalance commenced yesterday and will end on Friday.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of deletions over the last month. That could continue near-term as the ETF continues to rebalance their portfolio.</li>
</ul>


There are 10 changes for the TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index in May. The Yuanta Taiwan Value High Dividend ETF (00940 TT) has an AUM of US$4.4bn.
Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and there are 12 stocks with over 4 days of ADV to trade. The rebalance commenced yesterday and will end on Friday.
An equal weighted basket of inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of deletions over the last month. That could continue near-term as the ETF continues to rebalance their portfolio.


TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan's two deep-sea container carriers reported a Y/Y decline in combined revenue in April</li>
<li>In USD terms, the two carriers' combined revenues are down -48% vs 2024 peak levels</li>
<li>Sector YTD &amp; Y/Y share performance do <em>not</em> reflect worsening fundamentals; stay SHORT</li>
</ul>


Taiwan's two deep-sea container carriers reported a Y/Y decline in combined revenue in April
In USD terms, the two carriers' combined revenues are down -48% vs 2024 peak levels
Sector YTD &amp; Y/Y share performance do not reflect worsening fundamentals; stay SHORT


Taiwan's Deep-Sea Carriers Saw Revenue Decline Y/Y in April, First Time Since Dec-2023 | Stay SHORT!

Taiwan

Yang Ming Marine Transport provides transportation services and handles domestic and foreign maritime services on cargos.  The Company also operates warehouse, wharf, tug, barge, and container freight station services as well as repairs, leases, and sells containers and chassis.

Price Gauge
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Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 19th): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Winbond Electronics, Asustek Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Quanta Computer (2382 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap

There are 5 changes in June. One-way turnover is around 17.7% and round-trip trade is TWD US$5.3bn. 10 stocks have over 5x ADV to trade. Some...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

A change in methodology could result in 16 adds and 6 deletes in June leading to one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade

There are 10 index changes in May. Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and trade is US$2.2bn. 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade. Multiple stocks...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan's Deep-Sea Carriers Saw Revenue Decline Y/Y in April, First Time Since Dec-2023 | Stay SHORT!

April revenue figures from Evergreen and Yang Ming suggest a sharp deterioration in fundamentals, which has not been reflected in YTD or Y/Y share...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 19th): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Winbond Electronics, Asustek Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Quanta Computer (2382 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap

There are 5 changes in June. One-way turnover is around 17.7% and round-trip trade is TWD US$5.3bn. 10 stocks have over 5x ADV to trade. Some...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

A change in methodology could result in 16 adds and 6 deletes in June leading to one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade

There are 10 index changes in May. Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and trade is US$2.2bn. 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade. Multiple stocks...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan's Deep-Sea Carriers Saw Revenue Decline Y/Y in April, First Time Since Dec-2023 | Stay SHORT!

April revenue figures from Evergreen and Yang Ming suggest a sharp deterioration in fundamentals, which has not been reflected in YTD or Y/Y share...

Tracking Traffic

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap