Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for determining constituent weights/capping for the TDIV index September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one deletion in September 2024 and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be around US$253mn.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
Today is the base date for determining constituent weights/capping for the TDIV index September 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one deletion in September 2024 and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be around US$253mn.


Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.</li>
<li>The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.
The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's flow expectations for the March 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the March 2024 index rebalance. Based on the closing prices today, I expect one DEL for the TDIV index in March 2024.</li>
<li>Separately, I also expect the AUM assumption to be revised in March 2024.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's flow expectations for the March 2024 index rebal event.
Today is the base date for the March 2024 index rebalance. Based on the closing prices today, I expect one DEL for the TDIV index in March 2024.
Separately, I also expect the AUM assumption to be revised in March 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: 8 Days to Sell in Bizlink

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's flow expectations for the March 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Based on current data, I expect there to be one DEL for the TDIV index in March. I also expect the AUM assumption to change.</li>
<li>According to my calculations, these changes could collectively trigger index flows of ~US$150mn one-way resulting in some index members expected to have multiple days of volume to trade.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's flow expectations for the March 2024 index rebal event.
Based on current data, I expect there to be one DEL for the TDIV index in March. I also expect the AUM assumption to change.
According to my calculations, these changes could collectively trigger index flows of ~US$150mn one-way resulting in some index members expected to have multiple days of volume to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Tech, Compeq Mfg, Inventec, Gigabyte Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Tech, Compeq Mfg, Inventec, Gigabyte Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 24th): Lite-On Tech, Compeq Mfg, Inventec, Gigabyte Tech

Taiwan

Ta Chen Stainless Pipe Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets various types of stainless steel pipes, butt-welded fittings, casting fittings, and stainless steel ball valves.  The Company primarily sells its products to the United States, Canada, Europe, South East Asia, South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, South America, and the Middle East.

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TA Chen Stainless Pipe (2027 TT)

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: Final Expectations; One Deletion; US$253mn One-Way

There are 30 expected inflow names and 20 expected outflow names. The top inflow names could outperform the top outflow names over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

The Top 5 Expected Inflow names could outperform the Top 5 Expected outflow names over the next few weeks. The final index changes will be based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: 8 Days to Sell in Bizlink

There could be 8+ days of volume to sell in Bizlink if the expected T100 and TDIV deletions of the stock gets confirmed. I expect the stock to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows

Bizlink Holding (3665 TT), Farglory Land Development (5522 TT), TA Chen Stainless Pipe (2027 TT), and King's Town Bank (2809 TT) are estimated to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 24th): Lite-On Tech, Compeq Mfg, Inventec, Gigabyte Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Tech, Compeq Mfg, Inventec, Gigabyte Tech.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)