Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Air New Zealand (AIR) was aiming to raise around US$827m (NZ$1.2bn) via a renounceable rights issue. It has now launched a shortfall of around US$153m, at last close.</li>
<li>We have covered the background of the rights and expected shortfall in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/air-new-zealand-rights-and-possible-shortfall-delayed-boarding-but-its-priced-to-fly" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67651" rel="noopener">Air New Zealand Rights and Possible Shortfall - Delayed Boarding but Its Priced to Fly</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the recent updates and shortfall pricing.</li>
</ul>


Air New Zealand (AIR) was aiming to raise around US$827m (NZ$1.2bn) via a renounceable rights issue. It has now launched a shortfall of around US$153m, at last close.
We have covered the background of the rights and expected shortfall in our earlier note, Air New Zealand Rights and Possible Shortfall - Delayed Boarding but Its Priced to Fly.
In this note, we talk about the recent updates and shortfall pricing.


Air New Zealand Shortfall - Not a Great Take-Up Probably Because of the Large Retail Holding

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 11 April.</li>
<li>The change has come earlier than expected as Hochtief hold nearly 90% of CIMIC. Positioning on HDN could be light- the stock could rally over the next couple of days.</li>
<li>There could be another ad hoc change prior to the June rebalance and then there will be more changes at the regular rebalance in June.</li>
</ul>



HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) will replace CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close of trading on 11 April.
The change has come earlier than expected as Hochtief hold nearly 90% of CIMIC. Positioning on HDN could be light- the stock could rally over the next couple of days.
There could be another ad hoc change prior to the June rebalance and then there will be more changes at the regular rebalance in June.


ASX200 Index Rebalance: HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN) Replaces CIMIC; More Changes in May & June

<ul>
<li>Air New Zealand (AIR) aims to raise around US$827m (NZ$1.2bn) via a renounceable rights issue.</li>
<li>The deal has been in the works for months and has been put off multiple times before owing to COVID-19 induced New Zealand (NZ) lockdowns.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Air New Zealand (AIR) aims to raise around US$827m (NZ$1.2bn) via a renounceable rights issue.
The deal has been in the works for months and has been put off multiple times before owing to COVID-19 induced New Zealand (NZ) lockdowns.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Air New Zealand Rights and Possible Shortfall - Delayed Boarding but Its Priced to Fly

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zip-co-ltd-3708706d-4978-4e29-acbc-d9702b971da9" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29126:1" rel="noopener">Zip (Z1P AU)</a></strong> is <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02493104-2A1359887?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">offering</a> 0.98 Zip shares for every <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle (SZL AU)</a></strong> share, a 22% premium to last close.  Zip is raising $148.7mn to fund the deal.</li>
<li>Sezzle is incorporated in Delaware, therefore the merger is subject to those takeover rules, not ASX rules. </li>
<li>Zip reported a $214.3mn today.  As Quinlan Associates put it, the Asia Pacific BNPL industry is more like "Buy Now, Pray Later". </li>
</ul>



Zip (Z1P AU) is offering 0.98 Zip shares for every Sezzle (SZL AU) share, a 22% premium to last close.  Zip is raising $148.7mn to fund the deal.
Sezzle is incorporated in Delaware, therefore the merger is subject to those takeover rules, not ASX rules. 
Zip reported a $214.3mn today.  As Quinlan Associates put it, the Asia Pacific BNPL industry is more like "Buy Now, Pray Later". 


<ul>
<li>Education Australia, the largest shareholder of IDP Education, last raised around US$858m (A$1.1bn) via selling 15% of IDP Education in Aug 2021.</li>
<li>The lock-up from that deal is set to expire later this month, which will result in an additional 12.5% of the company’s shares, worth US$670m (A$927m) being unlocked. </li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the recent results and the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


Education Australia, the largest shareholder of IDP Education, last raised around US$858m (A$1.1bn) via selling 15% of IDP Education in Aug 2021.
The lock-up from that deal is set to expire later this month, which will result in an additional 12.5% of the company’s shares, worth US$670m (A$927m) being unlocked. 
In this note we will talk about the recent results and the upcoming lockup expiry.


IDP Education Placement - Time for Round 2 (US$700m Worth) Of the Selldown

Australia

Sydney Airport operates the Sydney, Australia airport. The Company develops and maintains the airport infrastructure and leases terminal space to airlines and retailers.

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Sydney Airport (SYD AU)

Air New Zealand Shortfall - Not a Great Take-Up Probably Because of the Large Retail Holding

Air New Zealand (AIR) was aiming to raise around US$827m (NZ$1.2bn) via a renounceable rights issue. It has now launched a shortfall of around...

Sumeet Singh

ASX200 Index Rebalance: HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN) Replaces CIMIC; More Changes in May & June

HDN AU will replace CIM AU in the ASX200 at the close on 11 April. LKE AU could replace CWN AU in May. Then there could be another 4 changes to the...

Brian Freitas

Air New Zealand Rights and Possible Shortfall - Delayed Boarding but Its Priced to Fly

Air New Zealand (AIR) aims to raise around US$827m (NZ$1.2bn) via a renounceable rights issue. In this note, we will run the deal through our...

Sumeet Singh

Zip To Merge With BNPL Rival Sezzle

Assuming no regulatory/shareholder roadblocks, this looks done. Keep a lookout for other BNPL players, now that Afterpay Touch, Affirm Holdings,...

David Blennerhassett

IDP Education Placement - Time for Round 2 (US$700m Worth) Of the Selldown

Education Australia, the largest shareholder of IDP Education, last raised around US$858m (A$1.1bn) via selling 15% of IDP Education in Aug 2021....

Sumeet Singh

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