Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-finance-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13579:1" rel="noopener">Power Finance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astral-poly-technik-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7890:1" rel="noopener">Astral</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idfc-first-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26934:1" rel="noopener">IDFC First Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cummins-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7365:1" rel="noopener">Cummins India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/supreme-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11443:1" rel="noopener">Supreme Industries</a> have all run up over the recent past and have investor attention.</li>
<li>The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.</li>
<li>We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.</li>
</ul>



Power Finance, Astral, IDFC First Bank, Cummins India, HDFC Asset Management, Ashok Leyland, Polycab India and Supreme Industries have all run up over the recent past and have investor attention.
The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.
We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.


India - Positioning on Some Interesting Names

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q1FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 6/19/18% YoY respectively</li><li>We estimate tile majors to report healthy ~9-10% YoY volume growth (supported by a pick-up in exports)</li><li>We expect some dip in realisation QoQ, as lower fuel prices are partially passed on to the customers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 6/19/18% YoY respectivelyWe estimate tile majors to report healthy ~9-10% YoY volume growth (supported by a pick-up in exports)We expect some dip in realisation QoQ, as lower fuel prices are partially passed on to the customersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials - Another Quarter of Mixed Trends

<ul><li>In April 2023, tiles export continues to be strong, up 35% YoY to &gt;INR 16bn</li><li>After a strong Mar-23, laminates export volume/value declined 11/9% MoM in Apr-23</li><li>Owing to weak exports, MDF net import volume surged to a 41-month high at 27K CBM in Apr-23 (2.2x MoM)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In April 2023, tiles export continues to be strong, up 35% YoY to &gt;INR 16bnAfter a strong Mar-23, laminates export volume/value declined 11/9% MoM in Apr-23Owing to weak exports, MDF net import volume surged to a 41-month high at 27K CBM in Apr-23 (2.2x MoM)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials: Imports pick up, exports decline

<ul><li>Tiles exports soared to an all-time high of INR 17.6bn in Mar-23</li><li>Owing to weak H1FY23 (muted demand environment), overall tiles volume grew by 3% YoY in FY23 to 458mn SQM (5-year CAGR: 14%)</li><li>Laminate exports picked up: volume/revenue grew 23/18% MoM in Mar-23 (12-month high)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tiles exports soared to an all-time high of INR 17.6bn in Mar-23Owing to weak H1FY23 (muted demand environment), overall tiles volume grew by 3% YoY in FY23 to 458mn SQM (5-year CAGR: 14%)Laminate exports picked up: volume/revenue grew 23/18% MoM in Mar-23 (12-month high)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Supreme Industries Limited manufactures industrial and engineered molded products and storage and material handling crates.  The Company also manufactures chemicals, multilayer sheets, multilayer films, packaging films and expanded polyethylene foam, PVC pipes and fittings, molded furniture and disposable EPS containers.

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Supreme Industries (SI IN)

India - Positioning on Some Interesting Names

Quite a few Indian stocks have jumped in price recently and the increased market cap will put them on active investors radars and could get the...

Brian Freitas

Building Materials - Another Quarter of Mixed Trends

In Q1FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 6/19/18% YoY respectively. We estimate tile majors to report healthy...

HDFC Securities

Building Materials: Imports pick up, exports decline

In April 2023, tiles export continues to be strong, up 35% YoY to >INR 16bn. After a strong Mar-23, laminates export volume/value declined 11/9%...

HDFC Securities

Building Materials: EXIM Trades Firm Up

Tiles exports soared to an all-time high of INR 17.6bn in Mar-23Owing to weak H1FY23 (muted demand environment), overall tiles volume grew by 3%...

HDFC Securities

Building Materials - EXIM Trades Firm Up

Tiles exports soared to an all-time high of INR 17.6bn in Mar-23Owing to weak H1FY23 (muted demand environment), overall tiles volume grew by 3%...

HDFC Securities

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