Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends on Friday. There will be a lot of changes across the family.</li>
<li>Hang Seng Indices will announce the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> and the HSCI after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to onshore China focused ETFs during the week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> ETFs taking in the largest amounts.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends on Friday. There will be a lot of changes across the family.
Hang Seng Indices will announce the changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index and the HSCI after market close on Friday.
There were HUGE inflows to onshore China focused ETFs during the week with CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index and SSE50 Index ETFs taking in the largest amounts.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: JPXNK400, Kenedix, Positioning - India, Japan, Korea

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q1FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 13% YoY (volume-driven)</li><li>Like earlier quarters, volume growth remains healthy in the pipes sector</li><li>The tiles and wood panel sectors continue to deliver muted volume performance</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 13% YoY (volume-driven)Like earlier quarters, volume growth remains healthy in the pipes sectorThe tiles and wood panel sectors continue to deliver muted volume performanceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Sectoral Dynamics Remain Unchanged

<ul><li>UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with an unchanged target price of INR 10,820 (16.5x Mar-26E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>We continue to like UTCEM for its robust growth and margin outlook and balance sheet management</li><li>During Q4FY24, UTCEM reported all-around performance: volumes rose 11/28% YoY/QoQ and the margin remained flattish and strong at INR 1173/MT</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with an unchanged target price of INR 10,820 (16.5x Mar-26E consolidated EBITDA)We continue to like UTCEM for its robust growth and margin outlook and balance sheet managementDuring Q4FY24, UTCEM reported all-around performance: volumes rose 11/28% YoY/QoQ and the margin remained flattish and strong at INR 1173/MTContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Trent, Supreme Industries

<ul><li>In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectively</li><li>Revenue growth is muted owing to sub-par demand for tiles, wood panels and lower realisation for pipes</li><li>EBITDA/ PAT will rise strongly, mainly owing to higher inventory loss (pipes) and gas price (tiles) in the base quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectivelyRevenue growth is muted owing to sub-par demand for tiles, wood panels and lower realisation for pipesEBITDA/ PAT will rise strongly, mainly owing to higher inventory loss (pipes) and gas price (tiles) in the base quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials (Q3FY24 Results Preview): No Sign of Demand Revival, Stable Margins

<ul><li>TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimates</li><li>The highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up of i-Qube to 58k units</li><li>While TVS gained about 300bps market share in motorcycles in H1 to 10.3%, it has maintained its share in scooters</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimatesThe highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up of i-Qube to 58k unitsWhile TVS gained about 300bps market share in motorcycles in H1 to 10.3%, it has maintained its share in scootersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, Macrotech Developers, Marico

India

Solar Industries India Limited manufactures and supplies explosives and explosives accessories. The company's products include bulk, cartridge, detonators, detonating cords Pentaerythritol Tetranitrate ("PETN"), and cast boosters.

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and distributes paints, enamels, varnishes, and synthetic resins. The Company's products are used in home, office, factory, interiors, exteriors, metal, wood, plastic, and others.

The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Limited manufactures petrochemicals and fertilisers.  The Group's products include Ammonia, Sulphuric Acid, Phosphoric Acid, Ammonium, Urea, Caprolactam, Nitric Acid and Soda Ash.

PI Industries Limited manufactures agricultural and fine chemicals, and polymers. The Company produces fine chemicals; crop protection, plant nutrients, and seeds; and engineering plastics for use in the automobile, electrical, and home appliances industries.

Linde India Limited manufactures and distributes oxygen, hydrogen, nitrogen, argon and specialty gas mixtures. The Company also manufactures welding electrodes, rods, fluxes, gas and electric welding equipment, as well as air separation and gas plants, cryogenic equipment and liquid oxygen explosives.

Coromandel International Ltd. manufactures fertilizers and pesticides.  The Company produces both chemical and organic fertilizers, insecticides, fungicides, herbcides, and plant biostimulant.

Castrol (India) Limited manufactures and markets automotive and industrial lubricants and specialty products. The Company's products include lubricating oils, greases and brake fluids. The Company also manufactures cable filling compounds, jellies, waxes and other items.

Deepak Nitrite Limited manufactures chemicals and fertilizers. The Company's products include sodium nitrite/nitrate, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, and Hydroxylamine Sulphate.  Deepak Nitrite's other two divisions manufacture dyes & dyestuffs and nitro aromatics.

Aarti Industries Limited develops and manufactures basic bulk chemicals, dyes and pigment intermediates, pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals, rubber chemicals, surfactant intermediates, and specialty chemicals. The company sells its products in India and elsewhere throughout the world.

Godrej Industries Limited manufactures a variety of specialty chemical products like Alpha Olefin Sulphonate, Fatty Acids, Glycerin and Fatty Alcohols. The company also manufactures edible oils and processed foods and has finance and investment activities as part of their operations.

TORAY INDUSTRIES, INC. manufactures yarns, synthetic fibers, and man-made leather used as apparel and industrial materials.  The Company also makes chemical products such as polyester films, engineering plastics, and resin materials.  Toray develops information equipment such as electronic circuit and liquid crystal color filter.

Orica Limited is a diversified manufacturing company.  The Company produces industrial and specialty chemicals, polyethylene, surface coatings for vehicles, food and beverage flavoring and fragrances, packaging and appliances. The Company also supplies explosive and blasting services to the mining, quarrying and construction industries.

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. manufactures and markets a variety of chemical products. The Company's products include ethylene, propylene and other petrochemicals, basic chemicals, synthetic resins, and fine chemicals.  The Company operates worldwide.

NITTO DENKO CORPORATION manufactures and markets a wide range of chemical products which are used as materials for industrial and electronic components. The Company's products include materials for sealants, semiconductors, and wrappings.  Nitto Denko has a network of sales/manufacturing subsidiaries worldwide.

Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation manufactures and markets petrochemical products, nylon fiber, and rayon staple fiber.  Formosa sells its products in Taiwan and exports to Asia.

Satelltte Chemical Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells acrylic acid esters, methacrylic acids, pigment intermediates, acrylic emulsion polymers, super absorbent polymers, and other acrylic downstream products.

Balchem Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets specialty performance ingredients for the food, feed, and medical sterilization industries. The Company micro-encapsulates performance ingredients, and also repackages and markets specialty gases. Balchem sells its products through its own sales force, independent distributors, and sales agents.

Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd manufactures and markets fertilizer products. The Company produces potash fertilizers, potassium chloride, and other products. Qinghai Salt Lake Industry also produces salts, chemicals, and other products.

Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. develops, manufactures and sells lithium products.  The Company's products include industrial lithium carbonate, battery lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, and lithium hydroxide.

Albemarle Corporation produces specialty and fine chemicals.  The Company's chemicals are additives to or intermediates for plastics, polymers and elastomers, cleaning products, agricultural compounds, pharmaceuticals, photographic chemicals, drilling compounds, and biocides.  Albemarle produces the majority of its products in the United States.

Supreme Industries Limited manufactures industrial and engineered molded products and storage and material handling crates.  The Company also manufactures chemicals, multilayer sheets, multilayer films, packaging films and expanded polyethylene foam, PVC pipes and fittings, molded furniture and disposable EPS containers.

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Supreme Industries (SI IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: JPXNK400, Kenedix, Positioning - India, Japan, Korea

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Building Materials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Sectoral Dynamics Remain Unchanged

In Q1FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 13% YoY (volume-driven). Like earlier quarters, volume growth remains healthy in...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Trent, Supreme Industries

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with an unchanged target price of INR 10,820 (16.5x Mar-26E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Building Materials (Q3FY24 Results Preview): No Sign of Demand Revival, Stable Margins

In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectively. Revenue growth is muted owing to sub-par...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, Macrotech Developers, Marico

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimates. The highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up...

HDFC Securities

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