Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-13363'>Sunny Optical Technology Group</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-24409'>Xiaomi Corp</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Sunny Optical Technology GroupXiaomi Corp

Morning Views Asia: Sunny Optical Technology Group, Xiaomi Corp

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Sunny Optical Technology Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.</li>
<li>Analysts are raising forecasts for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> had a positive profit alert and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.
Analysts are raising forecasts forXiaomi Corp (1810 HK) as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) had a positive profit alert and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/largan-precision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9126:1" rel="noopener">Largan Precision (3008 TT)</a> dominate the compact lens module market, but analysis of data from technical publications suggests very different strategies.</li>
<li>After lagging Largan significantly till 2016, Sunny Optical now leads in number of innovations, though the impact and quality of the innovations still materially lags Largan</li>
<li>Besides overcapacity the primary risk for the industry is whether at some some stage the benefits of "next-gen" lens modules fall below the "Noticeable Difference" threshold.</li>
</ul>



Sunny Optical (2382 HK)  and Largan Precision (3008 TT) dominate the compact lens module market, but analysis of data from technical publications suggests very different strategies.
After lagging Largan significantly till 2016, Sunny Optical now leads in number of innovations, though the impact and quality of the innovations still materially lags Largan
Besides overcapacity the primary risk for the industry is whether at some some stage the benefits of "next-gen" lens modules fall below the "Noticeable Difference" threshold.


Sunny Optical & Largan - Innovation Quantity Versus Quality

Tencent Music Entertainment Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market sectors outperforming since the stimulus in September are Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare as Utilities, Telecom and Energy lag.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crrc-corp-ltd-461535b2-37ac-4589-b4d9-8b71c06c43b8" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:124:1" rel="noopener">CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK)</a> gets BUY recommendations as its results point to continued strength in the rail equipment sector with passenger volume surging.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36601:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK)</a> reported solid results as it shifts to a pay-to-stream subscription model. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> had a blowout quarter with EV sales surging.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market sectors outperforming since the stimulus in September are Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare as Utilities, Telecom and Energy lag.

CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK) gets BUY recommendations as its results point to continued strength in the rail equipment sector with passenger volume surging.


Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK) reported solid results as it shifts to a pay-to-stream subscription model. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) had a blowout quarter with EV sales surging.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (NOVEMBER 18)

Trung Nguyen

Sunny Optical has released its FY 2023 numbers, which were weak but in line with expectations. Revenue declined 4.6% y-o-y to CNY 31.7 bn, due to lower shipments of handset-related products. Gross profit tumbled c. 30% to CNY 4.6 bn, with the margin shrinking to 14.5%. OCF plunged 64% to CNY 2.7 bn, while capex decreased slightly. FCF was therefore positive, albeit significantly lower. That said, the financial risk profile and liquidity remain healthy, supported by a large net cash position. We believe the industry operating environment will stabilise. The company marked seven consecutive months of double-digit shipment volume growth in February 2024, indicating that the recovery in the smartphone market is continuing. We expect shipments to stabilise at this level, which will represent a robust increase from the FY 2023 numbers. We project positive revenue and earnings growth in FY 2024.

  Sunny Optical has released its FY 2023 numbers, which were weak but in line with expectations. Revenue declined 4.6% y-o-y to CNY 31.7 bn, due to lower shipments of handset-related products. Gross profit tumbled c. 30% to CNY 4.6 bn, with the margin shrinking to 14.5%. OCF plunged 64% to CNY 2.7 bn, while capex decreased slightly. FCF was therefore positive, albeit significantly lower. That said, the financial risk profile and liquidity remain healthy, supported by a large net cash position.   We believe the industry operating environment will stabilise. The company marked seven consecutive months of double-digit shipment volume growth in February 2024, indicating that the recovery in the smartphone market is continuing. We expect shipments to stabilise at this level, which will represent a robust increase from the FY 2023 numbers. We project positive revenue and earnings growth in FY 2024. 

Sunny Optical - Earnings Flash - FY 2023 Results - Lucror Analytics

China

Sunny Optical Technology Group Co., Limited designs and manufactures optical and optical related products. The Company's products include glass/plastic lenses, prisms, mobile phone camera modules, microscopes, surveying instruments, and other analytical instruments.

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Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)

Morning Views Asia: Sunny Optical Technology Group, Xiaomi Corp

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Xiaomi launches its new AI enabled phone and has success in EVs. Sunny Optical has seen its auto lens business grow and Minth is successfully...

David Mudd

Sunny Optical & Largan - Innovation Quantity Versus Quality

Since 2016 Sunny Optical has ramped up innovations in compact lens modules at an exhilarating pace, but in terms of impact the innovations lag that...

Pyari Menon

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (NOVEMBER 18)

Hong Kong has seen its Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare sectors perform well since the stimulus in September. CRCC has had several buy...

David Mudd

Sunny Optical - Earnings Flash - FY 2023 Results - Lucror Analytics

Sunny Optical has released its FY 2023 numbers, which were weak but in line with expectations. Revenue declined 4.6% y-o-y to CNY 31.7 bn, due to...

Lucror Analytics

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