HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>YTD, our "Buy the Worst" strategy has underperformed the HSI by a marginal 2pp. The portfolio has a significant rebound against the Index starting mid-Jun. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China Ltd (1928 HK)</a> is the best-performing one while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> is the worst. We see room for the portfolio to catch up in 2H22.</li>
<li>The long-term performance of the strategy stays very solid. On a 5-year basis, "Buy the Worst" strategy has outperformed the HSI by an immense 30.9pp. </li>
</ul>


YTD, our "Buy the Worst" strategy has underperformed the HSI by a marginal 2pp. The portfolio has a significant rebound against the Index starting mid-Jun. 

Sands China Ltd (1928 HK) is the best-performing one while Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is the worst. We see room for the portfolio to catch up in 2H22.
The long-term performance of the strategy stays very solid. On a 5-year basis, "Buy the Worst" strategy has outperformed the HSI by an immense 30.9pp. 


A Mid-Year Review of Our “Buy the Worst” Strategy 2022: In Tandem with the HSI

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a> scheme document is out with the court and EGM meeting on 22 June. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key condition is the scheme approval by at least 75% and rejection by &lt;10% of disinterested shareholders. Shareholders who hold blocking stakes have provided irrevocables.</li>
<li>At last close and for a 4 August payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.1% and 6.2%, respectively. This is a done deal.</li>
</ul>


The AKM Industrial (1639 HK) scheme document is out with the court and EGM meeting on 22 June. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. 
The key condition is the scheme approval by at least 75% and rejection by &lt;10% of disinterested shareholders. Shareholders who hold blocking stakes have provided irrevocables.
At last close and for a 4 August payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.1% and 6.2%, respectively. This is a done deal.


AKM’s Scheme Document, Court Meeting on 22 June, IFA Opinion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a>’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cent).</li>
<li>The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The latest date for the despatch of the scheme document has been extended to 10 June. </li>
<li>Shareholders with blocking stakes have previously provided irrevocables. At last close and for an early-August effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.1% and 10.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



AKM Industrial (1639 HK)’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cent).
The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The latest date for the despatch of the scheme document has been extended to 10 June. 
Shareholders with blocking stakes have previously provided irrevocables. At last close and for an early-August effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.1% and 10.7%, respectively.


AKM Industrial’s Offer Risk/Reward – Pre-Condition Satisfied

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a>’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cents). </li>
<li>Approval from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange is the remaining pre-condition. The Court hearing of the petition for the sanction of the scheme is set for 19 July.</li>
<li>At last close and for a July end effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the total offer of HK$1.8345 is 3.6% and 11.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



AKM Industrial (1639 HK)’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cents). 
Approval from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange is the remaining pre-condition. The Court hearing of the petition for the sanction of the scheme is set for 19 July.
At last close and for a July end effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the total offer of HK$1.8345 is 3.6% and 11.2%, respectively.


AKM Industrial’s Offer Spread Risk/Reward

China

Sunny Optical Technology Group Co., Limited designs and manufactures optical and optical related products. The Company's products include glass/plastic lenses, prisms, mobile phone camera modules, microscopes, surveying instruments, and other analytical instruments.

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Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)

A Mid-Year Review of Our “Buy the Worst” Strategy 2022: In Tandem with the HSI

While "Buy the Worst" strategy only performed in line with the HSI YTD, there is potential for the portfolio to catch up in 2H22. Meanwhile, "Buy...

Osbert Tang, CFA

AKM’s Scheme Document, Court Meeting on 22 June, IFA Opinion

At last close and for a 4 August payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.1% and 6.2%, respectively. This is a done deal.

Arun George

AKM Industrial’s Offer Risk/Reward – Pre-Condition Satisfied

The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The scheme document will be out by 10 June. For an early-August effective date, the annualised spread...

Arun George

Screening for GEMs: April 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

AKM Industrial’s Offer Spread Risk/Reward

Approval from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange is the remaining pre-condition. For a July end effective date, the annualised spread to...

Arun George

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