Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure</li>
<li>And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure
And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.


Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tech laggards bought in the US showing many in the market scrambling to catch the upside after the rapid snapback from last weeks drop.</li>
<li>Server related strength after Cisco numbers may see sentiment for Nidec finally improving with its cooling modules business emerging as an earnings driver.</li>
<li>Strong numbers for Coherent confirm the positive trends for its optical transceiver business which points to continued upside for AI data center plays</li>
</ul>


Tech laggards bought in the US showing many in the market scrambling to catch the upside after the rapid snapback from last weeks drop.
Server related strength after Cisco numbers may see sentiment for Nidec finally improving with its cooling modules business emerging as an earnings driver.
Strong numbers for Coherent confirm the positive trends for its optical transceiver business which points to continued upside for AI data center plays


Japan Morning Connection: Sanken Electric, Nidec, Asahi Intecc

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> having sold some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive</a> this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


With Toyota (7203 JP) having sold some of its stake in Denso, KDDI and Harmonic Drive this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.
Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

<ul>
<li>SMCI +32% as it staves off delisting continues to set a positive tone for Nidec</li>
<li>Sony reportedly looking to fully acquire Kadokawa points to more downside for Bandai Namco</li>
<li>Highlights relative cheapness for Japanese game stocks as take-over targets</li>
</ul>


SMCI +32% as it staves off delisting continues to set a positive tone for Nidec
Sony reportedly looking to fully acquire Kadokawa points to more downside for Bandai Namco
Highlights relative cheapness for Japanese game stocks as take-over targets


Japan Morning Connection: Sony Eyeing Elden Ring as a PS Exclusive to Counter CoD on Xbox?

<ul>
<li>US semi-capex rebound setting a better tone for peers in Japan.</li>
<li>Poor numbers for Rohm and Wolfspeed casting a pall over SiC related.</li>
<li>Taiyo Yuden setting a bad tone for MLCC related, while Shiseido may hit new lows.</li>
</ul>


US semi-capex rebound setting a better tone for peers in Japan.
Poor numbers for Rohm and Wolfspeed casting a pall over SiC related.
Taiyo Yuden setting a bad tone for MLCC related, while Shiseido may hit new lows.


Japan Morning Connection: Will Shiseido Hit New Multi-Year Lows?

Japan

Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. manufactures electric wires, cables, and their related equipment.  The Company's products include optical fibers, wire harnesses, antennas for broadcasting stations, and electric monitoring systems.  Sumitomo Electric also produces disc brakes and antilock braking systems for automobiles and printed circuit board.

Price Gauge
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Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP)

Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Buy the Pullback in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; Still bullish on global equities with $ACWI and the SPX holding above their respective bases at $117 and...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Sanken Electric, Nidec, Asahi Intecc

US tech laggards are now catching up after a rapid rebound, server-related strength boosts Nidec's sentiment, and Coherent's strong numbers...

Andrew Jackson

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Sony Eyeing Elden Ring as a PS Exclusive to Counter CoD on Xbox?

SMCI's strong performance and efforts to avoid delisting set positive tone for Nidec. Sony's potential acquisition of Kadokawa point to downside...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Will Shiseido Hit New Multi-Year Lows?

US semi-capex rebound positive for peers in Japan, but bad tone is set for SiC and MLCC related sectors. Shiseido may see new multi-year lows.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Buy the Pullback in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; Still bullish on global equities with $ACWI and the SPX holding above their respective bases at $117 and...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Sanken Electric, Nidec, Asahi Intecc

​US tech laggards are now catching up after a rapid rebound, server-related strength boosts Nidec's sentiment, and Coherent's strong numbers...

Andrew Jackson

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Sony Eyeing Elden Ring as a PS Exclusive to Counter CoD on Xbox?

​SMCI's strong performance and efforts to avoid delisting set positive tone for Nidec. Sony's potential acquisition of Kadokawa point to downside...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Will Shiseido Hit New Multi-Year Lows?

​US semi-capex rebound positive for peers in Japan, but bad tone is set for SiC and MLCC related sectors. Shiseido may see new multi-year lows.

Andrew Jackson

US tech laggards are now catching up after a rapid rebound, server-related strength boosts Nidec's sentiment, and Coherent's strong numbers...

SMCI's strong performance and efforts to avoid delisting set positive tone for Nidec. Sony's potential acquisition of Kadokawa point to downside...

US semi-capex rebound positive for peers in Japan, but bad tone is set for SiC and MLCC related sectors. Shiseido may see new multi-year lows.