Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vietnam now accounts for more than 50% of production replacing China</li>
<li>China production is less than 25% of overall capacity in 2023</li>
<li>Reshoring and production of higher end "Athleisure" shoes is increasing margins for Stella International (1836 HK) </li>
</ul>


Vietnam now accounts for more than 50% of production replacing China
China production is less than 25% of overall capacity in 2023
Reshoring and production of higher end "Athleisure" shoes is increasing margins for Stella International (1836 HK) 


Stella International: A Beneficiary of Reshoring

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.</li>
<li>We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.
We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

Hua Hong Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After hitting a low point in Q4 2023, Research on Hong Kong companies has been slow to pick up reflecting the ongoing skepticism from investors. </li>
<li>Reports on the large China tech companies dominated the top ten companies covered over the last couple of years and in the first half of 2024.</li>
<li>As China continues to dominate and make news in the global EV market, research in that sector has picked up.</li>
</ul>


After hitting a low point in Q4 2023, Research on Hong Kong companies has been slow to pick up reflecting the ongoing skepticism from investors. 
Reports on the large China tech companies dominated the top ten companies covered over the last couple of years and in the first half of 2024.
As China continues to dominate and make news in the global EV market, research in that sector has picked up.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: China/Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 8th)

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China ETF flows in June continued to show positive momentum while other categories remained flat.  Southbound Connect Flows were positive while Northbound Connect recorded a Net Sell.</li>
<li>Midea Real Estate Holdings jumped on plans to privatize its property development business</li>
<li>Shanghai Microport fell after launching a share placement at a 15% discount.  The share price  is hitting all time lows.</li>
</ul>


China ETF flows in June continued to show positive momentum while other categories remained flat.  Southbound Connect Flows were positive while Northbound Connect recorded a Net Sell.
Midea Real Estate Holdings jumped on plans to privatize its property development business
Shanghai Microport fell after launching a share placement at a 15% discount.  The share price  is hitting all time lows.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in HONG KONG

<ul>
<li>The bad news is that Hong Kong will not have a V-Shaped recovery which will keep market sentiment subdued</li>
<li>The good news is that Hong Kong will not have a V-Shaped recovery which will contribute to a reduction in overall market volatility</li>
<li>After an epic bear market, Hong Kong will enter a secular bull market this year</li>
</ul>


The bad news is that Hong Kong will not have a V-Shaped recovery which will keep market sentiment subdued
The good news is that Hong Kong will not have a V-Shaped recovery which will contribute to a reduction in overall market volatility
After an epic bear market, Hong Kong will enter a secular bull market this year


Hong Kong: A Tale of Two Markets and When to Re-Enter

Hong Kong

Crystal International Group Limited manufactures apparels. The Company produces casual clothes, jeans, personal under wears, sweaters, sports garments, and other products. Crystal International Group markets its products in Hong Kong.

Theme International Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures, retails, and trades garments. The Company also invests in properties.

Viva Goods Company Limited operates as a sports company. The company provides sports related services such as multi-brand sports apparels and footwear operation, events production and management, and sports-related consultancy and sports community development. Viva Goods conducts business in Hong Kong.

Texhong Textile Group Limited manufactures and sells yarn and grey fabrics. The Company's main focus is promoting and selling spandex stretch yarn and spandex stretch grey fabrics.

Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes watches, timepieces and enamelled copper wires. The Company also invests in and develops properties.

Pak Tak International Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures (through its own producing facilities or sub-contracting to garment manufacturers), on an OEM basis, and export men's, ladies' and children knitted garments to the United States and Europe. The Company also manufactures non-knitted garment for international airlines and retail chain store "Target" in the United States.

Eagle Nice (International) Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures sportswear for men, women, and children on an OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturing) basis.  The sportswear supplies by the Company includes sports pants, jackets, tracksuits, sweaters, and T-shirts.

Regina Miracle International Holdings Limited is an intimate and sports apparel designer and manufacturer. The Company's biggest customers include Adidas, Reebok, Under Armour, and Champion. Regina Miracle International operates in Southeast Asia.

Pacific Textiles Holdings Limited manufactures customized knitted fabrics. The Company's fabrics are used in a broad range of fabrics, including men's, women's, and children's clothing, sportswear, swimwear, and inner-wear.

Nameson Holdings is a Knitwear manufacturer in PRC

Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd. manufactures polyester filament yarn.  The Company produces drawn textured yarn and fully drawn yarn, which are used in apparel, footwear and home furnishings.

SEIKO HOLDINGS CORPORATION (Hattori Seiko) designs, manufactures, and sells electronic devices, watches and clocks in Japan and overseas. The Company also sells jewelry, ophthalmic lenses, golf clubs and computer peripherals.

Arvind, Ltd. manufactures cotton textiles. The Company's products include indigo dyed denim fabrics and high quality cotton fabrics for shirts and pants. Arvind also has a network of overseas subsidiaries for manufacturing and marketing its products.

Safari Industries India Ltd. manufactures and sells travel goods.

WACOAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION manufactures women's underwear.  The Company also manufactures outerwear, sports, and children's wear.  Wacoal has direct-sales network and overseas operations in Southeast Asia, the US, and Europe.

Rajesh Exports Limited exports gold and gold jewelry. The company also has a manufacturing facility that manufactures gold. The company's product range includes, bracelets, earrings, hasli sets, necklaces, chains, kaan chains, micro hasli, bangles, rings, pendants, and patta sets.

Alok Industries Limited manufactures home textiles, apparel fabrics, garments, and polyester yarns. The Company sells its products in India and elsewhere around the world.

Oxford Industries, Inc. is an international manufacturer and wholesale marketer of branded and private label apparel for men, women, and children.  The Company's private label customers include national chains, specialty catalogs, mass merchandisers, department stores, specialty stores, and Internet retailers.

G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. is a manufacturer and distributor of outerwear, dresses, sportswear, swimwear, beachwear and women's suits, as well as handbags and luggage. The Company manufactures and distributes under licensed brands, their own brands, and private label brands. G-III also has licensing agreements with several sports leagues and universities.

Wolverine World Wide, Inc. manufactures and markets branded footwear and performance leathers.  The Company's products include shoes, slippers, occupational and safety footwear, and performance outdoor footwear, among others.

Stella International Holdings Limited develops and manufactures footwear products for casual and fashion footwear companies worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Stella International (1836 HK)

Stella International: A Beneficiary of Reshoring

Yesterday Stella gave a POSITIVE PROFIT ALERT saying that for the 6 months ending June 30 its profit would grow to $90mm from $55.2mm last year. ...

David Mudd

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

There could be nearly 80 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

BUY/SELL/HOLD: China/Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 8th)

Tech NEV companies continue to dominate the research landscape for Hong Kong coverage. Bosideng, China Water Affairs, Topsports, BYD and Xiaomi...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in HONG KONG

China had positive flows into equity ETF's for June and mainland investors continued to direct money to Hong Kong stocks through the Stock Connect...

David Mudd

Hong Kong: A Tale of Two Markets and When to Re-Enter

HSI has now broken key resistance levels or 17k (Bear Market Trend Channel), 17,300 (200 Day Moving Average) and 17,500 (Upper Bollinger Band). ...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)