Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Block delivered a decent financial result despite being hammered like the broader markets.</li><li>The company has decided to split 50% of Afterpay revenue and gross profit between Square and Cash App.</li><li>In the first quarter, Cash App generated $624 million in gross profit, up 26% year over year and 94% on a three-year CAGR basis.</li></ul>

Block delivered a decent financial result despite being hammered like the broader markets.The company has decided to split 50% of Afterpay revenue and gross profit between Square and Cash App.In the first quarter, Cash App generated $624 million in gross profit, up 26% year over year and 94% on a three-year CAGR basis.

Block Inc. (formerly Square Inc.): Financial & Price Forecasts

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Impressive Analyst Day Presentation got us bulled up on the potential for Afterpay to juice growth on both Square and the Cash App</li>
<li>Cash App getting a design overhaul to create a super app that spans commerce, investing, payments, personal finance, loans, etc. </li>
<li>Unit economics outlined today lead us to a ~40% potential EBITDA margin in 3-5 years...well higher than is currently considered by consensus today. </li>
</ul>


Impressive Analyst Day Presentation got us bulled up on the potential for Afterpay to juice growth on both Square and the Cash App
Cash App getting a design overhaul to create a super app that spans commerce, investing, payments, personal finance, loans, etc. 
Unit economics outlined today lead us to a ~40% potential EBITDA margin in 3-5 years...well higher than is currently considered by consensus today. 


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chainalysis-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35952:1" rel="noopener">Chainalysis (1316611D US)</a> is a leading blockchain data platform which helps carry out investigations into illicit crypto activity and hence prevent crypto crime.</li>
<li>Around 2/3rd of Chainalysis’ revenue comes from government agencies and the company is said to have generated around US$ 10m from Federal Organisations since inception.</li>
<li>There are now several growth drivers including a fast-rising level of crypto crime, growing cryptocurrency market and implementation of cryptocurrency regulations among others.</li>
</ul>



Chainalysis (1316611D US) is a leading blockchain data platform which helps carry out investigations into illicit crypto activity and hence prevent crypto crime.
Around 2/3rd of Chainalysis’ revenue comes from government agencies and the company is said to have generated around US$ 10m from Federal Organisations since inception.
There are now several growth drivers including a fast-rising level of crypto crime, growing cryptocurrency market and implementation of cryptocurrency regulations among others.


Chainalysis: Blockchain Service Capturing Crypto Crime

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, raised US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO in Nov 21. Its 6 month lock-up will expire soon.</li>
<li>The stock more than doubled on listing, providing one of the best first day returns in 2021. However, its performance since then hasn’t been all that great.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, raised US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO in Nov 21. Its 6 month lock-up will expire soon.
The stock more than doubled on listing, providing one of the best first day returns in 2021. However, its performance since then hasn’t been all that great.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Kakao Pay IPO Lock-Up - IPO Was Great, Performance Since Then Has Been Tepid

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>In response to an <a href="https://www.afr.com/street-talk/bain-capital-checks-out-eml-payments-bankers-chase-other-buyers-20220412-p5acvc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AFR article</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eml-payments-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3232:1" rel="noopener">EML Payments Limited (EML AU)</a> confirmed takeover interest from Bain Capital. However, discussions have ceased. The shares closed 10.5% higher at A$2.94. </li>
<li>The bombed-out share prices of payment companies have supported recent M&amp;A activity such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afterpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24047:1" rel="noopener">Afterpay Holdings (AFY AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/square-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23755:1" rel="noopener">Square Inc (SQ US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zip-co-ltd-3708706d-4978-4e29-acbc-d9702b971da9" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29126:1" rel="noopener">Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Despite today’s pop, the shares are still 50% down over the last 12 months. EML’s market positioning and expected stronger 2HFY22 should continue to fuel takeover interest.</li>
</ul>


In response to an AFR article, EML Payments Limited (EML AU) confirmed takeover interest from Bain Capital. However, discussions have ceased. The shares closed 10.5% higher at A$2.94. 
The bombed-out share prices of payment companies have supported recent M&amp;A activity such as Afterpay Holdings (AFY AU)/Square Inc (SQ US) and Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)/Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU).
Despite today’s pop, the shares are still 50% down over the last 12 months. EML’s market positioning and expected stronger 2HFY22 should continue to fuel takeover interest.


EML Payments Flirtation with Bain Likely Not the Last

United States

Block, Inc. operates as a financial services and digital payments company. The Company develops a payments platform aimed at small and medium businesses that allows them to accept credit card payments and use tablet computers as payment registers for a point-of-sale system. Block also provides financial and marketing services.

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Block (SQ US)

Block Inc. (formerly Square Inc.): Financial & Price Forecasts

Block delivered a decent financial result despite being hammered like the broader markets. The company has decided to split 50% of Afterpay...

Baptista Research

Revisiting Long Ideas: Square (Block)

Square had a strong 1Q22 and a bullish analyst day presentation yesterday that reignited our enthusiasm for this ecosystem of ecosystems. Afterpay...

Aaron Gabin

Chainalysis: Blockchain Service Capturing Crypto Crime

Chainalysis is a leading blockchain data platform which helps carry out investigations into illicit crypto activity and hence prevent crypto crime.

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Kakao Pay IPO Lock-Up - IPO Was Great, Performance Since Then Has Been Tepid

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, raised US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO in Nov 21. Its 6 month...

Sumeet Singh

EML Payments Flirtation with Bain Likely Not the Last

EML confirmed takeover interest from Bain Capital but discussions have ceased. EML’s market positioning and expected stronger 2HFY22 should...

Arun George

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