Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Square Enix’s 2Q results were on the weak side as HD games and games for smart devices were weak. This stopped Square Enix from generating the beat on strong MMO performance that we expected but the future outlook remains highly promising.

Square Enix’s 2Q results were on the weak side as HD games and games for smart devices were weak. This stopped Square Enix from generating the beat on strong MMO performance that we expected but the future outlook remains highly promising.

Square Enix – Waiting on HD Games to Really Get Going

In the middle of July we noted that Square Enix was benefitting from increased streamer interest in FFXIV at the expense of World of Warcraft. This has continued and stands to benefit Square Enix significantly but this impact does not appear to be priced in yet.

In the middle of July we noted that Square Enix was benefitting from increased streamer interest in FFXIV at the expense of World of Warcraft. This has continued and stands to benefit Square Enix significantly but this impact does not appear to be priced in yet.

Square Enix – The Market STILL Has Not Priced in the FFXIV Boom

Overnight Sony held a PlayStation Showcase event which surprised to the upside in terms of the number and quality of titles on display. It further cemented Sony’s commitment to rolling out its own games on PC and the strategic implications for its first party studios also look intriguing.

Overnight Sony held a PlayStation Showcase event which surprised to the upside in terms of the number and quality of titles on display. It further cemented Sony’s commitment to rolling out its own games on PC and the strategic implications for its first party studios also look intriguing.

Conviction Call Sony – PlayStation Showcase Underlines Strength of Pipeline

For over a year we have been discussing the opportunity Square Enix has to displace Blizzard’s World of Warcraft –<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/square-enix-what-the-witcher-says-about-content-synergies-and-implications-for-game-developers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Square Enix – What the Witcher Says About Content Synerg ... (smartkarma.com)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/square-enix-ff7re-is-the-cherry-not-the-sundae" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Square Enix – FF7RE Is the Cherry, Not the Sundae (smartkarma.com)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/square-enix-strength-of-balanced-business-portfolio-shines-through" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Square Enix – Strength of Balanced Business Portfolio Sh ... (smartkarma.com)</a>That opportunity was a pile of tinder wood in search of a match and it appears that the name of that match is Asmongold.

For over a year we have been discussing the opportunity Square Enix has to displace Blizzard’s World of Warcraft –Square Enix – What the Witcher Says About Content Synerg ... (smartkarma.com)Square Enix – FF7RE Is the Cherry, Not the Sundae (smartkarma.com)Square Enix – Strength of Balanced Business Portfolio Sh ... (smartkarma.com)That opportunity was a pile of tinder wood in search of a match and it appears that the name of that match is Asmongold.

Square Enix – Behold the Asmongold Effect

Event-Driven

Square Enix is up 13% today as Bloomberg has reported that M&amp;A Reporting company CTFN has said that Square Enix is the subject of M&amp;A interest from a variety of companies, according to two investment banking sources.

Square Enix is up 13% today as Bloomberg has reported that M&amp;A Reporting company CTFN has said that Square Enix is the subject of M&amp;A interest from a variety of companies, according to two investment banking sources.

Square Enix – CTFN Reports M&A Interest

Japan

OBIC Business Consultants Co.,Ltd. develops and markets business solution packaged software. The Company's products include software for accounting, banking, wage calculation, sales management, inventory control, and tax calculation. OBIC Business Consultants Co Ltd. also provides support and training services.

FUJI SOFT INCORPORATED is an independent software developer, specializing in communications and machine control software, business application software for bank and insurance companies, and operating system software.  Fuji Soft also installs, manages, and maintains computer systems.  The Company develops and sells word processing packaged software and also provides internet service.

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co.,Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Koei Co., Ltd. and Tecmo Ltd. The Company develops and distributes video game software for personal computers and home video game consoles. The Company also operates other media business such as marketing of books and CDs and amusement facility operation.

Money Forward, Inc. develops mobile application software. The Company produces automatic household account book softwares, household account book application softwares, and other products. Money Forward also provides personal financial management, cloud based accounting solutions, and other services.

Sansan, Inc. provides mobile application software solutions. The Company offers business card management service by scanning the cards from scanner and smartphone. Sansan provides its services throughout Japan.

NSD CO., LTD is an independent computer software development company. The Company's products include operating systems, business software for financial industry, and process control systems.  NSD also provides computer services including managing computer systems and data entry. The Company also sells computers and its peripheral equipment.

Trend Micro Incorporated develops and markets anti-virus computer software and internet security software.  The Company also sells its products in the United States, Europe, and Asia.

Justsystems Corporation develops and sells computer application software. The Company's products include Ichitaro, a Japanese language word processing program.  Justsystems also develops network software.

GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc. develops and distributes Internet games. The Company also develops applications for smartphones.

Systena Corporation develops firmware for mobile telecommunications. The Company also develops web application software for network systems, computer game software, and systems for financial firms.  Systena provides network consulting services as well.

Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and sells enterprise management software, e-commerce application software and middleware software.  The Company also provides internet-based services and setting up e-commerce platforms for enterprises. In addition, Kingdee provides solution consulting and technical support services.

Kingsoft Corporation Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company develops role-playing computer games and security, word processing, and spreadsheet software.

Technology One Limited is an Australian-based company that is engaged in the development, marketing, sales, implementation, support, and distribution of financial management and enterprise software solutions. The Company has operations in New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the South Pacific, and Malaysia.

Hundsun Technologies Inc develops application software for security firms, commercial banks, fund management firms, and other industries.  The Company also sells computer hardware and provides system integration services.

Blackbaud, Inc. provides software and related services designed specifically for non-profit organizations. The Company's products and services enable non-profit organizations to increase donations, reduce fundraising costs, improve communication with constituents, manage their finances, and optimize internal operations.

NCSOFT Corporation develops and markets on-line games that enable users to play over the Internet and computer software, such as web editing software.  The Company also designs and constructs databases, Intranet, and commercial Internet access systems.

RingCentral, Inc. is a provider of software-as-a-service, or SaaS, solutions for business communications. The Company offers a multi-user, enterprise-grade communications solution that enables customers and their employees to communicate via voice, text, HD video and web conferencing and fax, on multiple devices, including smartphones, tablets, PCs and desk phones.

ACI Worldwide, Inc. develops, markets, and supports software products for the global electronics funds transfer market.  The Company's products are used to process transactions involving credit cards, debit cards, smartcards, home banking services, checks, and automated clearing and settlement.

China National Software & Service Co., Ltd designs, develops, and integrates application software used for the taxation, railway telecommunication, military, commercial aviation, and financial industries.  The Company also designs Chinasoft Linux operating system and develops language conversion software to support Chinese, English, and Japanese

Workiva Inc. provides cloud-based and mobile-enabled platforms for enterprises. The Company offers software to collect, manage, report and analyze business data in real time.

SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO., LTD. develops and sells entertainment software for home video game consoles including Dragon Quest and Final Fantasy series. The Company also publishes books such as informational guide books for its game software, and comic magazines and books.  Additionally, Square Enix sells character goods and stationery items from its software products.

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Square Enix Holdings (9684 JP)

Square Enix – Waiting on HD Games to Really Get Going

Square Enix’s 2Q results were on the weak side as HD games and games for smart devices were weak but strong MMO performance came through and the...

Mio Kato

Square Enix – The Market STILL Has Not Priced in the FFXIV Boom

In the middle of July we noted that Square Enix was benefitting from increased streamer interest in FFXIV at the expense of World of Warcraft. This...

Mio Kato

Conviction Call Sony – PlayStation Showcase Underlines Strength of Pipeline

Sony's PlayStation Showcase surprised to the upside in terms of the number and quality of titles on display and the strategic implications for its...

Mio Kato

Square Enix – Behold the Asmongold Effect

Twitch streamer Asmongold has helped drive a surge in viewership and player numbers for FFXIV which could have a material impact on Square Enix's...

Mio Kato

Square Enix – CTFN Reports M&A Interest

We are sceptical about reports of M&A interest in Square Enix and believe a deal is unlikely to happen, however, that does not necessarily mean the...

Mio Kato

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