Concise Playbook for the Week, Global Markets Playbook

Kevin George

Concise Playbook for the Week

Global Markets Playbook

I am an active trader in stocks, FX and commodities with over 15 years' market experience. I hold a master's degree in finance and have developed a strong skill base in technical analysis. 

Alongside technical setups I will provide earnings analysis, company valuation analysis and macroeconomic studies for the key market releases.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China is the real pivot that could drive stocks, say investors.</li>
<li>China's economic growth could be a real pivot for stocks, they say.</li>
<li>China's economy is a key factor in the growth of the country's economy, according to analysts.</li>
</ul>


China is the real pivot that could drive stocks, say investors.
China's economic growth could be a real pivot for stocks, they say.
China's economy is a key factor in the growth of the country's economy, according to analysts.


The S&P 500 Has Further Lows Ahead In 2023

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Next week is the last big week of data releases for the year</li>
<li>With CPI data and also a FED meeting there is lots of potential volatility to come</li>
<li>We look at what is priced in to the derivatives market and suggest some trade ideas</li>
</ul>


Next week is the last big week of data releases for the year
With CPI data and also a FED meeting there is lots of potential volatility to come
We look at what is priced in to the derivatives market and suggest some trade ideas


EQD | SPX Index/NDX Index : Big Data Week Coming Up-We Look at What Is Priced In

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Despite $IWM already hitting our price target at 200-day MA/YTD downtrend, and the $SPX getting to within 1% of our target at 200-day MA, we see this 1.5-month rally continuing.</li>
<li>We expect further upside as long as the 1.5-month uptrend channels remain intact on the SPX and IWM, and we believe that breakouts above their 200-day MAs could be coming</li>
<li>Breakouts above their 200-day MAs that would likely signal the end to this bear market.</li>
</ul>


Despite $IWM already hitting our price target at 200-day MA/YTD downtrend, and the $SPX getting to within 1% of our target at 200-day MA, we see this 1.5-month rally continuing.
We expect further upside as long as the 1.5-month uptrend channels remain intact on the SPX and IWM, and we believe that breakouts above their 200-day MAs could be coming
Breakouts above their 200-day MAs that would likely signal the end to this bear market.


Small- And Mid-Cap Indexes Poised to Break Out?; Further Upside Expected; Buys Within Cyclicals

<ul>
<li>All eyes are on inflation data this week with CPI due out on Thursday</li>
<li>Shorts in tech have been working but could be looking to take profits after big gains last week</li>
<li>Use options for a cheap play on NDX outperformance over SPX</li>
</ul>


All eyes are on inflation data this week with CPI due out on Thursday
Shorts in tech have been working but could be looking to take profits after big gains last week
Use options for a cheap play on NDX outperformance over SPX


EQD | SPX Vs NDX : Could CPI Spark a Reversal of Tech Performance Versus the Broader Market?

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass report has begun.</li>
<li>Over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&amp;P 600 Small Caps) display bullish 2+ month inflections.</li>
<li>As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their 200-day MAs.</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass report has begun.
Over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&amp;P 600 Small Caps) display bullish 2+ month inflections.
As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their 200-day MAs.


Another Bear Market Rally Begins; Indexes and Sectors With Bullish 2+ Month Inflections

United States

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index. The Trust consists of a portfolio representing all 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index. It holds predominantly large-cap U.S. stocks. This ETF is structured as a Unit Investment Trust and pays dividends on a quarterly basis. The holdings are weighted by market capitalization.

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SPDR S&P 500 (SPY US)

The S&P 500 Has Further Lows Ahead In 2023

China is the real pivot that could drive stocks, say investors. China's economic growth could be a real pivot for stocks, they say.

Kevin George

EQD | SPX Index/NDX Index : Big Data Week Coming Up-We Look at What Is Priced In

We look at the big upcoming data points in the US and the FED rate decision. We consider what moves are priced into markets and identify trading...

Simon Harris

Small- And Mid-Cap Indexes Poised to Break Out?; Further Upside Expected; Buys Within Cyclicals

Despite $IWM already hitting our price target at its 200-day MA/YTD downtrend, & the $SPX getting to within 1% of our target at its 200-day MA, we...

Vermilion Research

EQD | SPX Vs NDX : Could CPI Spark a Reversal of Tech Performance Versus the Broader Market?

We look at a cheap options play on a tech rally post the US CPI this week. Given recent weakness in the Nasdaq and current positioning, we see...

Simon Harris

Another Bear Market Rally Begins; Indexes and Sectors With Bullish 2+ Month Inflections

The bear market rally we have been discussing since Sept. 27 has begun, with over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes $SPX $QQQ $NDX...

Vermilion Research

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Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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