Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are currently 45  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>One new deal this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon (8267 JP)</a>-controlled supermarket companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-co-ltd-ehime" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11419:1" rel="noopener">Fuji (8278 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maxvalu-nishinihon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13743:1" rel="noopener">Maxvalu Nishinihon (8287 JP)</a> announced the Exchange Ratio for the first stage of their integration process.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-super-market-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15519:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Super Market (9919 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jin-jiang-capital-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15781:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 45  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
One new deal this week: Aeon (8267 JP)-controlled supermarket companies Fuji (8278 JP) and Maxvalu Nishinihon (8287 JP) announced the Exchange Ratio for the first stage of their integration process.
Keys updates took place for: Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Sydney Airport (SYD AU), Kansai Super Market (9919 JP), and Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Sydney Airports, Kansi Super, Shanghai Jin Jiang

<ul>
<li>There are currently 47  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s Scheme Offer; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-keisei-electric-railway" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6262:1" rel="noopener">Shin Keisei Electric (9014 JP)</a> cleaning up two of its subsidiaries, </li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19399:1" rel="noopener">Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8561:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Metals (5486 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-throat-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22664:1" rel="noopener">Golden Throat Holdings (6896 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 47  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deals this week: Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s Scheme Offer; and Shin Keisei Electric (9014 JP) cleaning up two of its subsidiaries, 
Keys updates took place for: Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU), Hitachi Metals (5486 JP), and Golden Throat Holdings (6896 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Razer, Daibiru, Utoc, Aussie Pharma, Hitachi Metals, Golden Throat

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>At the December rebalance, there will be one change for the ASX100 while there will be five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. All changes were expected.</li>
<li>Nearly all inclusions and exclusions have over 2 days of ADV to trade and that increases significantly on some stocks. The volatility on the inclusions has been extremely high.</li>
<li>There could be another change announced in the coming week depending on results of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a> Scheme Meeting for the merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


At the December rebalance, there will be one change for the ASX100 while there will be five changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). All changes were expected.
Nearly all inclusions and exclusions have over 2 days of ADV to trade and that increases significantly on some stocks. The volatility on the inclusions has been extremely high.
There could be another change announced in the coming week depending on results of the Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU) Scheme Meeting for the merger with Santos Ltd (STO AU).


ASX100/​200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock

<ul>
<li>For the month of November, 14 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was ~34%, with a year-to-date average of ~32% (153 deals &amp; total deal size of US$278bn).</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2020 (158 deals) and 2019 (145 deals) of 31% and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of November, 14 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was ~34%, with a year-to-date average of ~32% (153 deals &amp; total deal size of US$278bn).
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2020 (158 deals) and 2019 (145 deals) of 31% and 31.5% respectively.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> has "given up" and accepted the fact of the Tender Offer. There will be no Poison Pill EGM, and SBI will "honour" Shinsei management policy</li>
<li>Approval from the anti-trust watchdog is by no means a sure thing in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> merge. </li>
<li>Hotel operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jin-jiang-capital-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15781:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK)</a> has announced a pre-conditional Offer from an entity primarily controlled by Shanghai SASAC. </li>
</ul>



Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) has "given up" and accepted the fact of the Tender Offer. There will be no Poison Pill EGM, and SBI will "honour" Shinsei management policy
Approval from the anti-trust watchdog is by no means a sure thing in the True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) / Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) merge. 
Hotel operator Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK) has announced a pre-conditional Offer from an entity primarily controlled by Shanghai SASAC. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, True Corp/DTAC, Kansai Super, SingTel, DiDi Global

Australia

Spark Infrastructure Group invests in utility infrastructure assets in Australia.

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Spark Infrastructure (SKI AU)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Sydney Airports, Kansi Super, Shanghai Jin Jiang

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David Blennerhassett

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There is 1 change to the ASX100 and 5 changes to the ASX200 index. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the year and are trading at...

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia M&A: November 2021 Roundup

In November, 14 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an announced deal size of ~US$20bn. The average premium for the new deals announced was...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, True Corp/DTAC, Kansai Super, SingTel, DiDi Global

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

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Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Sydney Airports, Kansi Super, Shanghai Jin Jiang

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Razer, Daibiru, Utoc, Aussie Pharma, Hitachi Metals, Golden Throat

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX100/​200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock

There is 1 change to the ASX100 and 5 changes to the ASX200 index. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the year and are trading at...

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia M&A: November 2021 Roundup

In November, 14 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an announced deal size of ~US$20bn. The average premium for the new deals announced was...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, True Corp/DTAC, Kansai Super, SingTel, DiDi Global

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

ASX100/200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock