Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New data shows that in June average house prices in 100 major cities rose by 11.2% year-on-year, according to the latest data from SouFun-CREIS released this morning (detailed data update attached). This compares with 10.3% in May, and June was the 11th consecutive month of year-on-year price growth. Shenzhen recorded the strongest year-on-year increase of 52%, though decelerating vs previous month. On a sequential month-on-month basis, prices rose fastest in Nanjing and Xiamen. Of the 100 major…

New data shows that in June average house prices in 100 major cities rose by 11.2% year-on-year, according to the latest data from SouFun-CREIS released this morning (detailed data update attached). This compares with 10.3% in May, and June was the 11th consecutive month of year-on-year price growth. Shenzhen recorded the strongest year-on-year increase of 52%, though decelerating vs previous month. On a sequential month-on-month basis, prices rose fastest in Nanjing and Xiamen. Of the 100 major…

China Property Data Update - House Prices Rise 11.2% Y/Y In June Vs 10.3% In May

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

What comes as crisis (Brexit) to most countries has been taken up as an opportunity by the Chinese Central bank (PBoC) and as it pushes RMB sharply lower. On the second day of trade post Brexit, Asian EM currencies like Rupiah and Rupee traded in a tight range thanks to Central bank selling, but PBoC fixed the Yuan at still a lower level of 6.6375 to USD. It was only last week that a level of RMB6.6: USD was considered a red line for PBoC by traders but is no longer the case. China is smartly…

What comes as crisis (Brexit) to most countries has been taken up as an opportunity by the Chinese Central bank (PBoC) and as it pushes RMB sharply lower. On the second day of trade post Brexit, Asian EM currencies like Rupiah and Rupee traded in a tight range thanks to Central bank selling, but PBoC fixed the Yuan at still a lower level of 6.6375 to USD. It was only last week that a level of RMB6.6: USD was considered a red line for PBoC by traders but is no longer the case. China is smartly…

China Spots Opportunity in Brexit Where Others See a Threat!

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for April 2016.

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for April 2016.

CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities in China - June 2016

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

The PBOC has set the RMB fix significantly lower at 6.6375/$ which is the biggest one day change in the RMB since August 11.  This is a decidedly unexpected shift and the markets seem to be placing significant pressure on the RMB.  There are a number of key points about today’s fix to consider.First, the PBOC could have very plausibly set the RMB at or around the previous close but it decided to fix even lower than the previous close.  This can only be interpreted as, at least for today, a…

The PBOC has set the RMB fix significantly lower at 6.6375/$ which is the biggest one day change in the RMB since August 11.  This is a decidedly unexpected shift and the markets seem to be placing significant pressure on the RMB.  There are a number of key points about today’s fix to consider.First, the PBOC could have very plausibly set the RMB at or around the previous close but it decided to fix even lower than the previous close.  This can only be interpreted as, at least for today, a…

Largest Decline in RMB Fix Since August 11

The Brexit vote has thrown global markets into turmoil.  The GBP/USD peaked at 1.50 before dropping below 1.35 for daily move twice the worst move during the 2008 global financial crisis.  Leaving aside the short term (ir)rationality of such violent swings of the GBP due to a political event with no near or middle term shift in economic and financial policy, the overall impact will be important in determining the direction of the RMB and how the PBOC moves forward.Last week we wrote that the we…

The Brexit vote has thrown global markets into turmoil.  The GBP/USD peaked at 1.50 before dropping below 1.35 for daily move twice the worst move during the 2008 global financial crisis.  Leaving aside the short term (ir)rationality of such violent swings of the GBP due to a political event with no near or middle term shift in economic and financial policy, the overall impact will be important in determining the direction of the RMB and how the PBOC moves forward.Last week we wrote that the we…

The RMB After Brexit: What Can We Expect Today

China

Southwest Securities Co., Ltd. operates in the brokerage, investment banking, asset management and the consulting services business.

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Southwest Securities (600369 CH)

China Property Data Update - House Prices Rise 11.2% Y/Y In June Vs 10.3% In May

New data shows that in June average house prices in 100 major cities rose by 11.2% year-on-year, according to the latest data from SouFun-CREIS...

Robert Ciemniak

China Spots Opportunity in Brexit Where Others See a Threat!

What comes as crisis (Brexit) to most countries has been taken up as an opportunity by the Chinese Central bank (PBoC) and as it pushes RMB sharply...

Asia Advisors

CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities in China - June 2016

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor...

Robert Ciemniak

Largest Decline in RMB Fix Since August 11

The PBOC has set the RMB fix significantly lower at 6.6375/$ which is the biggest one day change in the RMB since August 11. This is a decidedly...

Christopher Balding

The RMB After Brexit: What Can We Expect Today

The Brexit vote has thrown global markets into turmoil. The GBP/USD peaked at 1.50 before dropping below 1.35 for daily move twice the worst move...

Christopher Balding

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