Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> is getting WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after just +1 week up. Rallying further during the next 2-3 weeks may be hard, it could stall or fall.</li>
<li>If the index rallies further this week, it could fall the following week. Alternatively it could stall this week and rally the following week/s, but OVERBOUGHT status won't go away.</li>
<li>34256 is the Q3 resistance target on CC=+3, this should be a hard barrier to breach. An earlier barrier is Q3 resistance on the Gen.Pattern Boxplot = 33835.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX is getting WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after just +1 week up. Rallying further during the next 2-3 weeks may be hard, it could stall or fall.
If the index rallies further this week, it could fall the following week. Alternatively it could stall this week and rally the following week/s, but OVERBOUGHT status won't go away.
34256 is the Q3 resistance target on CC=+3, this should be a hard barrier to breach. An earlier barrier is Q3 resistance on the Gen.Pattern Boxplot = 33835.


EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) Enters WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT Resistance Area

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS:  SPX -0.6% as Tech leads Tuesday's decline; Inflation concerns continue to weigh; UAW vs Detroit Big 3 discussion continue - strike deadline draws close; Fund managers avoid China. </li>
<li>JAPAN:  NKY Futs -0.6% Disc vs Cash; USDJPY 1471; Cabinet reshuffle day - changes in Defense and Foreign Affairs; GTX engine issue shocks Japanese partners;  Street upgrade Galore !</li>
<li>JAPAN X: Reports are that SoftBank is Explores New York Listing for PayPay Amid Rising Tech Valuations. With ARM (effectively) done and dusted, Softie likely turns to a PayPay listing</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS:  SPX -0.6% as Tech leads Tuesday's decline; Inflation concerns continue to weigh; UAW vs Detroit Big 3 discussion continue - strike deadline draws close; Fund managers avoid China. 
JAPAN:  NKY Futs -0.6% Disc vs Cash; USDJPY 1471; Cabinet reshuffle day - changes in Defense and Foreign Affairs; GTX engine issue shocks Japanese partners;  Street upgrade Galore !
JAPAN X: Reports are that SoftBank is Explores New York Listing for PayPay Amid Rising Tech Valuations. With ARM (effectively) done and dusted, Softie likely turns to a PayPay listing


Ohayo Japan: Tech Leads US Equity Decline; JAPAN X: Softbank's ARM Done(Almost), PayPay IPO Next?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>CIS market revenue was US$21.3bn in 2022, stagnated with 0.2% YoY decline, according to Yole.</li><li>The sales from mobile segment (US$13.5bn) remained flat. Auto CIS sales grew 13.7% YoY to US$2.2bn, surpassing Security CIS, which experienced significant decline (42.8% YoY) in the past year.</li><li>Domestic CIS players took a strong hit by 1) the weak mobile/security demand, 2) slower-thanexpected inventory digestion and 3) intensified competition among overseas and domestic peers. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

CIS market revenue was US$21.3bn in 2022, stagnated with 0.2% YoY decline, according to Yole.The sales from mobile segment (US$13.5bn) remained flat. Auto CIS sales grew 13.7% YoY to US$2.2bn, surpassing Security CIS, which experienced significant decline (42.8% YoY) in the past year.Domestic CIS players took a strong hit by 1) the weak mobile/security demand, 2) slower-thanexpected inventory digestion and 3) intensified competition among overseas and domestic peers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi – China CIS sector – Solid auto CIS growth offset by weak mobile CIS demand

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS: Chinese Ban on iPhone weighs on US Equity Sentiment;  Tech, to no one's surprise, hit hard, with Nasdaq100 -0.7% SOX -2%; Initial Jobless Claims drop - fuels inflation fears</li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.3; Kishida to reschuffle Cabinet as early as next week;   HA-2 Moon Rocket Successful Launch.; More rumors on Switch 2</li>
<li>JAPAN X: Unveiling the Future: Nintendo's Switch 2 Rumors ? or  Reality ? Seems like Reality. Likely not a smart move to go bearish on Nintendo ! Watch this space.  </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS: Chinese Ban on iPhone weighs on US Equity Sentiment;  Tech, to no one's surprise, hit hard, with Nasdaq100 -0.7% SOX -2%; Initial Jobless Claims drop - fuels inflation fears
JAPAN: NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.3; Kishida to reschuffle Cabinet as early as next week;   HA-2 Moon Rocket Successful Launch.; More rumors on Switch 2
JAPAN X: Unveiling the Future: Nintendo's Switch 2 Rumors ? or  Reality ? Seems like Reality. Likely not a smart move to go bearish on Nintendo ! Watch this space.  


Ohayo Japan|China's Apple Ban Hits Equities; JAPAN X: Nintendo's Switch 2 Prospects in 2024 ?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS:  Strong ISM, Higher Yields, Strong USD = Equity Sell off; Oaktree's Marks sees rise in default from higher rates; Germany Industrial Orders fall; China bans iPhones in Govt offices</li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.7; JP Govt official raises threat of FX intervention with weakening Yen; Inflation fears drive Gold purchases; Japan Defense Agency courting new Tech</li>
<li>JAPAN X: Panasonic CEO Aims to Triple P/B Ratio, Focusing on EV Battery Growth. Other Japanese firms should take heed. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS:  Strong ISM, Higher Yields, Strong USD = Equity Sell off; Oaktree's Marks sees rise in default from higher rates; Germany Industrial Orders fall; China bans iPhones in Govt offices
JAPAN: NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.7; JP Govt official raises threat of FX intervention with weakening Yen; Inflation fears drive Gold purchases; Japan Defense Agency courting new Tech
JAPAN X: Panasonic CEO Aims to Triple P/B Ratio, Focusing on EV Battery Growth. Other Japanese firms should take heed. 


Ohayo Japan|Strong ISM, Rate Fears Sinks Stocks; JAPAN X: Panasonic Tgts 3x PBR with EV Batteries

Japan

Sony Corporation manufactures audio, home video game consoles, communications, key device and information technology products for the consumer and professional markets.  The Company's other businesses include music, pictures, computer entertainment, and online businesses.

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Sony Corp (6758 JP)

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) Enters WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT Resistance Area

The Nikkei 225 Index is WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after its 1-week up rally (CC=+1), additional gains in the next 2-3 weeks will be hampered down by...

Nico Rosti

Ohayo Japan: Tech Leads US Equity Decline; JAPAN X: Softbank's ARM Done(Almost), PayPay IPO Next?

SPX declines lead by Tech; JAPAN: NKY Futs -0.6% Disc vs Cash; USDJPY 1471; Cabinet reshuffle day - changes in Defense and Foreign Affairs; GTX...

Mark Chadwick

Semi – China CIS sector – Solid auto CIS growth offset by weak mobile CIS demand

The sales from mobile segment (US$13.5bn) remained flat. Auto CIS sales grew 13.7% YoY to US$2.2bn, surpassing Security CIS, which experienced...

CMB International

Ohayo Japan|China's Apple Ban Hits Equities; JAPAN X: Nintendo's Switch 2 Prospects in 2024 ?

China Ban Weighs on Apple, Tech Space; NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.3; Kishida to reschuffle Cabinet as early as next week; HA-2 Moon...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Strong ISM, Rate Fears Sinks Stocks; JAPAN X: Panasonic Tgts 3x PBR with EV Batteries

Strong ISM Print sparks rate/inflation fears - US stocks sinks. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.7; JP Govt official raises threat of FX...

Mark Chadwick

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EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) Enters WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT Resistance Area

​The Nikkei 225 Index is WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after its 1-week up rally (CC=+1), additional gains in the next 2-3 weeks will be hampered down by...

Nico Rosti

Ohayo Japan: Tech Leads US Equity Decline; JAPAN X: Softbank's ARM Done(Almost), PayPay IPO Next?

SPX declines lead by Tech; JAPAN: NKY Futs -0.6% Disc vs Cash; USDJPY 1471; Cabinet reshuffle day - changes in Defense and Foreign Affairs; GTX...

Mark Chadwick

Semi – China CIS sector – Solid auto CIS growth offset by weak mobile CIS demand

The sales from mobile segment (US$13.5bn) remained flat. Auto CIS sales grew 13.7% YoY to US$2.2bn, surpassing Security CIS, which experienced...

CMB International

Ohayo Japan|China's Apple Ban Hits Equities; JAPAN X: Nintendo's Switch 2 Prospects in 2024 ?

China Ban Weighs on Apple, Tech Space; NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.3; Kishida to reschuffle Cabinet as early as next week; HA-2 Moon...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Strong ISM, Rate Fears Sinks Stocks; JAPAN X: Panasonic Tgts 3x PBR with EV Batteries

Strong ISM Print sparks rate/inflation fears - US stocks sinks. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.7; JP Govt official raises threat of FX...

Mark Chadwick

The Nikkei 225 Index is WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after its 1-week up rally (CC=+1), additional gains in the next 2-3 weeks will be hampered down by...