HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micro-tech-nanjing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30320:1" rel="noopener">Micro-Tech Nanjing Co Ltd (688029 CH)</a> would face lower-than-expected performance growth in 2022, but the logic of import substitution and increasing demand for endoscopy consumables would help drive future growth.</li>
<li>Centralized procurement is a problem, but Micro-Tech’s leading position of endoscopy consumables in China is stable, which wouldn’t be easily affected by centralized procurement when compared with other domestic companies.</li>
<li>The valuation of Micro-Tech should be lower than Mindray and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sonoscape-medical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29742:1" rel="noopener">Sonoscape</a>, since these two companies have much better performance (both growth and profitability), product competitiveness, business layout and outlook.</li>
</ul>



Micro-Tech Nanjing Co Ltd (688029 CH) would face lower-than-expected performance growth in 2022, but the logic of import substitution and increasing demand for endoscopy consumables would help drive future growth.
Centralized procurement is a problem, but Micro-Tech’s leading position of endoscopy consumables in China is stable, which wouldn’t be easily affected by centralized procurement when compared with other domestic companies.
The valuation of Micro-Tech should be lower than Mindray and Sonoscape, since these two companies have much better performance (both growth and profitability), product competitiveness, business layout and outlook.


Micro-Tech Nanjing (688029.CH)-Worth a Spot on the Watch List Due to Possibility of Dilemma Reversal

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 20th National Congress highlighted the importance of autonomy and controllability of key supply chains. So, the most obvious opportunity in China healthcare is import substitution.</li>
<li>For the investment logic of import substitution, we’re more inclined to focus on medical devices sector rather than pharmaceutical sector due to more obvious policy catalysts and higher certainty.</li>
<li>We analyzed our top picks (both medical device sector and others in 2023). After a challenging year, we think that China healthcare in 2023 would be very promising.</li>
</ul>


The 20th National Congress highlighted the importance of autonomy and controllability of key supply chains. So, the most obvious opportunity in China healthcare is import substitution.
For the investment logic of import substitution, we’re more inclined to focus on medical devices sector rather than pharmaceutical sector due to more obvious policy catalysts and higher certainty.
We analyzed our top picks (both medical device sector and others in 2023). After a challenging year, we think that China healthcare in 2023 would be very promising.


2023 High Conviction - China Healthcare: Recognize the Direction and Follow the Trend

<ul>
<li>The recent rally in healthcare is mainly driven by medical device sector. But investors are advised to exit in time before the truth is revealed.</li>
<li>For pharmaceutical sector, it may not be as lucky as medical device sector.Even if it has followed the positive momentum of medical device sector, stock price would diverge after that.</li>
<li>We won't take any chances on CXO due to geographical conflicts and overseas policy risks, with "no reversal signal". We updated our top picks in various sectors. </li>
</ul>


The recent rally in healthcare is mainly driven by medical device sector. But investors are advised to exit in time before the truth is revealed.
For pharmaceutical sector, it may not be as lucky as medical device sector.Even if it has followed the positive momentum of medical device sector, stock price would diverge after that.
We won't take any chances on CXO due to geographical conflicts and overseas policy risks, with "no reversal signal". We updated our top picks in various sectors. 


About the Recent Rebound in China Healthcare and the Future Direction (Updated Top Picks)

<ul>
<li>Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.</li>
<li>The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.</li>
<li>The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".</li>
</ul>


Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.
The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.
The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

Equity Capital Markets

Scivita Medical Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scivita-medical-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34701:1" rel="noopener">Scivita Medical Technology (SMT HK)</a> has certain technical advantage and a comprehensive portfolio of products and candidates, which would help the Company seize a position in this market.</li>
<li>There are also some potential risks and concerns that could be unfavorable for Scivita’s development, which should be aware of by investors.</li>
<li>In terms of the valuation, SonoScape and Aohua Endoscopy (688212.CH) could be the comparable companies, but the valuation of Scivita should be lower than either of them.</li>
</ul>



Scivita Medical Technology (SMT HK) has certain technical advantage and a comprehensive portfolio of products and candidates, which would help the Company seize a position in this market.
There are also some potential risks and concerns that could be unfavorable for Scivita’s development, which should be aware of by investors.
In terms of the valuation, SonoScape and Aohua Endoscopy (688212.CH) could be the comparable companies, but the valuation of Scivita should be lower than either of them.


Pre-IPO Scivita Medical Technology - The Industry, the Business, and the Concerns

China

Sinocare Inc. develops, manufactures, sells biosensor technology real-time detection products. The Company's main products include rapid trace blood glucose testers, and supporting blood glucose testing strips.

Andon Health Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells medical electronic devices for home use.  The Company's products include blood pressure monitors, blood glucose monitors, and digital thermometers.

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, researches and develops, produces, and sells single-use aseptic polymer medical products.

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co (1066 HK)

Microport Scientific Corp. manufactures interventional and minimally invasive devices for keyhole surgery. The Company's products are used to treat vascular diseases and is developing devices to treat diabetes and orthopedic diseases.

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of pharmaceutical glass products including molded vials, tube vials, ampoule, amber vials, infusion vials, and glass tubes.  The Company also manufactures paper packaging boxes and invests in petrochemical industry.

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. A (600529 CH)

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. A

Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992. The company's line of business includes manufacturing of medical diagnostic tests.  Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech serves customers around the world.

Double Medical Technology Inc. operates as an orthopedic devices manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells physical therapy equipment, orthopedic surgical instruments, injection puncture, and other products. Double Medical Technology markets its products throughout China.

Shinva Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets medical instruments and equipment.  The Company's products include sterilization equipment, radiation diagnosis and radiotherapy equipment, chemical indication products, and medical environmental protection equipment.

Shanghai Tofflon Science and Technology Company Limited develops, designs, produces and markets pharmaceutical freeze dryer and related systems. The Company's main products include in-place sterilisation, in-place lyophilization cleaners, laboratory freeze dryers, production freeze dryers, liquid nitrogen freeze dryers and freeze drying systems and equipments.

Lifetech Scientific Corporation develops, manufactures and markets minimally invasive interventional medical devices for cardiovascular and peripheral vascular diseases and disorders.  The Company produces congenital heart defect occluders, vena cava filters, stent grafts, balloon catheters, and vascular plugs.

Osstem Implant Co., Ltd. manufactures dental implant system. The Company also markets dental management software. Osstem Implant provides products for dental surgery and exports abroad.

JEOL Ltd. manufactures electron optics instruments and analytical instruments including electron microscope, X-ray diffractometer and spectrometer and thermographs.  The Company also makes semiconductor manufacturing equipment, medical equipment and industrial equipment.

CONMED Corporation provides orthopedic products, specializing in arthroscopy and powered surgical instruments.  The Company develops, manufactures, and supplies surgical instruments and systems used in a range of surgical procedures.  CONMED's products include arthroscopic surgery devices and powered surgical instruments, electrosurgery systems, and ECG electrodes for heart monitoring.

QuidelOrtho Corporation provides health care services. The Company offers technologies and platforms to benefit customers with expanded access to clinical chemistry, immunoassay, molecular diagnostics, immunohematology, donor screening, and point-of-care diagnostics offerings.

LeMaitre Vascular, Inc. manufactures medical devices for vascular surgeons and interventionists.  The Company develops, produces, and markets disposable and implantable devices for the treatment of peripheral vascular disease, such as stent grafts, anastomotic clips, valvulotomes, radiopaque marking tape, shunts, and embolectomy catheters.

Veracyte, Inc. develops molecular tests for oncology. The Company offers molecular cytology and tests for the diagnostic accuracy of cytology samples. Veracyte provides its products and services to healthcare and molecular diagnostic companies in the United States.

NuVasive, Inc. designs, develops, and markets products for the surgical treatment of spine disorders. The Company's products include Maximum Access Surgery (MAS) and Fusion products.

Top Glove Corporation Bhd manufactures a wide range of latex gloves.  The Company's products include latex examination powdered, latex examination powderfree, nitrile examination gloves,soft nitrile examination gloves, vinyl examination gloves, surgical gloves, and other related products.

Ossur hf does research and develops prosthetic aids.  The Company also designs, makes, and markets prosthetic and orthotic products, and offers a wide line of customized solutions.  The product line includes Iceross, a silicon socket, the ICEX socket system, and Masterstep, a prosthetic foot.  Ossur operates through a global network of sales outlets and agencies.

Novocure Limited is an oncology company. The Company researches and develops novel technologies for the treatment of cancer. Novocure serves the healthcare industry worldwide.

Sonoscape Medical Corp. manufactures medical equipment. The Company develops, produces, and sells ultrasound diagnostic systems, transducers, and other medical equipment products. Sonoscape Medical serves customers worldwide.

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Sonoscape Medical Corp (300633 CH)

Micro-Tech Nanjing (688029.CH)-Worth a Spot on the Watch List Due to Possibility of Dilemma Reversal

Micro-Tech will face lower-than-expected performance growth in 2022,but its leading position of endoscopy consumables in China is still...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2023 High Conviction - China Healthcare: Recognize the Direction and Follow the Trend

The most obvious opportunity in China healthcare is import substitution,based on which companies in medical device sector are expected to have good...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

About the Recent Rebound in China Healthcare and the Future Direction (Updated Top Picks)

There's catalyst in medical device sector, leading to the recent rebound, but investors should exit in time before the truth is revealed. After the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

Policy may shift from easing medical insurance pressure to improving people's livelihood. Low endogenous demand will affect company's valuation....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Scivita Medical Technology - The Industry, the Business, and the Concerns

Scivita has technical advantage and a comprehensive portfolio, but there are uncertainties in terms of commercialization. Reusable and single-use...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

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