IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

SenseTime Group  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (1475539D HK)</a> is the largest AI software company in Asia as measured by revenue in 2020. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$767 million.  </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sensetime-ipo-initiation-big-brother" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62104" rel="noopener">SenseTime IPO Initiation: Big Brother</a>, we stated that the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. Pricing is expected on 10 December with a listing on 17 December.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (1475539D HK) is the largest AI software company in Asia as measured by revenue in 2020. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$767 million.  
In SenseTime IPO Initiation: Big Brother, we stated that the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. Pricing is expected on 10 December with a listing on 17 December.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>On 2nd Dec 2021, Didi announced that it would look to delist its ADRs from NYSE and it would seek a listing on HKSE.</li>
<li>The stock has been at the center of a regulatory crackdown since its IPO in Jun 2021. </li>
<li>Apart from the delisting and relisting flows, it now also has US$20bn of stock coming up for lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


On 2nd Dec 2021, Didi announced that it would look to delist its ADRs from NYSE and it would seek a listing on HKSE.
The stock has been at the center of a regulatory crackdown since its IPO in Jun 2021. 
Apart from the delisting and relisting flows, it now also has US$20bn of stock coming up for lock-up expiry.


DiDi Chuxing: Delisting - Relisting + US$20bn Lockup Expiry = Big Mess

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (1475539D HK)</a> is the largest AI software company in Asia as measured by revenue in 2020. It is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$770 million.  </li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed as high growth is accompanied by high customer concentration, an uncertain path to profitability, cash burn and moral concerns around “ethnic profiling software”. </li>
<li>Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (1475539D HK) is the largest AI software company in Asia as measured by revenue in 2020. It is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$770 million.  
The fundamentals are mixed as high growth is accompanied by high customer concentration, an uncertain path to profitability, cash burn and moral concerns around “ethnic profiling software”. 
Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. 


Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NAV/Share is the lowest since July 2020 largely driven by declines in Alibaba shares (-8% this week and -61% from all-time highs)</li>
<li>A US de-listing for Didi is not necessarily good news for Softbank as the value of that stake will be determined by pricing for a HK listing</li>
<li>The NAV discount has returned to 48% as a less aggressive buyback program does little to drive the share price (not necessarily bad over the long run)</li>
</ul>


NAV/Share is the lowest since July 2020 largely driven by declines in Alibaba shares (-8% this week and -61% from all-time highs)
A US de-listing for Didi is not necessarily good news for Softbank as the value of that stake will be determined by pricing for a HK listing
The NAV discount has returned to 48% as a less aggressive buyback program does little to drive the share price (not necessarily bad over the long run)


Softbank Group - A Very Bad Week as China Drives NAV Weakness and Discount Round Trip

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/seazen' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Seazen (Formerly Future Land)</a></li><li><a href='/entities/honghua-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Honghua Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Vedanta ResourcesSeazen (Formerly Future Land)Honghua GroupChina Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International Holdingsand more...

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp provides telecommunication services.  The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (ADR) (SFTBY US)

SenseTime IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. Pricing is expected on 10 December with a listing...

Arun George

DiDi Chuxing: Delisting - Relisting + US$20bn Lockup Expiry = Big Mess

On 2nd Dec 2021, Didi announced that it would look to delist its ADRs from NYSE and it would seek a listing on HKSE. The company also has US$20bn...

Sumeet Singh

SenseTime IPO Initiation: Big Brother

SenseTime is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$770 million. Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO...

Arun George

Softbank Group - A Very Bad Week as China Drives NAV Weakness and Discount Round Trip

Softbank's value is still tied to Alibaba and other China investments even with a robust buyback. NAV is the lowest since July 2020 and the...

Kirk Boodry

Weekly Wrap - 03 Dec 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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