Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<p>A fairly interesting path to the growth strategy of SK Group, with SK Holdings at the center, spread in the local market this morning. The core of this strategic path is to maximize valuation by separating the business divisions owned by SK Holdings' direct subsidiaries and listing them separately.</p><p>This is a part of the so-called SK Financial Story strategy that SK Holdings recently unveiled extensively. Through this, SK Holdings plans to increase its valuation nearly tenfold by 2025.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/226/830/original/5.png?1630290296" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="226830"></figure></section><div class="content-caption">(Courtesy SK Holdings)</div><div class="content-highlight"><p><em>The full version of this SK Financial Story presentation is attached below in this insight.</em></p></div><p>This strategic path was made clear by the merger of SK Holdings and SK Materials. Therefore, the SK Holdings/SK Materials merger is just the beginning, and that a similar merger will continue is spreading in the local market today.</p><p><strong>So who will be the next target?</strong></p><p>The answer to this? Well, we can find the answer from today's stock prices. Among SK affiliates, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3970:1" rel="noopener">SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS)</a> is showing the largest share price movement. As of now (11:30 am local time), SKC is down more than 5%. This is because concerns are rapidly growing in the market that SKC will become the next affiliate to merge with SK Holdings.</p><ul>
<li><strong>SKC will pursue a physical division in the same way as SK Materials, and a newly created operating company will be listed separately, aiming for a significant valuation re-rating.</strong></li>
<li><strong>After SKC, SK Siltron, an unlisted company, will be the next target. This is a scenario where SK Siltron merges with SK Materials' newly created operating company and goes public. Similarly, this newly combined company will again aim for a substantial valuation re-rating. </strong></li>
</ul>

A fairly interesting path to the growth strategy of SK Group, with SK Holdings at the center, spread in the local market this morning. The core of this strategic path is to maximize valuation by separating the business divisions owned by SK Holdings' direct subsidiaries and listing them separately.This is a part of the so-called SK Financial Story strategy that SK Holdings recently unveiled extensively. Through this, SK Holdings plans to increase its valuation nearly tenfold by 2025.(Courtesy SK Holdings)The full version of this SK Financial Story presentation is attached below in this insight.This strategic path was made clear by the merger of SK Holdings and SK Materials. Therefore, the SK Holdings/SK Materials merger is just the beginning, and that a similar merger will continue is spreading in the local market today.So who will be the next target?The answer to this? Well, we can find the answer from today's stock prices. Among SK affiliates, SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS) is showing the largest share price movement. As of now (11:30 am local time), SKC is down more than 5%. This is because concerns are rapidly growing in the market that SKC will become the next affiliate to merge with SK Holdings.
SKC will pursue a physical division in the same way as SK Materials, and a newly created operating company will be listed separately, aiming for a significant valuation re-rating.
After SKC, SK Siltron, an unlisted company, will be the next target. This is a scenario where SK Siltron merges with SK Materials' newly created operating company and goes public. Similarly, this newly combined company will again aim for a substantial valuation re-rating. 


SKC Is Down 5% Today: Why & What Impact on SK Holdings/SK Materials Arb Spread-Hunting

KRX BBIG IndexThe KRX BBIG K-New Deal Index contains 12 stocks, listed either on the KOSPI or KOSDAQ market, three leading companies in each of the four industries. Each of the four industries also has its own index containing 10 constituents. So, we have one mother index (BBIG) and four sub-indices representing each of the four industries.
Secondary Battery

Bio

Internet

Game
Rebalancing: The top-three largest full market cap stocks from the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, and Game are selected for rebalancing in March and September. It is biannually reconstituted. Rebalancing occurs on the trading day following the last trading day of the March and September delivery month for KOSPI 200 futures contracts.





Rebalancing schedule

Rebalancing cycle
Semi-annually


Rebalancing month
March and September


Implementation date
The trading day following the last trading day for KOSPI 200 futures contracts


Next implementation date
September 10, 2021


Rebalancing trading
At the close on September 9, 2021


Screening base date
The last trading day of the month preceding the date of regular rebalancing


Screening period
The three months preceding the screening base date

Source: KRX &amp; WISE Index

Index weight: The BBIG Index is an equal-weight index in which each index constituent is allocated the same weight (8.33%) at each rebalancing. As for the four sub-indices, the top-three largest full market cap stocks are given the weight of 75%, in which each stock is allocated the same weight of 25% at each rebalancing. In contrast, the remaining seven constituents are given the remaining weight of 25%, where their float-adjusted market cap weights them.







Index calculations
BBIG
Four sub-indices


Number of constituents
12
10


Index weight
Equal-weighted at 8.33%

Top 3 (by full market cap): Equal-weighted at 25% The remaining 7: float-adjusted market cap-weighted totaling 25%



Source: KRX &amp; WISE Index

The mother index and battery sub-index have an AUM that is not small considering the number of constituents. BBIG has an AUM of ₩520B as of today, and its battery is ₩760B. Bio is about ₩100B. However, Internet and Game do not have meaningful AUMs.








ETFs tracking BBIG indices
Index
Ticker
AUM


Mirae Asset TIGER KRX BBIG K-New Deal ETF
BBIG
364960
₩480.9B


Hana Financial Investment Hana KRX BBIG K-New Deal ETN 3
700003
₩10.5B


TIMEFOLIO TIMEFOLIO BBIG Active ETF
385710
₩26.9B


- Total
-
₩518.3B


Mirae Asset TIGER KRX Second Battery K-NewDeal ETF
Secondary Battery
364980
₩759.7B


Mirae Asset TIGER KRX BIO K-New Deal ETF
Bio
364970
₩97.6B


Mirae Asset TIGER KRX Internet K-New Deal ETF
Internet
365000
₩49.2B


Mirae Asset TIGER KRX Game K-New Deal ETF
Game
364990
₩35.7B

Source: KRX

The screening period is the three months preceding the screening base date. So, the screening period this time is June 1 to August 31. Below is the daily average market cap from June 1 to July 19 and the index weight as of July 19.








BBIG
Weight, as of July 19
Average daily full market cap (June 1~July 19)
30-day average daily trade value


Kakao Corp
12.34%
₩66,478.6B
₩846.3B


Kakao Games Corp
11.59%
₩4,805.8B
₩244.2B


Naver Corp
8.96%
₩65,954.1B
₩388.6B


Samsung Biologics Co Ltd
9.13%
₩56,359.3B
₩77.4B


Samsung SDI Co Ltd
8.15%
₩46,995.6B
₩216.7B


Netmarble Corp
8.18%
₩11,730.2B
₩52.7B


SK Biopharmaceuticals
7.70%
₩9,681.8B
₩55.4B


SK Innovation Co Ltd
7.38%
₩25,451.8B
₩256.9B


LG Chem Ltd
7.11%
₩58,759.0B
₩197.2B


Celltrion, Inc.
6.61%
₩33,438.9B
₩149.8B


Douzone Bizon Co Ltd
6.22%
₩2,600.1B
₩21.1B


NCSoft Corp
6.57%
₩18,199.9B
₩70.1B

Source: KRX &amp; TIGER ETF











Sub-indices
Weight, as of July 19
Average daily full market cap (June 1~July 19
Float-adjusted market cap
30-day average daily trade value

Battery

LG Chem Ltd
21.89%
₩58,759.0B
₩38,763.3B
₩197.2B


Samsung SDI Co Ltd
25.07%
₩46,995.6B
₩34,335.0B
₩216.7B


SK Innovation Co Ltd
22.75%
₩25,451.8B
₩14,161.4B
₩256.9B


Posco Chemical Co Ltd
8.25%
₩9,112.5B
₩3,413.5B
₩63.8B


SKC Co Ltd
6.00%
₩5,640.2B
₩3,014.7B
₩57.0B


Ecopro BM Co Ltd
5.13%
₩4,604.0B
₩3,037.2B
₩71.4B


Iljin Materials Co Ltd
2.93%
₩3,269.7B
₩1,518.1B
₩24.5B


L&amp;F Co., Ltd.
3.52%
₩2,639.3B
₩1,564.8B
₩75.3B


SoulBrain Co Ltd
2.49%
₩2,539.3B
₩1,358.8B
₩10.2B


Chunbo Co Ltd
1.87%
₩1,929.2B
₩799.1B
₩30.8B

Bio

Samsung Biologics Co Ltd
29.94%
₩56,359.3B
₩13,954.6B
₩77.4B


Celltrion, Inc.
21.64%
₩37,030.6B
₩28,069.2B
₩149.8B


Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd
10.06%
₩18,089.2B
₩10,956.6B
₩91.0B


SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd
25.20%
₩9,681.8B
₩3,291.8B
₩55.4B


Celltrion Pharm Inc
2.35%
₩5,629.5B
₩2,512.4B
₩76.2B


Hanmi Science Co Ltd
1.56%
₩5,073.4B
₩1,610.3B
₩34.6B


Yuhan Corp
3.00%
₩4,454.7B
₩3,331.2B
₩14.6B


Shinpoong Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
2.07%
₩3,919.5B
₩2,390.5B
₩395.7B


Green Cross Corp
1.61%
₩3,808.6B
₩1,754.3B
₩23.1B


Seegene Inc
2.53%
₩3,927.5B
₩2,664.4B
₩289.6B

Internet

Kakao Corp
34.95%
₩66,478.6B
₩48,502.8B
₩846.3B


Naver Corp
25.47%
₩65,954.1B
₩53,106.2B
₩388.6B


Douzone Bizon Co Ltd
17.72%
₩2,600.1B
₩1,613.4B
₩21.1B


KMW Co Ltd
6.08%
₩2,144.3B
₩1,353.5B
₩13.0B


NHN KCP Corp
3.21%
₩1,365.8B
₩730.7B
₩9.5B


AfreecaTV Co Ltd
4.68%
₩1,294.1B
₩891.0B
₩16.8B


Ace Technologies Corp.
2.45%
₩786.2B
₩600.2B
₩11.5B


Seojin System Co Ltd
2.31%
₩811.4B
₩544.8B
₩11.1B


Ahnlab Inc
1.77%
₩703.2B
₩409.1B
₩7.2B


Rsupport Co Ltd
1.34%
₩497.3B
₩261.1B
₩29.1B

Game

NCSoft Corp
18.73%
₩18,199.9B
₩7,753.2B
₩70.1B


Netmarble Corp
23.34%
₩11,730.2B
₩3,657.5B
₩52.7B


PearlAbyss Corp
9.46%
₩4,587.3B
₩3,755.6B
₩45.2B


Kakao Games Corp
33.10%
₩4,805.8B
₩2,047.3B
₩244.2B


Com2uS Corp
3.91%
₩1,627.3B
₩1,022.8B
₩19.8B


NHN Corp
3.08%
₩1,552.2B
₩708.1B
₩9.6B


Doubleu Games Co Ltd
2.06%
₩1,160.4B
₩567.4B
₩7.6B


Webzen Inc
2.48%
₩1,094.4B
₩641.6B
₩9.5B


Wemade Co Ltd
2.00%
₩949.2B
₩505.4B
₩16.0B


Neptune Co
1.76%
₩815.4B
₩420.4B
₩6.5B

Source: KRX &amp; TIGER ETF



KRX BBIG Rebalancing Complete Preview: SK Bioscience, SK IE Tech, Krafton, Kakao Games, & Kakao Pay

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<div class="content-highlight">
<p>In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts (SoTP) valuation on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:393:1" rel="noopener">SK Holdings (034730 KS)</a>. There are many moving parts of SK Holdings and it helps to review the main factors that have been impacting its share price. <strong>Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850 won, which represents a 54% upside from current levels. </strong></p>
<p>We believe that the<strong> 6 MOST IMPORTANT FACTORS</strong> impacting the share price of SK Holdings are currently as follows:</p>
<p>I. A Big Investment ($1.5 Billion) in Plug Power</p>
<p>II. SK IE Technology IPO</p>
<p>III. Sale of SK Lubricants</p>
<p>IV. SK Telecom's Higher Share Price Trend</p>
<p>V. Changing values of SK Siltron, SK E&amp;S and other private companies</p>
<p>VI. Changing values of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-biopharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28966:1" rel="noopener">SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19390:1" rel="noopener">Sk Materials (036490 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3970:1" rel="noopener">SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS)</a>, and other public companies</p>
</div>


In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts (SoTP) valuation on SK Holdings (034730 KS). There are many moving parts of SK Holdings and it helps to review the main factors that have been impacting its share price. Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850 won, which represents a 54% upside from current levels. 
We believe that the 6 MOST IMPORTANT FACTORS impacting the share price of SK Holdings are currently as follows:
I. A Big Investment ($1.5 Billion) in Plug Power
II. SK IE Technology IPO
III. Sale of SK Lubricants
IV. SK Telecom's Higher Share Price Trend
V. Changing values of SK Siltron, SK E&amp;S and other private companies
VI. Changing values of SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS), Sk Materials (036490 KS), SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS), and other public companies


SK Holdings: Sum-Of-The Parts Valuation Analysis & Key Catalysts

Cross Asset Strategy

<div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>It has been reported in the past few days that <a href="http://www.koreaninvestors.com/?p=12175" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NPS</a> is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, &amp; governance) based investing for Korean stocks and bonds starting 2021. </strong>NPS has currently given a mandate to a company to help NPS to apply ESG based investment system. The ESG evaluations are expected to aid NPS to actively exercise shareholder rights and also to carry out negative screening of stocks.</p></div><h3>Implications of NPS Incorporating More ESG Criteria on Domestic Investments (Bonds &amp; Stocks)</h3><ul>
<li>Negative Impact on VICE industries </li>
<li>Positive Impact on Renewable Energy Industries</li>
<li>Negative Impact on Coal &amp; Oil Industries</li>
<li>Greater Representation of Women in Senior Management Team/BOD</li>
</ul>

It has been reported in the past few days that NPS is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, &amp; governance) based investing for Korean stocks and bonds starting 2021. NPS has currently given a mandate to a company to help NPS to apply ESG based investment system. The ESG evaluations are expected to aid NPS to actively exercise shareholder rights and also to carry out negative screening of stocks.Implications of NPS Incorporating More ESG Criteria on Domestic Investments (Bonds &amp; Stocks)
Negative Impact on VICE industries 
Positive Impact on Renewable Energy Industries
Negative Impact on Coal &amp; Oil Industries
Greater Representation of Women in Senior Management Team/BOD


NPS - Greater Emphasis of ESG Based Investing for Korean Stocks & Bonds Starting 2021

<p>SKC and SKC Solmics announced a merger swap to take Solmics private.</p><p>They set the merger ratio at 0.0688707 for each Solmic share (₩82,938 for the acquirer and ₩5,712 for the acquired).</p><p>It is a small-scale merger. So, the acquirer doesn't grant its shareholders stock purchase rights unless more than 20% of the shareholders express dissent from August 27 to September 10.</p><p>Otherwise, only the shareholders of the target company get to exercise rights, which they set at ₩5,125. The ceiling is ₩100bil (about one-quarter of the SO).</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/152/154/original/1.png?1597251208" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="152154"></figure><p>Today (August 13) is the last day for the acquired's shareholders to be eligible to receive stock purchase rights.</p><p>For the general meeting, the record date of the shareholder register is September 9. Then, they get to exercise purchase rights from November 5 to 25.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/152/155/original/2.png?1597251505" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="152155"></figure>

SKC and SKC Solmics announced a merger swap to take Solmics private.They set the merger ratio at 0.0688707 for each Solmic share (₩82,938 for the acquirer and ₩5,712 for the acquired).It is a small-scale merger. So, the acquirer doesn't grant its shareholders stock purchase rights unless more than 20% of the shareholders express dissent from August 27 to September 10.Otherwise, only the shareholders of the target company get to exercise rights, which they set at ₩5,125. The ceiling is ₩100bil (about one-quarter of the SO).Today (August 13) is the last day for the acquired's shareholders to be eligible to receive stock purchase rights.For the general meeting, the record date of the shareholder register is September 9. Then, they get to exercise purchase rights from November 5 to 25.

SKC & SKC Solmics Merger Swap with Tender Offer: Terms & Status

South Korea

SKC Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of films, including polyester films, silicon coated films, and inkjet films.  The Company also produces chemical products, such as propylene oxide, propylene glycol, and styrene monomer. In addition, SKC provides materials for photovoltaic.

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SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS)

SKC Is Down 5% Today: Why & What Impact on SK Holdings/SK Materials Arb Spread-Hunting

This post explains why SKC is down more than 5% today and what impact it has on the SK Holdings/SK Materials arb spread-hunting.

Sanghyun Park

KRX BBIG Rebalancing Complete Preview: SK Bioscience, SK IE Tech, Krafton, Kakao Games, & Kakao Pay

This post is a complete preview of the KRX BBIG rebalancing, featuring SK Bioscience, SK IE Technology, Kakao Games, Krafton, Kakao Pay, SD...

Sanghyun Park

SK Holdings: Sum-Of-The Parts Valuation Analysis & Key Catalysts

In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts valuation on SK Holdings (034730 KS). Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850...

Douglas Kim

NPS - Greater Emphasis of ESG Based Investing for Korean Stocks & Bonds Starting 2021

It has been reported in the past few days that NPS is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, & governance) based...

Douglas Kim

SKC & SKC Solmics Merger Swap with Tender Offer: Terms & Status

SKC and SKC Solmics announced a merger swap to take Solmics private.They set the merger ratio at 0.0688707 for each Solmic share (₩82,938 for the...

Sanghyun Park

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