Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We should seize the arbitrage trading opportunities between SSF and subscription rights during the rights trading window. SK Innovation's SSF is highly liquid, being traded at nearly 0.5x spot.</li>
<li>The key is to catch the timing of basis widening. SK Innovation traditionally experiences significant intraday basis fluctuations, making it a crucial factor in maximizing our profitability.</li>
<li>The ex-date play, betting on the tendency for prices to close above the base price on the ex-date, may not hold significant appeal. This pattern has become less pronounced recently.</li>
</ul>


We should seize the arbitrage trading opportunities between SSF and subscription rights during the rights trading window. SK Innovation's SSF is highly liquid, being traded at nearly 0.5x spot.
The key is to catch the timing of basis widening. SK Innovation traditionally experiences significant intraday basis fluctuations, making it a crucial factor in maximizing our profitability.
The ex-date play, betting on the tendency for prices to close above the base price on the ex-date, may not hold significant appeal. This pattern has become less pronounced recently.


What Arb Trading Opportunities Should We Target in SK Innovation's Rights Offering?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>It has been reported that SK On received 1.2 trillion won investment from a consortium led by MBK Partners and SNB Capital, valuing SK On at about 25 trillion won.</li>
<li>Our SoTP valuation of SK Innovation suggests a target price of 274,738 won per share, which represents a 38% higher levels than current price.</li>
<li>SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.</li>
</ul>


It has been reported that SK On received 1.2 trillion won investment from a consortium led by MBK Partners and SNB Capital, valuing SK On at about 25 trillion won.
Our SoTP valuation of SK Innovation suggests a target price of 274,738 won per share, which represents a 38% higher levels than current price.
SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.


Higher Private Market Valuation of SK On: Positive Impact on SK Innovation

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SK Pharmteco is currently 100% owned by SK Inc. It is one of the largest CMO players in Korea. SK Pharmteco is trying to raise nearly 600 billion won. </li>
<li>SK Pharmteco is seeking valuation of about 5 trillion won which is much higher than its book value of 1.65 trillion won.</li>
<li>Our NAV valuation of SK Inc suggests an implied NAV of 21.2 trillion won or 286,636 won per share, representing 75% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


SK Pharmteco is currently 100% owned by SK Inc. It is one of the largest CMO players in Korea. SK Pharmteco is trying to raise nearly 600 billion won. 
SK Pharmteco is seeking valuation of about 5 trillion won which is much higher than its book value of 1.65 trillion won.
Our NAV valuation of SK Inc suggests an implied NAV of 21.2 trillion won or 286,636 won per share, representing 75% upside from current levels.


SK Pharmteco Pre-IPO Funding & Impact on SK Inc

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

<ul>
<li>Samsung SDI and LG Chem are expected to be newly included in the index, while Hana Financial and KT&amp;G Corporation are predicted to be excluded.</li>
<li>The correlation between the price movement and the flow direction on the rebalancing trading day of constituent changes from the past reviews was quite high.</li>
<li>We can set the price impact expectation for the upcoming review even more aggressively, given that the size of the flow x DTV is more significant than in previous cases.</li>
</ul>


Samsung SDI and LG Chem are expected to be newly included in the index, while Hana Financial and KT&amp;G Corporation are predicted to be excluded.
The correlation between the price movement and the flow direction on the rebalancing trading day of constituent changes from the past reviews was quite high.
We can set the price impact expectation for the upcoming review even more aggressively, given that the size of the flow x DTV is more significant than in previous cases.


Price/Flow Impact on Four Constituent Changes in KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing in June

South Korea

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

SK Innovation (096770 KS)

What Arb Trading Opportunities Should We Target in SK Innovation's Rights Offering?

This post delves into potential arbitrage trading prospects that could be capitalized upon through SK Innovation's ₩1T rights offering.

Sanghyun Park

Higher Private Market Valuation of SK On: Positive Impact on SK Innovation

SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.

Douglas Kim

SK Pharmteco Pre-IPO Funding & Impact on SK Inc

SK Pharmteco is seeking valuation of about 5 trillion won which is much higher than its book value of 1.65 trillion won. SK Pharmteco (100% owned...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023. We highlight 38 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Price/Flow Impact on Four Constituent Changes in KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing in June

This post presents a Long Short basket trade idea on the four potential constituent changes in the KODEX Top 5 Plus TR ETF rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)