HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Pharmaceutical distribution business is about competing for scale/capital costs. Sinopharm mainly relies on economies of scale to establish competitiveness.But this business wouldn’t generate high profit margin due to industry characteristics.</li>
<li>The opportunity lies in the logic of import substitution and the products out of VBP scope. Stable or declining financial cost ratio is also a key driving force for profitability.</li>
<li>We think Sinopharm’s revenue and net profit could achieve double-digit growth in 2023. The valuation is already not cheap. It may be wiser to take profits in time.</li>
</ul>


Pharmaceutical distribution business is about competing for scale/capital costs. Sinopharm mainly relies on economies of scale to establish competitiveness.But this business wouldn’t generate high profit margin due to industry characteristics.
The opportunity lies in the logic of import substitution and the products out of VBP scope. Stable or declining financial cost ratio is also a key driving force for profitability.
We think Sinopharm’s revenue and net profit could achieve double-digit growth in 2023. The valuation is already not cheap. It may be wiser to take profits in time.


Sinopharm Group Co (1099.HK) - Double-Digit Growth Is Expected in 2023; Margins Have Room to Improve

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Global Healthcare ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.</li>
<li>MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
<li>This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe</li>
</ul>


As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.
MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).
This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe


Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinopharm-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32:1" rel="noopener">Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK)</a> reported strong 2022 results, with annual revenue exceeding RMB550B and net profit achieving 10% YoY growth. Growth was driven by pharmaceutical distribution business.</li>
<li>EPS increased 10% YoY to RMB2.73, ahead of consensus of RMB2.64. The company has increased its final dividend to RMB0.82 per share from RMB0.75 per share in the prior year.</li>
<li>With favorable industry tailwind and China reopening, consensus expects Sinopharm to report double-digit revenue and EPS growth through 2025.</li>
</ul>



Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK) reported strong 2022 results, with annual revenue exceeding RMB550B and net profit achieving 10% YoY growth. Growth was driven by pharmaceutical distribution business.
EPS increased 10% YoY to RMB2.73, ahead of consensus of RMB2.64. The company has increased its final dividend to RMB0.82 per share from RMB0.75 per share in the prior year.
With favorable industry tailwind and China reopening, consensus expects Sinopharm to report double-digit revenue and EPS growth through 2025.


Sinopharm Group (1099 HK): Strong 2022 Results; Double-Digit Top and Bottom-Line Growth to Continue

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Sipai Health Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sipai-health-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36662:1" rel="noopener">Sipai Health Technology (314 HK)</a></strong>, a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a></strong> continues to eke out new highs. </li>
<li>Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.</li>
<li>The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. </li>
</ul>



Sipai Health Technology (314 HK), a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by Tencent (700 HK) continues to eke out new highs. 
Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.
The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. 


Sipai Health Technology: Hidden Benefits, Not-So-Hidden Risks

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Thirteen important departments formulated the “Work Plan for Supporting the High-quality Development of State-owned Enterprise (SOE)-run Medical Institutions”(the “Work Plan”), which reflects a significant change in government's attitude towards SOE-run hospitals.</li>
<li>The core goal of “Work Plan” is to make public medical system bigger and stronger.Changes will occur with the participation of central enterprises. It's time to change the thinking mode.</li>
<li>Government-Run hospitals/SOE-run hospitals are still the main force of China's medical service market. Their status will be higher than that of private hospitals, whose development space would be further squeezed.</li>
</ul>


Thirteen important departments formulated the “Work Plan for Supporting the High-quality Development of State-owned Enterprise (SOE)-run Medical Institutions”(the “Work Plan”), which reflects a significant change in government's attitude towards SOE-run hospitals.
The core goal of “Work Plan” is to make public medical system bigger and stronger.Changes will occur with the participation of central enterprises. It's time to change the thinking mode.
Government-Run hospitals/SOE-run hospitals are still the main force of China's medical service market. Their status will be higher than that of private hospitals, whose development space would be further squeezed.


Reform in China's Medical Service Industry: SOE-Run Hospitals Usher in a Critical Turning Point

China

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd. manufactures, retails, and wholesales a variety of pharmaceuticals including biopharmaceuticals, chemical and Chinese traditional medicines, and healthcare products. The Company also invests in new medicine development and provides related services.

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (2607 HK)

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd. wholesales and retails medicines, pharmaceutical preparations, biological products, and medical instruments.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures antibiotic medicines and biochemical products.

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. is a leading open-access R&D capability and technology platform company serving the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries, with operations in China, U.S., and Iceland.  We provide a broad and integrated portfolio of laboratory and manufacturing services throughout the drug and medical device R&D process.  Our services are designed to help our global partners in shortening the cycle and lowering the cost of drug and medical device R&D through cost-effective and efficient solutions. 

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells Chinese patent medicine. The Company also wholesales, retails, imports, and exports Western and Chinese pharmaceutical products and various medical apparatus.

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceu (600332 CH)

Topchoice Medical Investment Corporation provides dental and oral health care services.

China National Medicines Corp. Ltd. wholesales and retails chemical material medicines, western medicine preparations, biochemical medicines, biological products, and Chinese traditional medicines.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures pharmaceuticals including injections, capsules, tablets, and other related products under the CNCM brand name.

Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd provides ophthalmological services.  The Company's services include ophthalmological diagnosis and treatments.

Tibet Rhodiola Pharmaceutical Holding Co. develops, manufactures, and markets Tibet medicines.  The Company's products include Rhodiola capsules, Rhodiola pellets, and other related medicines.

Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets biochemical pharmaceuticals, biological products, traditional Chinese medicines, and healthcare products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures food.

Searainbow Holding Corp., produces chemical fibers and other textile products. The company, through its subsidiaries, also provides medical e-commerce and on-line games.

Ramsay Health Care Ltd. provides health care services. The Company offers private hospital services, including, rehabilitation, psychiatric care, day, and complex surgery. Ramsay Health Care owns, operates, and manages health care facilities throughout Australia, Indonesia, and Europe.

Bumrungrad Hospital Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries,  owns and operates the Bumrungrad Hospital. Located in Bangkok, the Hospital has capacity of international standard medical care with 554 beds for inpatients and approximately 125 clinic examination suites that can serve up to 3,000 outpatients daily.

LHC Group Inc. provides post-acute healthcare services primarily to Medicare beneficiaries in rural markets in the southern United States. The company provides home-based services through home nursing agencies and hospices and facility-based services through long-term acute care hospitals and  outpatient rehabilitation clinics.

Ensign Group, Inc. operates facilities offering nursing and rehabilitative care services in multiple states. The Company provides a broad spectrum of nursing and assisted living services, physical, occupational and speech therapies, and other rehabilitative and healthcare services, for both long-term residents and short-stay rehabilitation patients.

Encompass Health Corporation provides inpatient rehabilitative healthcare services.  The Company operates inpatient rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient and rehabilitation satellites, and home health agencies. Encompass Health provides treatment on both an inpatient and outpatient basis.

HealthEquity, Inc. provides technology-enabled services platforms that allow consumers to make healthcare saving and spending decisions. Consumers can access their tax-advantaged healthcare savings, compare treatment options and pricing, evaluate and pay healthcare bills, receive personalized benefit and clinical information, and earn wellness incentives.

Chemed Corporation operates in the healthcare field through its subsidiary Vitas Healthcare Corporation.  The Company also maintains a presence in the residential and commercial repair-and-maintenance-service industry under the names Roto-Rooter and Service America Network Inc.

Sonic Healthcare Limited is a medical diagnostics company with operations in Australia, New Zealand, and Europe.  The Company provides a comprehensive range of pathology and diagnostic imaging services to medical practitioners, hospitals and their patients along with providing administrative services and facilities to medical practitioners.

Acadia Healthcare Co Ltd operates a network of behavioral health centers. The Company provides psychiatric and chemical dependency services, inpatient psychiatric hospitals, residential treatment centers, outpatient clinics, and therapeutic school based programs across the United States.

Option Care Health, Inc. provides infusion and home care management solutions. The Company offers products, services, and condition-specific clinical management programs for gastrointestinal abnormalities, infectious diseases, cancer, organ and blood cell transplants, bleeding disorders, and heart failures. Option Care Health serves patients in the United States.

Sinopharm Group Co Ltd is a pharmacy distribution company. The Company also owns several pharmacy enterprise groups in different industries such as logistics, retail stores, pharmaceutical manufacturing, and chemical testing.

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Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK)

Sinopharm Group Co (1099.HK) - Double-Digit Growth Is Expected in 2023; Margins Have Room to Improve

Sinopharm relies on economies of scale to establish competitiveness, but it faces low profit margin problem, which still has room to improve....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

Sinopharm Group (1099 HK): Strong 2022 Results; Double-Digit Top and Bottom-Line Growth to Continue

Sinopharm reported 6% revenue and 10% EPS growth in 2022, driven by pharmaceutical distribution business. Favorable industry tailwind and China...

Tina Banerjee

Sipai Health Technology: Hidden Benefits, Not-So-Hidden Risks

Only ~1.5% of total issued shares are free to trade following the global. I would be cautious investing here given the vast overhang from the IPO...

David Blennerhassett

Reform in China's Medical Service Industry: SOE-Run Hospitals Usher in a Critical Turning Point

Government's attitude towards SOE-run hospitals has a significant change as new policy is released,aiming to make public medical system bigger...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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